Wind Advisory 20, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 242210
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
210 PM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

AKZ217-250600-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-080325T0600Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...AMBLER...SHUNGNAK...KOBUK
210 PM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS EVENING. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE OCCURRING
IN THE UPPER NOATAK VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 10 PM MONDAY EVENING. ACCOMPANYING THESE
WINDS WILL BE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES 
TO WELL BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST
40 MPH ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 250404
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
804 PM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

AKZ217-251400-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-080325T1400Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...AMBLER...SHUNGNAK...KOBUK
804 PM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM ADT TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM ADT TUESDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
OCCURRING IN THE UPPER NOATAK VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING. ACCOMPANYING
THESE WINDS WILL BE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO WELL BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST
40 MPH ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

$$

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 251143
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
343 AM ADT TUE MAR 25 2008

AKZ217-260000-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-080326T0000Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...AMBLER...SHUNGNAK...KOBUK
343 AM ADT TUE MAR 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM ADT THIS AFTERNOON...

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
OCCURRING IN THE UPPER NOATAK VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
TO CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON. ACCOMPANYING THESE WINDS WILL BE
LOCAL AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO WELL
BELOW ONE MILE AT TIMES.

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF AT LEAST
40 MPH ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
417 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT FROM RUN TO RUN AND OFFER UP
VARYING SOLUTIONS AMONGST THE VARIOUS MODELS. ALL OF THIS LEADS TO
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY BY LATE THIS WEEK.

THE BEST AGREEMENT CONTINUES TO BE WITH AN UPPER RIDGE THAT IS
CURRENTLY GETTING PINCHED OFF TO THE NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND.  BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN THE
HIGH ARCTIC ABOUT 500 MILES NORTH OF BARROW.  THE MODELS REMAIN
CONSISTENT THAT THIS HIGH WILL REMAIN A DISCERNIBLE FEATURE AND
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

THE GREATEST UNCERTAINTY IS FOUND FURTHER SOUTH. THE UPPER LOW IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK AND
IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN GIVEN A LACK OF ADDITIONAL COLD AIR AND
JET ENERGY.  MUCH OF THE UNCERTAINTY HINGES ON WHAT EVENTUALLY
HAPPENS JUST SOUTH OF THE STATE...BUT THIS IS WHERE UNCERTAINTY IS
HIGH.  THE ACTIVE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET WILL LIKELY TAKE
ANOTHER BATCH OF ENERGY INTO THE GULF BY THE WEEKEND WHICH WOULD
EITHER HELP TO RE-ENERGIZE THE EXISTING TROUGH...OR IF THE TROUGH
WEAKENS AND PUSHES OUT IT WILL DEVELOP A NEW TROUGH. IN ANY
CASE...THE PATTERN IS ONE THAT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR TO A
LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE FOR LATE MARCH. AS THE MAIN JET WILL REMAIN
WELL SOUTH OF THE STATE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. DEPENDING ON JUST HOW THINGS PLAY OUT
BY NEXT WEEKEND SOME SNOW IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST ZONES.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ203.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ217-AKZ218.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ205-AKZ206.

BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ219.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF MAR 08