Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 541, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 27, 2008

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 27, 2008, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2008, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 28, 2008, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 272255
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-281400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 977 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WEAKENS TO 991 MB
MON AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO 58N 167E. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS REACHES THE WEST COAST OF AK
SUN NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ411-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 281145
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-290200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 976 MB LOW NEAR 58N 165E THIS MORNING REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH MON NIGHT AS IT WEAKENS TO 995 MB.

$$

PKZ411-290200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-290200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-290200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-290200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 282300
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-291400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 982 MB LOW NEAR 58N 165E REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUESDAY
AS IT WEAKENS TO 995 MB.

$$

PKZ411-291400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-291400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ413-291400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-291400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 28 2008

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 27, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AKDT SAT SEP 27 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE FORECAST BEYOND ABOUT
THREE DAYS. TOOK A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD APPROACH FOR THE EXTENDED
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AS THE MODELS AGREE ON THE GENERAL PATTERN
BUT DISAGREE ON THE (IMPORTANT) DETAILS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER POLAR LOW CENTERED ALONG THE ARCTIC SHORE JUST EAST OF BARROW
WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. ANOTHER LOW
IN THE WESTERN GULF IS ACCELERATING SOUTHEAST AS THE POLAR LOW HELPS
TO EJECT IT OUT. BLOCKING RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE POLAR LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH TODAY AND WILL BE CENTERED
IN JUST ABOUT THE MIDDLE OF ALASKA BY THIS EVENING. THEN IT WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE EAST TO THE YUKON BORDER BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS
PUSHING COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD...MAINLY INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. SOME
SEEPAGE EXPECTED INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AS WELL...MAINLY LATER IN THE
WEEKEND. NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AS FLOW IS MAINLY FROM
THE NORTH SO PRECIPITATION IS SOMEWHAT SPARSE. THE EXCEPTION IS FROM
CORDOVA EASTWARD WHERE RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING
BEFORE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH PUSHES EAST OF THE
AREA TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
BY MONDAY THE POLAR LOW WILL BE MOVING EAST OF ALASKA. FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE BLOCKING
RIDGE BECOMES PINCHED OFF TO THE NORTH AND JET ENERGY BEGINS TO
PUSH UNDERNEATH IT INTO THE STATE. DETAILS BECOME SKETCHY BY MID
WEEK AS THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION
AND MAGNITUDE OF SMALL BUT IMPORTANT FEATURES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 172 175 176 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG SEP 08

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.