Wind Advisory 30, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 171820
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1020 AM AKDT THU JUL 17 2008

AKZ225-171930-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-080718T0600Z/
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
1020 AM AKDT THU JUL 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS IN THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE HAVE DIMINISHED TO 40 MPH OR
LESS. 

$$

AKZ226-171930-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-080718T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1020 AM AKDT THU JUL 17 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THE WINDS IN THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE HAVE DIMINISHED TO 45 MPH OR
LESS. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
107 AM AKDT THU JUL 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THERE ARE TWO UPPER TROUGHS THAT WILL BE THE MAIN FEATURES OF
INTEREST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THE FIRST TROUGH/CLOSED LOW
IS NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SLOWLY PUSHING THIS
LOW INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  OVER THE WEEKEND A
BROAD TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH MOST
OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM RE-DEVELOPING INTO A CLOSED LOW
ACROSS THE YUKON COURTESY OF STRONGER JET ENERGY PUSHING ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.  THIS WILL KEEP THE
PATTERN COOL AND UNSETTLED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ALASKA.  AS THE
LOW FINALLY PUSHES OUT OVER THE WEEKEND IT WILL ALLOW THE WEST COAST
ZONES TO BRIEFLY DRY OUT.

WAITING IN THE WINGS IS A SECOND LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY NORTH OF
BANKS ISLAND. THE MODELS/MODEL ENSEMBLES ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
THAT AS THIS LOW LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHERN CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO THIS
WEEKEND AND OFF TOWARD NORTHERN GREENLAND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING BACK TO THE CHUKCHI SEA. MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT AS THE ENERGY SPLITS THE TROUGH DEVELOPS INTO A
CLOSED LOW NEAR THE SEWARD PENINSULA EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THIS SYSTEM
LOOKS TO DRIFT SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST TUE-WED.  MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE OPERATIONAL GFS CARRIES
THIS SYSTEM DOWN INTO THE GULF WHEREAS MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AS WELL
AS THE ECMWF KEEP THE ENERGY ACROSS THE MAINLAND LONGER. BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK MUCH OF THE INTERIOR MAY COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOME
RIDGING BETWEEN SYSTEMS WHICH MAY DRY THINGS OUT FOR A COUPLE OF
DAYS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF/CB JUL 08