Gale Warning 328, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 240259 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

UPDATED ZONES 120 121 125 129 130 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF
HOMER AT 990 MB SUN NIGHT THEN WILL TURN SOUTH AND DISSIPATE 180 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MON NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT
WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD AND WEAKEN TO 994 MB MON
AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE 60 NM SOUTH HOMER MON NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW
300 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON EVENING WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-241400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT WITH SHOWERS. SEAS 16 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-241400-
RESURRECTION BAY
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-241400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT WITH SHOWERS. SEAS 9 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-241400-
PASSAGE CANAL
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-241400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-241400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-241400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-241400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
700 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-241400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 241156
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A LARGE COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA. 
$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. WIND DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON E
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON MAR 24 2008

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SUN MAR 23 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR MOST OF THE AREA BUT HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES FOR THE FINER DETAILS OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE NAM
AND EUROPEAN MODEL HAD INITIALIZED THE GULF LOW IN THE CORRECT
LOCATIONS WHILE THE GFS AND UKMET HAD PLACED IT A LITTLE FURTHER
WEST. BASED ON THIS IT LOOKS LIKE THE NAM AND EUROPEAN MODELS A
BETTER SOLUTION IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA REMAIN FIXED OVER THE GULF
OF ALASKA WITH SEVERAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH REVOLVING AROUND ITS EDGE.

THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THE UPPER FEATURES IS A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS OVER THE GULF. ELSEWHERE, THERE IS A
STATIONARY AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WITH A
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
AN UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL WILL MOVE
INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TONIGHT AND INTO NORTON SOUND MONDAY
EVENING. THIS WILL CREATE AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AND THE INLAND PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING.

AT THE SURFACE...THE MULTI-CENTERED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF
WILL CONTINUE TO FEED SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST,
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND KODIAK ISLAND FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STRONG
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA, ALASKA
PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH
TUESDAY. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MAYBE INTO TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF BEGIN TO DRIFT EAST WEDNESDAY AND WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SATURDAY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL WEAKEN BY MIDWEEK AND
WILL FOLLOW THE UPPER LOW INTO THE WEST COAST OF CANADA BY THE
WEEKEND. THE SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL DIMINISH AS THE SYSTEM
WEAKENS. WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY BY
WEDNESDAY AS THE WESTERN BERING HIGH SHIFTS IN THE EASTERN BERING BY
MIDWEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
MARINE...GALE 130, 150, 155, 165, 170, 171, 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM MAR 08