Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK63 PAFG 152310
RFWAFG

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
310 PM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
   EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
   INTERIOR...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
   EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTH SLOPES
   OF THE ALASKA RANGE...

AKZ223-160600-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080516T0600Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
310 PM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 30 PERCENT WILL INCREASE
BY 10 PM. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

AKZ226-160600-
/X.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080516T0600Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
310 PM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM ADT THIS
EVENING. 

DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 30 PERCENT WILL INCREASE
BY 10 PM. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

JK/MAR

000 
WWAK63 PAFG 160511
RFWAFG

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
911 PM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTH
SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR...

AKZ223-226-160615-
/X.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080516T0600Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
911 PM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
520 AM ADT THU MAY 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT....LONG WAVE TROUGH NORTH-SOUTH OVER ALASKA WILL SHIFT WEST
WHILE RIDGE BUILDS OVER FAR EASTERN PORTION FROM SOUTH THROUGH
SAT...HOWEVER SEVERAL VORT MAXES MOVING ALONG IN THE RIDGE WILL
PROHIBIT A DEFINITE DRYING AND WARMING TREND. SHORT WAVE TROUGH
FROM LOW NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OVER ZONES 201
AND 202 NEXT 24 HOURS AND CONTINUE NORTH OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN.

SURFACE...OLD OCCLUSION NEARLY ALOFT FROM KING SALMON TO MCGRATH
TO FORT YUKON WILL DISSIPATE BY EVENING. ASSOCIATED 978 MB LOW EAST
OF KODIAK WILL MOVE NORTH AND DISSIPATE WHILE WEAK THERMAL LOW AND
ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXISTS NEAR THE OLD OCCLUSION...THIS THERMAL
TROUGH WILL DRIFT NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI TO LIE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE THEN SOUTH TO GALENA 00Z SAT.

MODELS...GFS AND NAM INITIALIZE WELL AND ARE OK THROUGH 36 HOURS.
PREFER GFS THEREAFTER AS NAM DOES NOT DEVELOP A SURFACE LOW NEAR
WHITEHORSE 00Z SAT WHILE GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS DO.

NORTH SLOPE....NORTHEAST WINDS OVER WESTERN COASTAL ZONES WILL
BECOME SOUTHWEST BY THU AS UPPER TROUGH WITH WRANGELL LOW MOVES
THROUGH. LITTLE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS OTHER THAN SOME
FLURRIES.

WESTERN ALASKA...NORTHWEST FLOW OVER COASTAL AREAS KEEPING AREAS
OF FOG ALONG COASTAL SECTION OF THE NORTHERN ZONES AND ZONE 213.
MODELS DIMINISH THIS SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS INTERIOR LOWS WEAKEN SO EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS TO
DIMINISH IN RESPONSE. ALL WINDS STILL BELOW MARINE ADVISORY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ZONES 215
AND 216 TODAY NEAR THERMAL TROUGH AND DYING OCCLUSION. SCATTERED
SHOWERS FRI ZONES 217 216 AND EASTERN 212 DUE TO THERMAL TROUGH
DRIFTING NORTHWEST.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...FOR TODAY EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
NEAR DYING OCCLUSION WITH ISOLATED T-STORMS IN THE PM. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL SHIFT NORTH THROUGH FRI WITH THERMAL TROUGH...MAY NOT
BE MUCH INSTABILITY FRI PM FOR T-STORMS EXCEPT AROUND ZONE 219.
CIRCULATION AROUND KODIAK LOW IS CREATING RIDGING OVER COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND THUS SOME GAP WINDS THROUGH ALASKA RANGE PASSES
ALONG WITH CLOUDINESS TODAY...WINDS WILL PERSIST WELL INTO FRI AS
WEAK RIDGING ALOFT ALSO DEVELOPS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WINDY CONDITIONS IN ZONES 223 225 AND 226 BUT
EXPECT HUMIDITIES TO NOT DROP IN TO RED FLAG RANGE AS AREA BECOMES
OR REMAINS CLOUDY TODAY...THEN LESS CLOUDS AND WIND ON FRIDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

JL MAY 08