Gale Warning 366, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAJK 190148 CCA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
445 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-191400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON TONIGHT. A GALE
FORCE LOW AND FRONTAL BAND WILL MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ011-191400-
GLACIER BAY-
445 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-191400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-191400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-191400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-191400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-191400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-191400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT
LATE. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-191400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE.
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-191400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT
LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-191400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT LATE.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-191400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAJK 190548 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
900 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-191400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON TONIGHT. A GALE
FORCE LOW AND FRONTAL BAND WILL MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ011-191400-
GLACIER BAY-
445 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-191400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-191400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
900 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT LATE. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-191400-
ICY STRAIT-
900 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-191400-
CROSS SOUND-
900 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-191400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-191400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT
LATE. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-191400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
900 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-191400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT
LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-191400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT LATE.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-191400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAJK 191235
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NW INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE
TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ONSHORE OVER SOUTHERN
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THU. 

$$

PKZ011-200300-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-200300-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-200300-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-200300-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-200300-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-200300-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-200300-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-200300-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-200300-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-200300-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-200300-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAJK 191948 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200100-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NW INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE
TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE NE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ONSHORE OVER SOUTHERN
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THU. 

$$

PKZ011-200100-
GLACIER BAY-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-200100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-200100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-200100-
ICY STRAIT-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-200100-
CROSS SOUND-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-200100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-200100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-200100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-200100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-200100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-200100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1048 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
106 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

.SHORT TERM...A MID LEVEL RIDGE IS CURRENTLY ADVECTING OVER THE
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. THIS IS ALLOWING FOR ONSHORE FLOW AND
SCATTERED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY NORTH OF BARNOF ISLAND.
ALONG THE INNER CHANNELS THE OVERRUNNING HAS BECOME SUFFICIENT IN
DEPTH FOR THE PRECIP IN THE FORM OF PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW NORTH OF
ANGOON. HOWEVER MOISTURE IS NOT PLENTIFUL IN THE DENDRITE GROWTH
REGION OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING AND THIS WILL LIMIT
THE ABILITY OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL. INTO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING THE OVERRUNNING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PANHANDLE WITH LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. BUT LATE TONIGHT
THE MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE WITHIN THE RIDGE WILL DOMINATE LEAVING
ONLY YAKUTAT WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW. WINDS ARE INCREASING
ALONG THE OUTER COAST WITH SMCR WIND GUSTS AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES OUT OF THE EAST. ALONG THE INNER CHANNELS WINDS
REMAIN STRONGEST IN EAST-WEST ORIENTED CHANNELS WITH GUSTS TO 25
KNOTS. UPDATED THE PACKAGE WITH THE 12Z GFS AS IT INITIALIZED THE
BEST WITH THE DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. DID INCORPORATE THE 12Z NAM AND 18Z
WRF IN THE TIMING OF THE OVERRUNNING PRECIP MOVEMENT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT.

 FOR TONIGHT PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF ICY
STRAIT AS OVERRUNNING REMAINS FAVORABLE. HOWEVER, SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ONLY UP TO 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE IS
LACKING IN THE DENDRITE GROWTH REGION. THIS AREA OF OVERRUNNING
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL
RIDGE AMPLIFIES AND STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN
THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. EXPECT THE EASTERLY AND NORTHERLY FLOW TO
CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO TONIGHT WHICH WILL DRY OUT THE MID
LEVELS, SO EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE BY LATE TONIGHT. THE EASTERLY SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
WITH THE DEVELOPING 1040 MB SURFACE HIGH IN THE YUKON AND EXPECT
GUSTS ALONG EAST-WEST ORIENTED CHANNELS TO REACH 35 KNOTS.

 FOR TOMORROW THE MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL ADVECT INTO THE YUKON
CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN THE 1040 MB SURFACE HIGH. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW TO DEVELOP AND A STRONG
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL. EXPECT WIND
ADVY GUSTS NEAR SKAGWAY WITH WIND CHILLS TO -20F NEAR WHITE PASS
AND GALES IN LYNN CANAL WITH FREEZING SPRAY AS WATER TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO COOL. THE 12Z VERTICAL MODEL SOUNDINGS NEAR JUNEAU
ALSO INDICATE STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW AND AN INVERSION
DEVELOPING JUST ABOVE RIDGE TOP BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
WHILE NO CRITICAL LEVEL EXIST NEAR 500MB, WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TOMORROW OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES NEAR
DOWNTOWN JUNEAU. THE MID LEVEL FRONTAL BAND FROM A DEVELOPING
GALE FORCE LOW IN THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN
OUTER COAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND SO EXPECT LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS NEAR PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND WITH GALES ALONG THE OUTER
COAST. WITH THE STRONG EASTERLY AND NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE TOMORROW AND THE DRY AIR AT MID LEVELS EXPECT PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF PANHANDLE AS THERE IS
NOT ENOUGH LIFT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS TO OVERCOME THE DRY
AIR FOR PRECIPITATION.

.LONG TERM...LONG WAVE PATTERN SHOWS PROGRESSIVE 4 WAVE PATTERN
WITH DEEP WAVE OVER EASTERN CHINA AND RIDGING OVER WESTERN BERING
SEA AND ANOTHER LONGWAVE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. LONG WAVE
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO SHARPEN AS A
SHORTWAVE ROUNDS THE BOTTOM OF THE TROF AND MOVES ALONG THE BACK
SIDE OF A BUILDING RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST. SATELLITE REVEALS A
MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATIONS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR 50N
155W CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA.

MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE A LARGE SPREAD PAST FRIDAY WITH THE 18/12Z
GFS PROVIDING A CONSOLIDATED 980MB LOW MOVING NORTH ALONG 150W.
18/12Z EC CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAKER LOW (986MB) FURTHER WEST IN
THE CENTRAL GULF WITH A SIGNIFICANT TROF ROTATING ALONG THE
ALASKA PANHANDLE THURSDAY. THE 18/12Z EC HAS THE PARENT LOW
REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING TO A 995MB LOW IN THE
CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRIDAY AS A NEW LOW FORMS ALONG THE BASE OF
THE LONG WAVE TROF AND MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE
GFS SOLUTION IS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE PARENT LOW DEEPENING
TO 978MB AND A NEW 980MB LOW APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE.
CHOSE TO USE A GFS BLEND IN THE EARLY PERIODS TO MATCH WITH SHORT
TERM GRIDS AND USED A 18/12Z EC BLEND WITH INHERITED GRIDS PAST
DAY 3 TO PRESERVE CONTINUITY IN THE LONG TERM AS CONFIDENCE IN
MODELS PAST DAY 3 IS LOW. WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONE 18
INTO THE LONG RANGE FORECAST PERIOD, BUT HAVE NOT DECIDED FOR HOW LONG.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-033>036-041-042.

PSS/CCC