Gale Warning 726, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 170207 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

CORRECTED 180

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 990 MB LOW 100 NM NORTHWEST OF ATKA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN
MON AFTERNOON. A 1003 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
WILL MOVE TO 500 NM SOUTH OF ADAK AT 988 MB TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA TUE. 

$$

PKZ150-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-171500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-171500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-171500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-171500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-171500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-171500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171213 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

CORRECTED WORDING ZONE 175

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR EARLY THIS MORNING
MOVES SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND IS ABSORBED INTO A COMPLEX AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. A
1000 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA THIS AFTERNOON MOVES TO 500 
NM SOUTH OF ADAK AT 993 MB TUE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
IN THE NORTHERN BERING THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSISTS INTO TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF AMCHITKA PASS...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. EAST OF
AMCHITKA PASS...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AKST SUN NOV 16 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENCOMPASSES THE STATE THIS
MORNING...ROUNDED OUT BY THE JET STREAM WHICH GOES SOUTHEAST FROM
THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND TO AROUND 30N
150W. THE JET THEN HEADS BACK NORTHEAST TOWARD THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS OF BRITISH COLUMBIA.

THE STRONGEST FEATURE IN THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING IS A GALE
FORCE 993 MB LOW IN THE BERING NORTH OF ADAK AND SOUTHWEST OF SAINT
PAUL. THIS LOW IS MOVING SOUTHEAST ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE JET
STREAM AND WILL CROSS THE ALEUTIANS AROUND UMNAK ISLAND TONIGHT. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WITH THIS LOW ARE ON ITS WEST SIDE.

THE FEATURE IMPACTING THE MAJORITY OF THE POPULATION IS AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE YUKON KUSKOKWIM DELTA SOUTHEAST
TO KODIAK THIS MORNING...MOVING NORTHEAST. A COUPLE OF WEAK EMBEDDED
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED NEAR BETHEL AND OVER THE
NORTH END OF KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING...BOTH MOVING NORTHEAST AND
WEAKENING. ALL OF THIS IS BRINGING SNOW TO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
LAST NIGHT INTO TODAY...WITH RAIN MIXED IN FOR PLACES NEAR THE GULF
OF ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE DOING OKAY OVERALL. GENERALLY PREFER THE ECMWF OVER THE
GFS WHERE DIFFERENCES ARISE. ONE ISSUE IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS A
LOW WHICH THE 0Z GFS TRIES TO MOVE EAST THROUGH THE RIDGE AROUND
TUESDAY. WE DISCOUNTED THE 0Z GFS AND KEPT WITH THE IDEA OF THE
ENERGY SPLITTING WHEN IT HITS THE RIDGE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL
TODAY...WITH AN EMBEDDED SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH END OF KODIAK
ISLAND MOVING TO SOUTH OF SEWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATING.
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD BUT MAINLY LIGHT SNOW IS TRANSLATING FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WITH THIS SYSTEM TODAY. AN INCH OR TWO IS
EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS...WITH HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AROUND THE
NORTH EDGE OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SNOWFALL WILL TAPER OFF BY LATE
TONIGHT NEARLY EVERYWHERE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COLD ADVECTION
WILL OCCUR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH DRY OFFSHORE NORTHERLY FLOW.
LOOK FOR STEADILY FALLING TEMPERATURES AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW TODAY ALONG THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA
RANGE AND OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST NEAR THE YUKON KUSKOKWIM DELTA NEAR A WEAK
SURFACE LOW. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN RAPIDLY TONIGHT...THEN THE FLOW
TRANSITIONS TO DRY OFFSHORE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR
MOVES BACK IN.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
A GALE FORCE 993 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND CROSS UMNAK ISLAND TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC WELL SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH
THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON ITS WEST SIDE. A FRONT EXTENDS OUT
AHEAD AND EAST OF THIS LOW AND IS BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AKPEN...AND PRIBILOFS TODAY. HOWEVER...THIS
FRONT WILL NOT MAKE IT TO THE WEST COAST DUE TO THE DEVELOPING
BLOCKING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MAINLAND. AS THE LOW MOVES
OFF INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL BERING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE
MAINLAND PROBABLY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE BERING
ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD BREAK DOWN IN THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH
INCREASED STORMINESS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. THE FORECAST FOR
SOUTHCENTRAL THURSDAY AND BEYOND WILL BE TRICKY...BECAUSE DESPITE
THERE BEING COLD OFFSHORE FLOW WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
INTERIOR...THE MODELS ARE HINTING AT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR SOME SORT OF WEAK SURFACE
LOW TO FORM AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OR NORTHERN GULF...PERHAPS
BRINGING SOME SNOW TO AREAS NEAR THE GULF COAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING ZONES 130 172 175 176 185 411 412 413.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FOISY NOV 08