Wind Advisory 22, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 170043
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
343 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

AKZ017-171330-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
343 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST SUNDAY WEST OF 
YAKUTAT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST SUNDAY WEST 
OF YAKUTAT.

EAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT IN COASTAL AREAS 
WEST OF YAKUTAT. WINDS WILL DECREASE BRIEFLY SUNDAY
MORNING...THEN INCREASE IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
45 MPH ALONG COASTAL AREAS WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 AM AST SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ022-023-171330-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER
343 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST SUNDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
BRIEFLY DECREASE SUNDAY MORNING...THEN INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 AM AST SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ027-171330-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.080217T0300Z-080217T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
343 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AST SUNDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 AM AST SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

BECKER

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 171122
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
222 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

AKZ027-171230-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080217T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
222 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ022-023-171230-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER
222 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-172300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
222 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. 

EAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH THROUGH TODAY IN COASTAL AREAS WEST
OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 3 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

NF

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 171140 CCA
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
239 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

AKZ027-171245-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080217T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
239 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ022-023-171245-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER
239 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-172330-
/X.COR.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0300Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
239 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON. 

EAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 45 MPH THROUGH TODAY IN COASTAL AREAS WEST
OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

NF

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 172307
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
207 PM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

AKZ017-180600-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T0600Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
207 PM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS EVENING. 

EAST WINDS TO 40 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING IN COASTAL AREAS WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AST SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 180544
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
844 PM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

AKZ017-181200-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T1200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
844 PM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY. 

GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING...MAINLY
ALONG COASTAL AREAS WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 3 AM AST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 181137
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
237 AM AST MON FEB 18 2008

AKZ017-181245-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-080218T1200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
237 AM AST MON FEB 18 2008

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM AST EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM AST EARLY THIS MORNING. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

NF

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1140 AM AST FRI FEB 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A LITTLE BREAK IN OVERCAST
OVER SOUTHERN COASTAL ZONES THIS MORNING BUT AN EXTENSIVE STRATUS
DECK EXPANDING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GULF IS ARRIVING OVER
NORTHERN TWO THIRD OF COASTAL SECTIONS.  GUSTY WIND CONTINUES
OVER SKAGWAY AREA FOR WIND ADVISORY.  THE LATEST GFS HAS VERY
MUCH THE SAME SOLUTION FROM THE PREVIOUS RUNS.  WILL USE THE GFS
190/40 TO MAINTAIN THE CONSISTENCY.  LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE
PANHANDLE WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST LATE THIS EVENING AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE SOUTH.  THIS WILL RELAX THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SKAGWAY AREA AND THE WIND ADVISORY SHOULD
EXPIRE AROUND 9 PM.  COLDER AIR AT THE BOUNDARY LAYER MOVING IN
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL SLOWLY MODIFY THE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT EVEN THOUGH HUMIDITY LEVELS
DECREASE.

THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY.  THIS LARGE SCALE RIDGE WILL DECREASE
THE CLOUD COVER TONIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR PASSAGES
FROM GUSTAVUS SOUTHEAST TO PETERSBURG AND WRANGELL AREAS FOR SOME
DEGREE OF RADIATION COOLING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.  A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW IN THE WESTERN
GULF WILL AFFECT THE EASTERN GULF AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF
PANHANDLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME ONCE
AGAIN TIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE IN
EAST TO WEST ORIENTATION.  MAINLY EAST OF YAKUTAT AND NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL COASTAL SECTIONS WILL SEE INCREASING WINDS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AHN

.LONG RANGE...MILD AND WET WITH ABV AVE TEMPS THROUGH MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK THEN THE TREND IS FOR COOLER WEATHER TO RETURN TO SE
AK.

LONG WAVE PATTERN SETTING UP HAS COLD ANCHOR LOW NEAR DATELINE
OVER EXTEME NE RUSSIA AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGE APLIFYING OVER WRN
NORTH AMERICA. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS TROPICAL
MOISTURE PLUME BLOSSOMING ALONG 160W. GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODELS ARE
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THIS MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO SE AK STARTING
LATE SAT AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND NCEP FCSTRS HAVE
HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS. NUMEROUS SHORT
WAVES AND UPPER LEVEL VORTICITY LOBES ARE FCST IN MODELS TO RIDE
NE ALG BAROCLNIC ZONE THROUGH THE GULF AND INTO SE AK. HENCE WE
EXPECT SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE MOISTURE PLUME AND PERIODIC
MODERATE TO HEAVY PCPN RATES. SATELLITE DERIVED RAINFALL RATES
ARE AS HIGH AS 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR ALG THIS PLUME TODAY.
WILL BROAD BRUSH A WET SW FLOW PATTERN IN GRIDS WELL INTO NEXT
WEEK. THE DAILY DETAILS BEYOND DAY3 WILL HAVE TO BE REFINED OVER
TIME.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A WINDY EPISODE AS THE FIRST SLUG OF
MOISTURE ARRIVES SAT NIGHT. GALES ARE ALREADY POSTED FOR LATE SAT
IN THE NRN OFFSHORE WATERS AND COASTAL ZONES. GALES SPREAD SOUTH
DOWN THE PANHADLE COAST SUN. WIND FCSTS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH ANCHORAGE AND VANCOUVER FCST TRENDS.

STARTING LATE NEXT WEEK...THU OR SO...THE MODELS SHOW THE COLD
ANCHOR LOW AND WRN NO AMERICAN RIDGE WEAKENING THEIR GRIPS AND
LIFTING EWD. THIS WOULD SHIFT THE WET BAROCLINIC BAND S AND E OF
OUR FCST AREA AND ALLOW COOLER THAN AVERAGE AIR TO MOVE IN FROM
THE NW BY NEXT WEEKEND.  TA

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WND ADVY FOR AKZ018 UNTIL 06Z TONIGHT.
MARINE...GALE WRNG FOR OFFSHORE AND ENTIRE OUTSIDE WTRS SAT.
      ...SCA FOR REST OF CSTL WTRS.