Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2008
Storm Warning 187, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 4, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 4, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 6, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK62 PAFC 050016 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008 WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-051500- .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 979 MB LOW NEAR 58N 169W WILL WEAKEN TO 988 MB AS IT MOVES TO 55N 172W FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN TO 1004 MB AS IT MOVES TO 48N 170W SAT AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW NEAR 49N 167W WILL WEAKEN TO 999 MB AS IT MOVES TO 56N 155W SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ412-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ413-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008 ...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ414-051500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT..EXCEPT NW 25 KT FROM 171W TO 169W. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
000 FZAK62 PAFC 051228 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-060300- .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 985 MB LOW NEAR 59N 172W WILL WEAKEN TO 1010 MB AT 47N 171W SAT AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. A 985 MB LOW NEAR 52N 165W WILL WEAKEN TO 1000 MB AT 56N 155W SAT AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ412-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 TO 28 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21 TO 26 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ413-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...WEST OF 174W...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 TO 28 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. E OF 174W...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TONIGHT...WEST OF 174W...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. E OF 174W...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...WEST OF 174W...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. E OF 174W...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ414-060300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 060001 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-061500- .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 989 MB LOW NEAR 56N 173W WILL WEAKEN TO 1003 MB AS IT MOVES TO 50N 171W SAT MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. A FRONT MOVING MOVE OUT OF RUSSIA SAT NIGHT AND ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA ON SUN. $$ PKZ411-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ412-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ413-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 29 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ414-061500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 5 2008 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 061246 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-070300- .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 995 MB LOW AT 56N 156W MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA AND DISSIPATES. A 1000 MB LOW AT 52N 173W MOVES SOUTH AND INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT MOVES EAST INTO THE WESTERN BERING SUN AND SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-070300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ412-070300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON AND TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ413-070300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ414-070300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 070007 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-071500- .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE WESTERN BERING SUN AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING MON. A 969 MB LOW NEAR 46N 161W SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO NEAR 53N 153W AND STRENGTHEN TO 962 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-071500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ412-071500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ413-071500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 14 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ414-071500- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 6 2008 .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE AND WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 4, 12:55 PM AKST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 12:55 PM AKST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1255 PM AKST THU DEC 4 2008
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THERE ARE NOW TWO VERTICALLY STACKED
LOWS EMBEDDED WITHIN A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE
BERING SEA/NORTH PACIFIC. ONE IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE OTHER IS JUST NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.
THERE IS VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT RIGHT NOW...BUT THESE LOWS WILL
BEGIN TO FUJIWARA WITH THE PACIFIC LOW TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD
AND THE BERING LOW DROPPING SOUTHWESTWARD. A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE
EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC UP TOWARD BRITISH COLUMBIA.
THE UPPER JET HAS NOW SLID EAST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND IS POINTED
TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA. WHAT IS LEFT BEHIND ARE WEAK UPPER WAVES
ROTATING AROUND THE WESTERN TROUGH NORTHWARD ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA
AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA. ONE UPPER WAVE IS CURRENTLY EXITING THE
COPPER BASIN. SNOWFALL CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN...ENHANCED
BY UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA THROUGH 4 PM AND IT LOOKS LIKE
WE WILL BE ABLE TO LET THAT EXPIRE ON SCHEDULE. ALSO OF NOTE...THE
ARCTIC FRONT HAS PUSHED NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO THE
KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS. WARM AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. MOST COASTAL AREAS HAVE CHANGED TO ALL
RAIN...BUT INLAND LOCATIONS ARE STILL ALL SNOW. 00Z SOUNDING FROM
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE KEY IN DETERMINING HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE
HAS WARMED AND WHAT THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN WILL BE OVER
INLAND LOCATIONS. FINALLY...GALE TO STORM FORCE NORTHERLIES CONTINUE
WEST OF THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN BERING SEA.
AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE STEADILY DROPPED THE PAST 24 HOURS (BUOY 46035
IS DOWN TO 30 DEGREES) AND FREEZING SPRAY IS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...12Z MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND ARE IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD. WILL FINE-TUNE
CURRENT FORECAST WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE ALSO
CONVERGED ON A SOLUTION WITH MAJOR LOW MOVING INTO GULF MONDAY...SO
WILL TREND TOWARD THAT SOLUTION.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHERN MAINLAND/ALASKA PENINSULA...WEAK WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
ROTATE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...ALASKA PENINSULA...AND
EASTERN BERING TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. CHARACTER OF PRECIPITATION
WILL PREDOMINANTLY BE SHOWERY. HOWEVER...UPSLOPE AREAS AND INLAND
VALLEYS WHERE OVERRUNNING DOMINATES WILL SEE STEADIER PRECIPITATION
AS THESE WAVES MOVE THROUGH. PRECIPITATION WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
AND SHORT-LIVED. HOWEVER...AS MENTIONED ABOVE THERE IS A THREAT FOR
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL NEED TO LOOK AT 00Z SOUNDINGS BEFORE MAKING
A FINAL DECISION...BUT FOR NOW SINCE DONT EXPECT WIDESPREAD OR
STEADY PRECIPITATION PLAN TO DOWNPLAY THE THREAT AND FORECAST A
CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN OR ISOLATED AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN. AS
THE LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS (AND UPPER TROUGH AXIS) MOVE TOWARD
KODIAK ISLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL
SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND THEN DIMINISH AS IT MOVES
INLAND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL
QUICKLY WEAKEN OVER THE GULF SUNDAY WHILE A RIDGE BUILDS FROM
THE WESTERN BERING TOWARD NORTHWEST ALASKA...HELPING TO GRADUALLY
END PRECIPITATION AND ADVECT COLDER AIR BACK ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AS THE LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS DROPS
SOUTHWARD TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AN ALREADY TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN FURTHER ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW.
THEREFORE...EXPECT SOLID STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SOUTHWARD TO THE VICINITY OF ADAK.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN
BERING AND FREEZING SPRAY WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD. AFTER THIS LOW
DROPS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FRIDAY NIGHT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD.
ALL IN ALL ITS LOOKING LIKE A FAIRLY CALM PERIOD ACROSS THE BERING
SEA AND ALEUTIANS.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...CONFIDENCE IS SLOWLY BUILDING FOR THE EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD. A MEAN RIDGE WILL SET UP FROM THE WESTERN BERING TO
NORTHERN ALASKA WITH A MEAN TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THUS...ITS LOOKING
LIKE AN EXTENDED CALM PERIOD OVER THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS AND MAINLY
DRY AND COLD OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH PERHAPS SOME PRECIPITATION
ALONG THE GULF COAST. MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING A BLOCKING RIDGE
SETTING UP OVER THE BERING THE END OF NEXT WEEK...WHICH WOULD RESULT
IN STRONG COLD ADVECTION ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA ALONG WITH STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE USUAL LOCATIONS.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...172 175.
GALE WARNING...176 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB DEC 08The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Dec 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 42 hr | |
| Dec 4, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 5, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 5, 6:30 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 22 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.