Gale Warning 509, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 171218 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

CORRECTED ZONE 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH SUNDAY. A 998
MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL DEEPEN TO 974 MB 225 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 977 MB 350 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MONDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-180200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SOUTH 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 1 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.  

$$

PKZ130-180200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 FT OR
LESS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 172349
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO A STORM
FORCE 978 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY BY MON AFTERNOON.
THIS LOW WILL THEN DRIFT TO 520 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY TUE AFTERNOON
AND MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH. 
$$

PKZ120-181400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTEROON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. EXCEPT NE 50 KT SOUTH OF THE BARREN ISLANDS IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. EXCEPT NE 50 KT SOUTH OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT SEAS 17 FT SOUTH OF THE
BARRENS ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 180048 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
445 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

CORRECTED AREAS 121 130 AND 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO A STORM
FORCE 978 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY BY MON AFTERNOON.
THIS LOW WILL THEN DRIFT TO 520 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY TUE AFTERNOON
AND MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH. 
$$

PKZ120-181400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-181400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. EXCEPT NE 50 KT SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. EXCEPT NE 50 KT SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT SEAS 17 FT SOUTH OF THE
BARRENS ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181400-
KACHEMAK BAY
445 PM AKDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.TONIGHT...SOUTHWEST WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL DEEPEN TO 974 MB 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MAINTAIN
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 500 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALES WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE
45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEA 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT. SEA 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181313 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
510 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

CORRECTED ZONE 130

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL DEEPEN TO 974 MB 200 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MAINTAIN
INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 500 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
510 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE
45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEA 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SOUTHEAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
NORTHWEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 15 KT. SEA 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 190757
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 600 NM SOUTH 
OF CORDOVA AT 980 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON THEN TO 370 NM SOUTH OF
KETCHIKAN AT 989 MB BY WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-191400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TONIGHT...EVENING SEA BREEZE TO 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...AFTERNOON AND EVENING E WIND 10 KT OTHERWISE
VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-191400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO
2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 18 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...AFTERNOON AND EVENING WEST WIND 10 KT
OTHERWISE VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191154
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 980 MB 450 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY.
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKDT SAT AUG 16 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS A LOW NEAR ST. MATTHEW ISLAND WITH A
TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. THERE IS A WEAK SFC
REFLECTION IN THE BERING SEA...BUT NEGLIGIBLE IN THE GULF WHICH IS
DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE.  A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ALONG THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...BECOMING THE
DOMINATE LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT AND RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY FOR AT LEAST
THE FIRST 48 HOURS. THEN THERE BEGINS TO BE DISAGREEMENT IN MORE
THAN ONE WAY. THE FIRST IS THE HANDLING OF THE EJECTION OF THE GULF
LOW...WHICH THE NAM WANTS TO EJECT 12 TO 24 HOURS FASTER THAN MOST
OF THE OTHER NUMERICAL MODELS. SECOND...THE LOW MOVING INTO THE
ALEUTIANS FROM THE WEST AND WHERE IT WILL GO. MODELS ARE TRENDING
FURTHER SOUTH WITH THE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN...OR MORE
LIKELY SOUTH OF IT AS ADVERTISED BY THE NAM AND ECMWF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AGAIN IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...ACROSS THE
SUSITNA VALLEY AND IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ALONG A WEAK THERMAL
TROUGH. AS EVIDENCE FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...ANY BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS WILL ALLOW ENOUGH HEATING GENERATE CONVECTION IN A FAIRLY
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FURTHER WEST...A LOW THAT IS DRAPED ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH
BETHEL IS BEING SHREDDED APART AS IT MAKES NO PROGRESS DUE TO THE
GULF RIDGE. THE NEXT LOW CURRENTLY SPINNING UP OVER THE ALEUTIANS
IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER AND WILL MAKE RAPID PROGRESS INTO THE
WESTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL BOMB OUT SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
ON MONDAY...DROPPING TO ABOUT 978 MB IF YOU AVERAGE THE VARIOUS
MODEL PROJECTIONS. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF GALES IN THE
SURROUNDING WATERS. THE FURTHEST NORTHEAST THAT PRECIPITATION FROM
THIS LOW LOOKS TO GET WILL BE ABOUT AT KODIAK CITY.

SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SHOWERS
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK DUE TO THE SURFACE THERMAL LOW.
THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LIMITED IN THE ABSENCE OF MAJOR SYSTEMS AND A
WEAK RIDGE ALOFT.

BY LATER IN THE WEEK THE GFS AND ECMWF GLOBAL MODELS ARE STILL IN
DECENT AGREEMENT...BUT WITH SOME DETAIL DIFFERENCES. THEY INDICATE A
CONTINUATION OF THE BASIC PATTERN BUT WITH THE UPPER LOW HAVING A
STRONGER INFLUENCE ON INTERIOR SOUTHERN ALASKA...BUT THE MAIN JET
STREAM ACTION WILL STILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG AUG 08