Brisk Wind Advisory 49, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 162258
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-171400-
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A TROUGH ALONG A LINE FROM MEKORYUK TO KOTZEBUE WILL GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA PERSISTS.

$$

PKZ200-171400-
NORTON SOUND-
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-171400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT EAST OF SLEDGE ISLAND. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT.
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-171400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-171400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
158 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DJH/RT FEB 08

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
212 PM AST FRI FEB 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...
FAST MOVING PATTERN BY NORTHERN ALASKA STANDARDS LOOKS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

ALOFT...CLOSED LOW VCNTY BERING STRAIT MOVING DRFTG NWWD.
ASSOCIATED TROF PRESENTLY IN ARC FROM KOTZEBUE TO NORTH OF
FAIRBANKS TO EAGLE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...TO BE BASICALLY
ALONG THE NORTH SLOPE COAST BY 18Z SAT. RIDGE ALOFT BUILDING RPDLY
FOLLOWING THE TROF.

AT THE SURFACE...1012 MB HIGH OVER SW INTERIOR TO BE 1018 MB
CENTER NEAR NORTHWAY BY 18Z SAT. DEEP LOW SOUTH OF ADAK WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. NEW LOW WILL PROBABLY WIND UP IN
BRISTOL BAY BY SUN EVENING. ASSOCIATED OCFNT WILL MOVE INTO SW
MAINLAND LATE SAT AND MOVE NORTHWARD...BEING SHREDDED IN THE
PROCESS.

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...THO OF COURSE
DETAILS DIFFER. HOWEVER...THE BASIC PATTERN SEEMS LOCKED
IN...WITH LONGWAVE RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA AND LONGWAVE
TROUGH ALONG ABOUT THE DATELINE...WITH SLOW PROGRESSION LIKELY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FOR THE NORTH SLOPE...MODERATE S-SW WINDS ALOFT FOLLOWING THE
INCOMING TROF SHOULD ALLOW FOR CLEARING OVER MUCH OF THE SLOPE
SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOCALLY WINDY IN THE MOUNTAIN PASSES.

FOR THE WEST COAST...NORTH PACIFIC/BERING SEA LOW COMPLEX WILL
SPREAD SNOW BACK INTO THE SEA STARTING SAT IN THE SOUTHERN ZONES
AND THENCE TO N OF THE BERING STRAIT SUN.

FOR THE INTERIOR...STRONG SW WINDS AND COLD ADVECTION DIMINISHING
THIS EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR...SO WE WILL ALLOW THE
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. CHINOOK DOMINATED
FLOW RETURNS STARTING SAT. WINDS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY BELOW
ADVISORY LEVEL IN ALASKA RANGE PASSES...THO THE USUAL SPOTS WILL
BE PERMANENTLY WINDY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

RT FEB 08