Storm Warning 5, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 232220
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-241500-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 995 MB LOW 150 MILES NORTH OF FLAXMAN ISLAND WED AFTERNOON
WILL WEAKEN TO 1006 MB THU MORNING AS IT MOVES TO A POSITION
150 MILES NORTH OF MACKENZIE BAY. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE NORTH SLOPE AND SOUTHERN ARCTIC OCEAN LATE
THU THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ225-241500-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-241500-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-241500-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-241500-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE WED NIGHT. 
BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-241500-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
120 PM AST WED JAN 23 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CF/MAR JAN 08

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 PM AST TUE JAN 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES AS A POTENT 982 MB SURFACE
LOW CURRENTLY OVER ZONE 208 CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND WILL
EXIT THE MAINLAND NEAR BARROW THIS EVENING...BUT NOT BEFORE IT
BRINGS BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE NORTH AND
WESTERN ZONES.

THE NAM AND THE GFS ARE ADVERTISING QPF VALUES IN EXCESS OF ONE
QUARTER OF AN INCH FOR EXTENDED PERIODS ALONG THE WEST COAST AND
NORTH SLOPE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...ALONG WITH WINDS IN EXCESS OF
40 MPH IN MANY PLACES THAT USUALLY DO NOT SEE MUCH WIND...LEADING
TO THE ISSUANCE AND CONTINUATION OF SEVERAL BLIZZARD WARNINGS AND
OTHER ASSORTED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
WEST COAST AND NORTH SLOPE. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE ON
THE LEE SIDE OF THE BROOKS RANGE AS THE UPSLOPE MAXIMIZES SNOWFALL
TOTALS.

THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS
EVENING ONCE WINDS SHIFT TO TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE INTERIOR
WILL ALSO SEE DRAMATIC COOLING OVERNIGHT FROM RECORD AND NEAR
RECORD HIGHS TO MORE SEASONABLE BELOW ZERO TEMPERATURES. FAIRBANKS
ALONE SHOULD SEE A 40 DEGREE DROP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THIS IS A HIGHLY VARIABLE AND QUICKLY CHANGING SITUATION. THE
MOS WINDS ARE WAY UNDERDONE IN MOST CASES...AND THE TIMING ALSO
SEEMS TO BE TOO SLOW. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAIL.

THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE BERING SEA ON THURSDAY BUT WILL
TAKE A MUCH MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ222.

BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ209-AKZ212-AKZ218.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ218.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ210-AKZ211.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ205-AKZ206-AKZ207-
AKZ208-AKZ213-AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ225.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

KS JAN 08