Wind Advisory 36, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 250036
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
336 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2008

AKZ225-251000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-081125T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
336 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY...

SOUTHERLY WINDS LOCALLY GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE IN PASSES
THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE
ANTLER CREEK AREA ALONG THE PARKS HIGHWAY.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
MORE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 250932
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1232 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2008

AKZ225-251045-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-081125T1500Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
1232 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1228 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2008

.DISCUSSION...

23/00Z CYCLE GFS/ECMF/NAM RUNS HAVE INITIALIZED REASONABLY WELL
ON THE COMPLEX ELONGATED SURFACE LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND ALEUTIANS. THE LEFTOVERS OF THE MAIN CENTER ARE PROGGED TO
REACH THE KENAI PENINSULA/PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA BY 12Z TUE
WHILE MORE ORGANIZED LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN
INTERIOR. GFS/ECMWF DEEPENING THIS LOW TO AROUND 984 MB OVER
THE WESTERN SEWARD PEN BY 00Z WED AND IS THE PREFERRED
SOLUTION...NAM GOING FOR A SOMEWHAT WEAKER LOW. WEAKER LOW
PRESSURE WILL EXTEND EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

GFS/ECMWF QPF PROGS FOR TODAY AGREE WELL ON A NORTH-SOUTH
BAND OF PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN
INTERIOR AS SURFACE PRESSURES START TO FALL AND AN INVERTED
TROUGH DEVELOPS AS A PRELUDE TO THE FORMATION OF A LOW
CENTER LATER ON. ZONES 215-216 COULD SEE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO 1 OR 2 INCHES...LESSER AMOUNTS IN NEARBY AREAS.

THE SNOW BAND IS LIKELY TO EXPAND FARTHER TO THE NORTH
TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN SEWARD
PENINSULA OR NEARBY WESTERN INTERIOR...GFS/ECMWF AGREE
QUITE WELL ON THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SNOW BAND. SNOW
AMOUNTS TONIGHT ARE LIKELY TO BE AROUND AN INCH IN THE
WESTERN INTERIOR AND NEARBY AREAS. FLURRIES OR LOW-END
MEASURABLE SNOW MAY SPREAD INTO THE WESTERN ARCTIC ZONES.

FOR TUE...GENERAL LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
MOST WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR AREAS...SOME LIGHT AMOUNTS
MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR...AND WESTERN ARCTIC ZONES AS WELL. SNOW AMOUNTS
FOR THIS PERIOD ARE LIKELY TO BE AN INCH OR LESS.

ECMWF AND GFS QPF AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD
AND WITH SOMEWHAT LARGER AMOUNTS THAN THE NAM AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE
AS THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE PROGGING SLIGHTLY DEEPER SURFACE LOW CENTER.

LOCAL SUB-ADVISORY GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUE MORNING IN THE NORMALLY WINDY SPOTS IN ALASKA RANGE PASSES...
SUPPORTED BY LOW-END SOUTHERN FLOW ALOFT. STRONGER CHINOOK ACTION
IS LIKELY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE WEEKEND WITH SOMEWHAT
STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW. CURRENTLY THE ONLY WINDY SPOT HAS
BEEN THE ANTLER CREEK PLATFORM...REPORTING HOURLY PEAK GUSTS
OF 35-45 MPH.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF NOV 08