Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WWUS51 KALY 221930
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
329 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

MAC003-222000-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-080622T2000Z/
BERKSHIRE MA-
329 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BERKSHIRE COUNTY...

AT 327 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR DRURY...OR NEAR NORTH ADAMS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WHITCOMB SUMMIT...HAIRPIN TURN...HOUGHTONVILLE AND BRIGGSVILLE BY
  335 PM EDT...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT 
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

LAT...LON 4255 7296 4255 7297 4254 7296 4240 7300
      4248 7327 4274 7316 4273 7301 4271 7301
      4271 7295 4270 7294 4267 7297 4266 7294
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 213DEG 18KT 4266 7301

$$

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

BGM

000 
WWUS51 KALY 221941
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

MAC003-221950-
/O.CAN.KALY.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-080622T2000Z/
BERKSHIRE MA-
340 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BERKSHIRE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
EASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4255 7296 4255 7297 4254 7296 4240 7300
      4248 7327 4274 7316 4273 7301 4271 7301
      4271 7295 4270 7294 4267 7297 4266 7294
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 213DEG 18KT 4271 7297

$$

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

BGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
253 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
SEVERAL DISTURBANCES IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.  SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.  THE OCCLUDED FRONT TO
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING/...

MESOSCALE BOUNDARY HAS SET UP ALONG DUTCHESS...EASTERN COLUMBIA
COUNTY INTO BERKSHIRE COUNTY MA.  TRAINING ECHOES ARE UNDERWAY AS WE
MIGHT BE TRANSITIONING TOWARD A FLOOD POTENTIAL.  RAINFALL HOURLY
ESTIMATES ARE APPROACHING 1 INCH/HOUR...WHICH IS STILL BELOW
FFG...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

***A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL ZONES UNTIL
   10 PM EDT***

ATMOSPHERE IS IN THE PROCESS OF DESTABILIZING AND RELOADING. CELLS
QUICKLY FIRING UP FROM OUR AREA AND POINTS EAST. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR ANY OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO LOCALLY
SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MORE MPH.

LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS LIFTED INDICES HAVE BECOME NEGATIVE
ONCE MORE ACROSS MOST OF OUR AREA...AND LAPSE RATES ARE STEEPENING.
RADAR SHOWS CELLS QUICKLY POPPING UP MAINLY FROM HUDSON VALLEY
EASTWARD...BUT OTHER ONES FURTHER WEST AS WELL. THE THREAT IS
THERE UNTIL 1000 PM EDT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /10 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SUNDAY NIGHT...ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO
DECREASE IN THE LATER EVENING WITH SOME PATCHY FOG FORMING...AS THE
SKIES WILL LIKELY BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY. A MID AND UPPER JET MAX
BEGINS TO INCH CLOSE TO THE FCST AREA FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST
TOWARDS 1200 UTC...AND THIS MAY ACTUALLY INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR
SVR WEATHER FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...SRN VT...AND THE CATSKILLS
SOUTHWARD FOR MONDAY. SPC DAY 2 LOOKS ACTUALLY PRETTY GOOD.

MONDAY...THE SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE OCCLUDED
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
UPSTREAM MAY TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH
EVEN SOME DECENT SOLAR HEATING DURING THE MORNING THAT A
CLUSTER/LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR.   AN 250 HPA JET
STREAK OF 90-100 KTS WILL BE OVER CNTRL-ERN PA...ERN NY...AND WRN
NEW ENGLAND. THE DEEP SHEAR LOOKS BETTER WITH AROUND 50 KTS
POTENTIALLY REALIZING SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY OF 1000-2000
J/KG...SO LARGE HAIL AND BOWING SEGMENTS ALONG A LINE MAY BE
POSSIBLE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE SEVERE THREAT IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE OCCLUDED BOUNDARY SHOULD MAKE STEADY PROGRESS
ACROSS ERN NY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TAPERING AROUND
MIDNIGHT.  WE TENDED TO LOWER THE POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE VALUES
AFTER 0400 UTC TUE.  SFC HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE
MIDWEST TUESDAY MORNING...THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS STILL WILL LINGER
OVER ERN NY/WRN NEW ENGLAND ON TUE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER TROUGH AXIS FINALLY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST TUESDAY EVENING.
WILL HAVE LINGERING THREAT FOR CONVECTIVE TUESDAY. FLOW BECOMES
FLATTENED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE UNITED STATES FOR MID WEEK
WITH HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE SURFACE. IMPULSES WILL MOVE
THROUGH QUICK FLOW WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE GETTING SUPPRESSED. THE
NEXT MAIN SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS WESTERN CANADA WITH A TROUGH
DIGGING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION NEXT WEEKEND AND A RIDGE
BUILDING OVER THE PLAINS. THE MODELS DIFFER WITH HOW AMPLIFIED THE
PATTERN WILL GET. THE ECMWF IS THE MOST ROBUST. GENERALLY...FINALLY
LOOKING AT DRY WEATHER FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING FOR LATE IN THE
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
***SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM EDT***

THE ATMOSPHERE IS IN THE PROCESS OF DESTABILIZING AND CELLS ARE
FIRING UP FROM THE HUDSON VALLEY ON EAST. HOWEVER...SOME OTHER
CELLS ARE FIRING UP AS WELL.

WHILE NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAFS (SINCE THE CONFIDENCE IS STILL
LOW)...THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM TO PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS BRIEFLY TO 60 MPH AND WIND HAIL TO PENNY SIZE.

ACTIVITY COULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THEN SLOWLY DIE
OFF OVERNIGHT. THE NEXT BIG PROBLEM COULD BE FOG OVERNIGHT. IF WE
GET ANY THIN SPOTS...SHOULD BE LOTS OF FOG. FOR NOW...CONFINE IFR
FOG TO KGFL BUT OTHER PLACES WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO THE IFR/MVFR
THRESHOLD.

OUTSIDE THE THUNDERSTORMS...NO REAL PROBLEM WITH THE
WINDS...GENERALLY REMAINING OUT OF A S OR SW DIRECTION GENERALLY
UNDER 12 KTS (EXCEPT LOCALLY SOME GUSTS IN OUTFLOW AREAS PRODUCED
BY THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE WIND WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT VARIABLE
TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION.

OUTLOOK...
MON...VFR/MVFR...MORE SHRA/TSTMS LIKELY.
TUE...VFR...CHC OF PM -SHRA/TSTMS.
WED...VFR...NO SIG WX.
THU...VFR...CHC -SHRA/TSTMS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL FEATURE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL RISE TO ABOUT 150%
OF NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS. HEAVY DOWNPOURS FROM THUNDERSTORMS
ARE LIKELY WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OCCURRING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
OVERALL...MAIN STEM RIVERS WILL NOT HAVE SIGNIFICANT RISES.
HOWEVER...SOME SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY REACH BANKFULL IN
PERSISTENT OR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TOMORROW.  SOME RURAL/URBAN
AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY...BUT FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED. A DRIER AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN BY MID WEEK.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...HWJIV
AVIATION...HWJIV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
426 AM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-231100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
426 AM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE. ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE
OF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL GREATER THAN THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER. STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH. IN ADDITION...STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT COULD LEAD TO SOME URBAN OR RURAL AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
AHEAD OF AN OCCLUDED FRONT.  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
AND HAIL LARGER THAN PENNIES WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS ONCE AGAIN
WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOONS OF
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

TAW

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1218 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

NYZ053-054-084-221700-
WESTERN RENSSELAER NY-EASTERN RENSSELAER NY-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON NY-
1218 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN RENSSELAER AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 1214 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENWICH...OR ABOUT OVER MECHANICVILLE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GREENWICH AND CAMBRIDGE BY 1250 PM EDT

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WIND HAZARDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

BGM

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
129 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

CTZ001-221815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-
129 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN LITCHFIELD COUNTY...

AT 128 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CORNWALL BRIDGE...OR ABOUT 14
MILES WEST OF TORRINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
FALLS VILLAGE BY 150 PM EDT
NORFOLK...CANAAN AND EDDY FIELD BY 205 PM EDT
NORFOLK BY 210 PM EDT

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS
ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

BGM

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
156 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ061-221830-
EASTERN COLUMBIA NY-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE MA-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE MA-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-
156 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN COLUMBIA...BERKSHIRE AND LITCHFIELD
COUNTIES...

AT 153 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHEFFIELD...OR ABOUT 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREAT BARRINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 28 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GREAT BARRINGTON BY 205 PM EDT
HOUSATONIC BY 215 PM EDT
LEE BY 225 PM EDT
LENOX BY 230 PM EDT

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
202 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

NYZ066-221830-
EASTERN DUTCHESS NY-
202 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN DUTCHESS COUNTY...

AT 158 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY
RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLBROOK...OR ABOUT 15 MILES
NORTH OF PAWLING...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
AMENIA BY 215 PM EDT
MILLERTON BY 225 PM EDT

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH
TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

BGM

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
249 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREAT BARRINGTON        42.19N 73.36W
06/22/2008                   BERKSHIRE          MA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN...TRAPPING A PERSON IN A CAR.

&&

HJOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
308 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE PITTSFIELD         42.43N 73.23W
06/22/2008                   BERKSHIRE          MA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN - POWER OUTAGES

&&

SDIRIENZ