Small Craft Advisory 82, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
148 AM AKDT TUE SEP 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FIRST 48 HOURS. THE
EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS THURSDAY WITH A CLOSED LOW ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL MEANDER AROUND AND
WILL GET ABSORBED BY A NEW LOW THAT WILL LIFT NORTH TOWARD THE
ALEUTIANS BY SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW SOME RIDGING WILL BE
INDUCED DOWNSTREAM ACROSS EASTERN ALASKA NEXT WEEKEND.

BY EARLY NEXT WEEK THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ACROSS BRISTOL BAY
OR THE WESTERN GULF WITH MORE OR LESS A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS
WESTERN ALASKA. THERE IS A DECIDED LACK OF ARCTIC AIR ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA FOR THE NEXT WEEK...AND ASIDE FROM THE SOUTHWEST ZONES LATE IN
THE PERIOD THE 500 MB HEIGHTS WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THE
MEDIUM RANGE.

TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE IN MOST
AREAS FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER. THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL LIKELY BE
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ZONES...ALTHOUGH SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE INTERIOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE
LOW IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA. MUCH OF THE INTERIOR WILL LIKELY HAVE
MAINLY DRY WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOME
RIDGING AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ235-PKZ240-
PKZ245.
&&

CF SEP 08