Storm Warning 6, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 191240
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 960 MB LOW NEAR 57N 178W WILL WEAKEN TO 970 MB AND MOVE TO 63N 
178W BY SAT NIGHT. SUN AFTERNOON A 971 MB LOW WILL MOVE NEAR 46N
171W. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 980 MB AND MOVE TO 55N 165W BY SUN
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-200300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI JAN 18 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS
RUN.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA HAS BROUGHT MOSTLY MIDDLE TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
INTO THE AREA. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA HAS CLEAR SOME OF
THE CLOUDS OUT OF THE AREA.

THE WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.
AN INTENSE STORM OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS HAS PRODUCED WARNING
LEVEL WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL AK AND THE GULF...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL AREA TONIGHT
AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN THE CLEAR OUT SOME OF THE CLOUD
TONIGHT BUT THIS ALSO INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF FOG DEVELOPING
TONIGHT OVER COOK INLET AND LOW LYING AREAS IN THE INTERIOR. A WARMER
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF, COOK INLET AND
SUSITNA VALLEY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MORE RAIN AND SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO TO MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY AND WILL SPREAD TO
THE KENAI PENINSULA AND SUSITNA VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUTH SUNDAY. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE PARTS OF THE MATANUSKA VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND IN THE UPPER LEVELS
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL
ADVECT WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC INTO THE AREA.

A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WILL APPROACH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST TONIGHT BUT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
SNOW AND STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP MAINLY ALONG THE DELTA COAST
THIS EVENING AND MAY PRODUCE LOW VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. AS
WARMER AIR MOVES NORTH, THE SNOW WILL BECOME MIXED WITH RAIN WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED FREEZING RAIN OVER THE INLAND PORTION OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. RAIN AND SNOW MOVING INTO BRISTOL BAY THIS EVENING
WILL CHANGE TO MOSTLY RAIN AND TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH
THE NIGHT.

BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIANS...
THE INTENSE STORM OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SATURDAY AND INTO THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST
SUNDAY. AN AREA OF STRONG WINDS OVER THE ALEUTIANS WILL DIMINISH LATE
TONIGHT AS THE STORM MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUE TO MOVE
SLOWLY EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BOTH AT THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE STATE THROUGH MONDAY. A NEW STORM
SYSTEM DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL SUNDAY WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHERN INTERIOR TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 185 187.
         BLIZZARD WARNING 155.
MARINE...STORM 170 172 179 185 411 412 413 414.
         GALE 130 132 150 155 160 165 171 175 176 180 352.
         HVY FREEZING SPRAY 130 160 185 411.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM JAN 08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1114 AM AST FRI JAN 18 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1042 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE UNALASKA           53.96N 166.48W
01/18/2008  M76 MPH          PKZ171             AK   AWOS

            GUST MEASURED AT THE DUTCH HARBOR AIRPORT.

&&

DV