Wind Advisory 53, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 250652
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1052 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

AKZ023-250800-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080725T2000Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
1052 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA. PEAK
GUSTS WILL BE LIMITED TO 35 MPH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

AKZ027-251315-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.080725T0900Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
1052 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT FRIDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT FRIDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT...THEN DIMINISH FRIDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 250947
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
147 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

AKZ025-251400-
/X.NEW.PAJK.FG.Y.0002.080725T0947Z-080725T1400Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
147 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT THIS MORNING.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG AROUND THE JUNEAU AREA WILL LOWER VISIBILITY TO
NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE AIRPORT AREA AND ALONG
EGAN DRIVE THROUGH THE LEMON CREEK VALLEY. MOTORIST WILL NEED TO
USE EXTRA CATION DRIVING. SLOW DOWN AND USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS LOW
BEAM. THE DENSE FOG WILL ALSO LIKELY AFFECT AIR TRAFFIC AT THE
JUNEAU AIRPORT.

THE FOG WILL LIFT EARLY THIS MORNING AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES
ONSHORE AND INCREASES WIND.

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT DENSE FOG IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 600 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ027-251400-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
147 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
DEVELOPING EARLY FRIDAY...THEN DIMINISH FRIDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251251
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

AKZ025-251400-
/X.CAN.PAJK.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080725T1400Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY. 

THE FOG ACROSS THE JUNEAU AREA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING WITH VISIBILITY SLOWLY IMPROVING.


$$

AKZ027-252100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
DEVELOPING EARLY FRIDAY...THEN DIMINISH FRIDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251354 CCA
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

AKZ025-251400-
/X.CAN.PAJK.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080725T1400Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY. 

THE FOG ACROSS THE JUNEAU AREA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING WITH VISIBILITY SLOWLY IMPROVING.


$$

AKZ027-252100-
/X.COR.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
451 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
DEVELOPING EARLY FRIDAY...THEN DIMINISH FRIDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1100 AM AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251506
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
706 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

AKZ027-251915-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
706 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1100 AM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251836
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1036 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008


AKZ027-251945-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-080726T0200Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
1036 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH...MAINLY ALONG THE OUTER COASTAL
AREAS.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1100 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008
 .SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND IS HELPING FEED TWO SURFACE
FEATURES MOVING INTO THE GULF. THE PREDOMINANT SURFACE LOW IS
VERTICALLY STACKED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WHILE THE SECONDARY
LOW IS PUSHING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF. THIS SECONDARY
LOW WILL BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER MAKER FOR OUR PERIOD AS A WEATHER
FRONT PUSHES ONSHORE. COASTAL REGIONS WILL BE FEELING THE FIRST
IMPACTS AND PAYA IS ALREADY BEING AFFECTED BY THIS WEATHER FRONT
WITH MODERATE RAIN THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN INCREASING
THIS MORNING IN THE COASTAL ZONES...WITH NEAR-GALE WINDS AT BUOY
46083. THESE WINDS ARE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BARRIER JET WHICH HAS
FORMED AS THE STACKED LOW SLOWLY PUSHES EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF. SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE ARE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE
THIS MORNING WITH SOME SUNNY BREAKS WHICH SHOULD HELP DRIVE
TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE 60S.

12Z GFS-40 WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE WITH A GOOD HANDLE ON THE
SITUATION HEADED OUR WAY. UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOULD BE GETTING MORE
ORGANIZED WITH A 100KT JET DRAPING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF HELPING ENHANCE THE LOW. THE WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW SHOULD BE PUSHING MORE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION THIS
EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL SHOULD PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD DOWN
THE PANHANDLE WITH MOST AREAS IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SEEING
AROUND .25 TO .5 INCHES BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE NORTHERN OUTER
COAST WILL BE THE EXCEPTION TOWARD THE WET SIDE WITH UPWARDS OF 2
INCHES OF RAIN BY MORNING POSSIBLE. MODEL WINDS WERE TRENDING
TOWARD GALES FOR THE COASTAL ZONES THROUGH THE EVENING AND SHOULD
BE DIMINISHING BY TOMORROW MORNING. SMALL CRAFTS WILL CONTINUE
TOMORROW FOR ALL THE COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS CLARENCE STRAIT.

.LONG RANGE...
ALL 24/12Z OPERATIONAL MODELS FOCUS ON A MAJOR UPR LOW NEAR 55N
142W AT 12Z ON SAT. THIS WOULD SUPPORT A SFC LOW AROUND 1000 MB
WITH NEAR GALE FORCE WIND IN THE GULF. ORIGIN OF THIS SYSTEM IS
ARCTIC FOR ENERGY AND MOISTURE SOURCE WAS TROPICAL FROM AN EXTRA-
TROPICAL SYSTEM BROUGHT IN YESTERDAY. WHAT WILL HELP TO REDUCE
RAINFALL RATES IS THE CYCLONIC SE FLOW ALF THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LIKELY THAT UPR LOW CENTER WILL MOVE OVR THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY
00Z MON AS PER 24/12Z AK-GFS-40 AND 24/00Z ECMWF. OLD ENSEMBLE
MEANS ALSO HELPS WITH THIS DECISION AND THE 24/12Z ECMWF FINALLY
HERE IT IS PREFERRED. AFTER THAT 24/12Z OPERATIONAL MODELS RAPIDLY
DIVERGE AS USUAL. WEIGHED GRID FORECASTS HEAVILY TO HPC & ECMWF
GRIDS NEXT MONDAY THRU WED.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-033>036-041.

KB/JC