Storm Warning 153, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 261702 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATE    
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
900 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

UPDATE FOR ZONE 129

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 987 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY EARLY THIS
MORNING MOVES TO 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 993 MB THIS EVENING.
THE LOW THEN MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA AT 1002 MB MON
AFTERNOON WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

$$

PKZ120-270200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 35
KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND.  
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-270200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-270200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING THE DIMINISHING
TO N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-270200-
PASSAGE CANAL
900 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-270200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. WINDS BECOMING N 40 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHEST SEAS SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. HIGHEST
SEAS SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HIGHEST SEAS SOUTHEAST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-270200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-270200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-270200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-270200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. HIGHER SEAS IN THE OUTER BAY.   
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS IN THE OUTER BAY.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS IN THE OUTER BAY.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 262322
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL WEAKEN TO 1003
MB 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT MON AFTERNOON THEN WILL BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WEAKEN TO 1012 MB TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-271400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF CAPE CLEARE NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. CAPE CLEARE
EAST NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-271400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-271400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-271400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-271400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-271400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-271400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.  
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-271400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 26 2008

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKDT SAT OCT 25 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE NEXT STORM MOVING INTO
THE GULF THROUGH MONDAY. THE NEW SET OF MODELS HAVE STRENGTHEN THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL INTERIOR OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS
A NEW CENTER DEVELOPS OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN MAINLAND IS MOVE EAST AN HAS PRODUCED SOME LIKE SNOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.

AT THE SURFACE...A LARGE INTENSE 988 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA. A WARM FRONT
OVER BRISTOL BAY AND AND THE COOK INLET IS PRODUCING A NARROW BAND OF
SNOW JUST AHEAD OF ITSELF. A BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SLOWLY
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL
INTERIOR SUNDAY AND INTO NORTHWEST CANADA MONDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE
WEST OF THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST INTO WESTERN ALASKA BY MONDAY
EVENING.

THE BAND OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTH INTO
THE SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT.

THE LARGE 988 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA AND WEAKEN TO A 1006 MB ABOUT 50
MILES SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WITH THE LOW INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
TONIGHT AND ONTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN OVER OVER EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN AND THE
YUKON TERRITORY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. AN AREA STORM FORCE WINDS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
AND SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS EVENING AND SPREAD INTO ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT THEN WILL DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE
FRONT MOVES ONSHORE. RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND THIS
EVENING AND WILL TURN TO SNOW BY MIDNIGHT THEN BECOME SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS SUNDAY. SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO KENAI PENINSULA AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN
SUNDAY THEN CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SNOW FOR ANCHORAGE AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY TONIGHT.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST BUILD
INTO WESTERN ALASKA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE DRIER COLDER AIR INTO THE
REGION. CLOUDS COVER WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR
SUNDAY. AREAS OF FOG WILL FORM ALONG THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

A NEW STORM SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA SUNDAY WILL INTENSIFY
AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA MONDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG
THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
WESTERN BERING SUNDAY AND WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND CENTRAL BERING SEA MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE REMAINS OF THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER WESTERN
CANADA TUESDAY. THE LARGE STORM OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL DRIFT
INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
WESTERN ALASKA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 120, 130, 132, 150
          GALE 125, 138, 175, 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM OCT 08