Small Craft Advisory 608, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 101212 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 365 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT MON NIGHT AT 980 MB. KASATOCHI VOLCANO 45 NM EAST OF ADAK
IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE. 

$$

PKZ150-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-110200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY IN THE VICINITY OF ATKA ISLAND AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-110200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 101622 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
810 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

UPDATED ZONE 170

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 365 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT MON NIGHT AT 980 MB. KASATOCHI VOLCANO 45 NM EAST OF ADAK
IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE. OKMOK VOLCANO 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR IS
CURRENTLY ACTIVE.

$$

PKZ150-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-110200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
810 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF UMNAK
AND UNALASKA ISLANDS..

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY IN THE VICINITY OF ATKA ISLAND AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-110200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 102032 AAB
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1220 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

UPDATED ZONES 170 AND 172

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 MB LOW 340 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 365 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT MON NIGHT AT 980 MB. KASATOCHI VOLCANO 45 NM EAST OF ADAK
IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE. OKMOK VOLCANO 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR IS
CURRENTLY ACTIVE.

$$

PKZ150-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-110200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
1220 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT MONDAY IN THE VICINITY
OF UMNAK AND WESTERN UNALASKA ISLANDS..

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
1220 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT MONDAY IN THE VICINITY
OF ATKA ISLAND AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-110200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 102328
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1001 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE EAST AND STRENGTHEN
TO 977 MB 480 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK TUE AFTERNOON. KASATOCHI VOLCANO 45
NM EAST OF ADAK IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE. OKMOK VOLCANO 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE.

$$

PKZ150-111400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-111400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-111400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-111400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-111400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-111400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT MONDAY IN THE VICINITY
OF UMNAK AND WESTERN UNALASKA ISLANDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-111400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-111400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT MONDAY IN THE VICINITY
OF ATKA ISLAND AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-111400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-111400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-111400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-111400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 111131
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-120200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 995 MB MB LOW 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 330 NM
SOUTHEAST OF AKHIOK TUE NIGHT AT 982 MB. KASATOCHI VOLCANO 45 NM EAST
OF ADAK IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE. OKMOK VOLCANO 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR IS CURRENTLY ACTIVE.

$$

PKZ150-120200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-120200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-120200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-120200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-120200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-120200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TODAY IN THE VICINITY
OF UMNAK AND WESTERN UNALASKA ISLANDS...

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MID DAY. SEAS BUILDING TO 
11 FT. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ALONG THE PACIFIC SIDE.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...PACIFIC SIDE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. BERING SIDE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-120200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-120200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

...ASHFALL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TODAY IN THE VICINITY
OF ATKA ISLAND AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-120200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-120200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-120200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-120200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 11 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN. SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM DROPPING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
ALASKA RANGE BETWEEN THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. BASED
ON A FAIRLY STRONG ROTATION SUSPECT THAN AN UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS
FORMED HERE. RAIN/RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE
OVER THE NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...THE MAT-SU...AND ANCHORAGE.
THE AIR MASS IS STILL QUITE UNSTABLE (AS SEEN IN THE 12Z ANCHORAGE
SOUNDING) SO SOME OF THE SHOWERS HAVE CONTAINED MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE
REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL. OUT WEST A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM THE WESTERN BERING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC IS SLOWLY
SQUASHING THE SHORT-WAVE RIDGE THAT HAS NUDGED UP FROM THE PACIFIC.

A WEAK WARM FRONT HAS MOVED OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BRINGING
LIGHT RAIN AND FOG. ANOTHER LOW IS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH AND WEST
AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE BECOME MORE CONSISTENT WITH HANDLING
OF ALEUTIAN LOW AND PACIFIC LOW OUT AHEAD OF IT MOVING TOWARD THE
GULF SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE IS A STILL A DECENT SPREAD AMONG THE
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WITH TIMING OF SYSTEM. HOWEVER...GFS AND ECMWF
SOLUTIONS MATCH UP REALLY WELL...SO WILL MAKE ADJUSTMENTS IN THE
SHORT-TERM TO TRACK AND SPEEDS OF THESE LOWS TO MATCH UP CLOSER
WITH LATEST SOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...THE UPPER LOW/VORT-MAX WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD
THE KENAI PENINSULA TONIGHT. THUS...RAIN AND/OR SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE FROM ANCHORAGE TO THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND SPREAD ACROSS
THE KENAI PENINSULA TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO DROP SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE GULF SUNDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED BEHIND IT. OTHER MUCH WEAKER UPPER WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE
FLOW WILL MAINTAIN QUITE A BIT OF CLOUDINESS...BUT WOULD EXPECT AT
LEAST A FEW SUN BREAKS ON SUNDAY. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER STRONG WAVE
ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE UPPER CIRCULATION WILL MOVE NORTHWARD
INTO THE INTERIOR TONIGHT AND REFORM THE MAIN UPPER LOW UP NORTH.
WITH NO MAJOR UPPER LEVEL FEATURES TO PROVIDE LIFT SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY EXPECT NO MORE THAN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS DUE TO
INSTABILITY. BY TUESDAY A LOW WILL BE TRACKING INTO THE EASTERN
GULF AND MOISTURE WILL LIKELY SPREAD INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL.

SOUTHWEST...AS THE UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
TONIGHT SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY END OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. CALM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA UNTIL TUESDAY
AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WAVE DROPS DOWN FROM THE NORTH.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
WILL PROVIDE A LIGHT GLANCING BLOW AS IT PASSES SOUTH OF THE CHAIN
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PICK UP A BIT BEHIND THE LOW
AND SHOULD LIMIT FOG ACROSS THE REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE GFS 500MB HEIGHT 5-WAVE SHOWS THE TROUGH
CENTERED OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AMPLIFYING THE BEGINNING TO MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THIS AMPLIFICATION WILL HELP PICK UP THE ALEUTIAN LOW
MONDAY NIGHT AND TRACK IT BACK UP TO THE GULF BY WEDNESDAY.
THUS...MAINLAND ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN THE EVERLASTING COOL AND WET
PATTERN. THE BERING SEA REGION LOOKS TO BE A BIT WETTER HEADING
THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS ENERGY DROPPING DOWN FROM THE ARCTIC IS FORCED
WESTWARD BY PRESENCE OF LARGE LOW OVER THE GULF.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...ASHFALL ADVISORY 185 187.
MARINE...ASHFALL ADVISORY 170 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB AUG 08