Storm Warning 169, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 201638 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
735 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

UPDATED ZONE 155

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
AND DISSIPATE BY FRI MORNING. A 999 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB AND MOVE TO 400 NM NORTH OF ADAK BY FRI
MORNING. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 979 MB AND MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAINT PAUL BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
735 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-210300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-210300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF 
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN 
AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-210300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. WIND BECOMING SW 35 
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-210300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 202352
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-211500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 980 MB LOW 225 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB 
AS IT MOVES TO 425 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 
THIS LOW WILL THEN DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE FRI NIGHT. A 
982 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR SAINT PAUL FRI AFTERNOON AND TRACK 
TO 100 NM NORTHEAST OF CHIGNIK SAT MORNING AT 987 MB.
$$

PKZ150-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-211500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-211500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-211500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-211500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-211500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-211500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 211256
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 972 MB LOW 390 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 983 MB AND
BECOME A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY FRI EVENING. ON SAT NIGHT A
971 MB LOW WILL MOVE 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA. IT WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 968 MB AND MOVE NEAR ADAK BY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE EVENING AND INCREASING TO 35
KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-220300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-220300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-220300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-220300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW BY MIDDAY. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-220300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-220300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 211914 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1005 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

UPDATED 171 179

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 972 MB LOW 390 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 983 MB AND
BECOME A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BY FRI EVENING. ON SAT NIGHT A
971 MB LOW WILL MOVE 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA. IT WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 968 MB AND MOVE NEAR ADAK BY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE EVENING AND INCREASING TO 35
KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-220300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-220300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-220300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-220300-
UNALASKA BAY
1005 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-220300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-220300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
1005 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 220014
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 MB LOW 215 NM WEST OF ST PAUL WILL MOVE TO NELSON LAGOON
SATURDAY MORNING AT 985 MB AND THEN DIMINISH IN THE GULF SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TONIGHT WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 967 MB AS IT MOVES TO 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL
SUNDAY. A 983 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 150 EAST OF ATKA SATURDAY NIGHT 
AND MOVE TO 75 NM NORTHEAST OF COLD BAY AT 975 MB SUNDAY. 

$$

PKZ150-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-221500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-221500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-221500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-221500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-221500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-221500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 21 2008

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 221237
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 979 MB LOW NEAR SAINT GEORGE WEAKENS TO 990 MB SAT AFTERNOON OVER
THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A 986 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF ATTU INTENSIFIES
TO 966 MB SUN AFTERNOON 225 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL AND BECOMES
STATIONARY. AN ASSOCIATED LOW INTENSIFIES TO 964 MB AS IT MOVES NEAR
SAND POINT SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND BECOMING
S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-230300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-230300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BECOMING 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-230300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE EVENING AND INCREASING TO SE
35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-230300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...WIND BECOMING S WIND 15 KT AND INCREASING TO SE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-230300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-230300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
115 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LARGE LOW COMPLEX EMBEDDED WITHIN HIGH
AMPLITUDE LOW WAVELENGTH THROUGH IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF. THIS
POSITION IS FARTHER NORTH THAN ON TUESDAY AND SYSTEMS ARE NOW
AFFECTING SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE ARE CURRENTLY FOUR SURFACE LOWS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION. OF MOST
CONCERN TODAY IS A 995 MB LOW SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
OCCLUDED FRONT WHICH EXTENDS NORTHEAST FROM THE LOW CENTER. THERE
IS A BAND OF STORM FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG THE GULF
COAST AS SEEN IN QUICKSCAT WINDS. GAP WINDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT THROUGH THIS MORNING WHILE NEARBY AREAS
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A TEMPERATURE INVERSION WITH LIGHT
WINDS. THIS HAS CREATED LARGE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN WINDY
AREAS AND NON-WINDY AREAS ACROSS VERY SMALL DISTANCES. RADAR RETURNS
IN THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION HAVE LOOKED IMPRESSIVE...BUT
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN LOW LEVEL DRY AIR SO
VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION REACHING THE GROUND. SNOW IS FALLING OVER
KODIAK ISLAND UNDER STRONG NORTHWEST SURFACE FLOW...WHICH IS HELPING
MAINTAIN TEMPERATURES COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AND REDUCING VISIBILITIES
TO AROUND ONE HALF MILE. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT COMBINED WITH
COLD ADVECTION IS ALSO PRODUCING GUSTY NORTHERLIES ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA AND THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA...ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND VALLEY REMAIN UNDER AN INVERSION WITH
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW ZERO.

ANOTHER LARGE UPPER LOW IS MOVING OUT OF EASTERN ASIA WITH UPPER JET
DRIING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN BERING SEA. THIS IS HELPING
TO PUSH ON AND AMPLIFY THE RIDGE SITTING OVER THE BERING. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY LIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING WHILE WINDS ARE RAPIDLY
INCREASING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS INITIALIZED WELL WITH SYNOPTIC FEATURES
AND SHOW FAIR TO POOR RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE FIRST THREE
DAYS OF THE FORECAST. THE GENERAL EVOLUTION OF THE PATTERN IS THE
SAME...BUT THE DETAILS OF INDIVIDUAL LOW TRACKS AND STRENGTH ARE NOT
VERY CONSISTENT. THERE IS A LITTLE MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE
GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL FORECAST WHERE THE MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT.

THE MODEL PREFERENCE IN THE EAST IS TOWARD THE 12Z GFS WHILE OUT
WEST WILL TREND SLIGHTLY TOWARD THIS SOLUTION. ALSO OF NOTE...ALL
MODELS ARE OVERDOING PRECIPITATION ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...AND
THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE NEW FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...OCCLUDED FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OFFSHORE TONIGHT
AS THE LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF ROTATES SOUTHWARD. THERE IS AN
UPPER LEVEL VORTICITY-MAXIMUM THAT WILL ROTATE A LITTLE FARTHER
WESTWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND BEFORE
WEAKENING AND ROTATING SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS WILL HELP PUSH SNOW
ONSHORE OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND MAINTAIN SNOW OVER
KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. DUE TO CONTINUES STRONG
OFFSHORE FLOW...AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
MODELS HINT AT A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW MAKING ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGE
TO ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA...BUT THINK IT WILL
BE VERY DIFFICULT FOR SNOW TO REACH THE GROUND DUE TO STEADY SUPPLY
OF DRY AIR UNDER NORTHERLY SURFACE FLOW. A DEVELOPING LOW ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER CIRCULATION WILL ROTATE INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF LATER TONIGHT AND BECOME THE NEW PRIMARY CENTER OF THE UPPER
CIRCULATION. THE LOW WILL THEN TRACK EASTWARD THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEMS OUT WEST GRADUALLY FORCE THE PATTERN TO
PROGRESS. THUS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SECOND LOW WILL NOT
MAKE IT VERY FAR NORTH AND WEST ACROSS THE GULF SO THERE WILL BE
JUST A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
THE LATEST MODELS INDICATE THE BERING LOW TRACKING TO SOUTHCENTRAL
SATURDAY BRINING A SHOT OF SNOW...BUT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THIS SOLUTION.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/ALASKA PENINSULA...AS THE BERING RIDGE CONTINUES
TO AMPLIFY AN UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA
WILL BE FORCED SOUTHWARD TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL
ADVECT ARCTIC AIR SOUTHWARD WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH AN ALREEADY
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT TO PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLIES
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA. IT APPEARS THAT
THERE IS ENOUGH COLD ADVECTION ALOFT TO ELIMINATE THE SURFACE-BASED
INVERSION AND ALLOW WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION. THE STRONGEST ADVECTION AND WINDS LOOK TO EXTEND
DOWN THE HEART OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO BRISTOL BAY AND ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA SOUTH OF KING SALMON. THE COLD ADVECTION WILL
END LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND THE SURFACE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AS THE
GULF LOW TRACKS EASTWARD...SO WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY. BERING
LOW LOOKS LIKE IT WILL TRACK ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY AND BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THESE AREAS...BUT
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS TRACK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A STRONG LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTH END
OF KAMCHATKA WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TODAY PUSHING A STRONG FRONT
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS. A STRONG JET OVER
THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL AID DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW ALONG THE FRONT
WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE
BERING SEA ON THURSDAY. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF MODEL
DISAGREEMENT ON THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS LOW...SO HAVE STUCK
FAIRLY CLOSE TO CURRENT FORECAST WHICH MAXES WINDS OUT AT 45KT. ALL
MODELS DO INDICATE BERING SEA RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN COMPLETELY
FRIDAY...SO EXPECT STORM SYSTEM TO MAKE EASTWARD PROGRESS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AS ANOTHER STORM MOVES TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MEAN TROUGH WILL ENCOMPASS THE FORECAST
AREAS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A STRONG JET JUST SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS. THUS...EXPECT A VERY ACTIVE PATTERN WITH FAST
MOVING STORM SYSTEMS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 130 132 138 140 150 155 160 165 170 172
                        175 176 185 179.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 08