Small Craft Advisory 416, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT MAY 10 2008

GLF LOW STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO KODIAK TO KEEP THE RAIN GOING WITH SOME
OF THAT MOISTURE PRODUCING RAIN ACROSS EASTERN BRISTOL BAY. GLUF LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND RAIN WILL TAPPER OFF AND BECOME MORE
SHOWERY AT PADQ. PRECIPITATION WILL END COMPLETELY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
YOU MAY POSSIBLEY SEE SOME SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY FOM PABE-PAKN-PADQ.
DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PAAK IS NOW HANDLED PRETTY WELL BY
THE GSF SERIES AND EVEN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS LOW WILL DO THE
CLASSIC NORTHEAST DEEPENING THING AND DEVELOP INTO A PRETTY GOOD MID
MAY SYSTEM SUNDAY. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE, AND GALES
PROBABLE, FOR THE FOX ISLANDS, ALASKA PENINSULA AND MARINE ZONE
SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND BEGINING AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGEST WNDS
WILL BE ON THE SOUTHSIDE OF THE STORM. STRONG FNT WITH GALES WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF MON AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES TO BRISTOL BAY AND
WEAKENS A LITTLE. AT THAT TIME THE LOW WILL DOMINATE THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREAS. THIS MEANS MORE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS FOR KODIAK
AND THE NORTH GULF COAST WEST TO BRISTOL BAY AND INCLUDES PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND, ESPECIALLY TOWRD PAWR.

AFTER THE NICE DAY TODAY THE INTERIOR LOOKS MUCH CLOUDIER AND WINDIER
THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN ON THE UPSLOPE SIDES OF THE
TERRAIN. BERING AND ALEUTIANS LOOK BREEZY SHOWERY AND COOL FOR THE
SAME TIME PERIOD.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE...OTHER THAN A FEW STRONG WIND HEADLINES.
MARINE...GALE ZONES 130 132 138 140 150 155 160 165 180 170 172
FIRE WEATHER...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE MAT VALLEY

PERCY MAY 08