Brisk Wind Advisory 113, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 202128
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-211400-
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO THE BERING STRAIT WILL MOVE
TO BARTER ISLAND TO POINT LAY BY 4AM MON. A 996 MB LOW IN THE
SOUTHEAST BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND SLOWLY
WEAKEN THRU MON.

$$

PKZ200-211400-
NORTON SOUND-
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-211400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-211400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-211400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
128 PM ADT SUN APR 20 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK/CF APR 08

000
FZAK52 PAFG 211103
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-220230-
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE TO
BARTER ISLAND TO BARROW BY 4PM MON AND THEN REMAIN STATIONARY.
A 993 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NEAR ANADYR AS
A 100 MB LOW TUE. A WEATHER FRONT FROM THE LOW TO ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND TO NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO WRANGEL ISLAND TO ST MATHEW
ISLAND BY 4AM TUE AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN. 

$$

PKZ200-220230-
NORTON SOUND-
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-220230-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-220230-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-220230-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
303 AM ADT MON APR 21 2008

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

APR 08

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 PM ADT SAT APR 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT 48 HOURS. ONLY
REAL DIFFERENCE HAS BEEN THAT THE MODELS ARE UNDER DOING THE
STRENGTH OF LOW OFF THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC COAST.
OMEGA BLOCK FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA. SYNOPTIC
PATTERN IS NOT PROGRESSIVE THROUGH END OF THE WEEK. HEIGHTS REMAIN
NEARLY CONSTANT THROUGH WEEK WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR RAPIDLY
INCREASING TEMPERATURES. THIS WILL CAUSE RAPID SNOW MELT SOUTH OF
THE BROOKS RANGE.
LOW NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WITH THE ASSOCIATED COMPLEX FRONTAL
SYSTEM IS TRACKING EASTWARD TO BE NEAR BANKS ISLAND BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTER LOW PASSES THROUGH WINDS WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER
AND SNOWFALL WILL DECREASE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AND THE WEST
COAST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ONLY PRECIPITATION POSSIBILITY WILL BE MOISTURE BEING TRANSPORTED
UP AND AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND MUCH
OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL BE THAT OF RAIN.

THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY WINDS IN THE ALASKA RANGE DUE TO GAP FLOW
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS BEING ELEVATED AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO
BUILD IN. WINDS WILL DECREASE ON SUNDAY AS AXIS FORMS OVER THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...TODAY MARKS THE START OF A RAPID AND EXTENDED WARM-UP
THAT MAY LEAD TO IMPLICATIONS IN TERMS OF BREAK-UP IN THE NEXT FEW
WEEKS. IN THE SHORTER TERM...RAPID SNOW MELT WILL BE LIKELY AND
WITH THE GROUND STILL FROZEN...POOLING WATER WILL BE LIKELY IN
LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS AND IN PARTICULAR NEAR SLOUGHS AND SMALL
TRIBUTARIES.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-
PKZ245.
&&

CF APR 08