Gale Warning 152, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021311 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
410 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

CORRECT ZONE 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 995 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM
SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT AND DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT.  A 957 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP 35O NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IN THE EVENING.
OTHERWISE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW IN THE MORNING EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
BARREN ISLAND. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF BARREN
ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 20 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 030053
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB ABOUT 70NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 145NM EAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON WITH A 1001 MB CENTER THEN
DISSIPATE LATE SUN NIGHT. A 993 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO AROUND 135NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKA MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IN THE EVENING.
OTHERWISE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 2 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI FEB 1 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HAVE IMPROVED TO THE POINT OF BEING DECENT
FOR THE FIRST 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT THE GFS LOOKS TO DO THE BEST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. NAM DOES NOT DO TERRIBLY BAD BUT PREFER THE GFS
SOLUTION TO HOW THE LOWS MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. DO NOT LIKE
THE UKMET OR ECMWF SOLUTIONS AT ALL. GFS IS THE MAIN GUIDANCE FOR
AFTERNOON PACKAGES.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...MAINLAND ALASKA REMAINS UNDER SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE AND A BROAD UPPER LEVEL COLD TROUGH.
THE DYNAMICS REMAIN FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND
MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE JET STREAM CAN BE SEEN
WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA ALONG THE 40N PARALLEL ON THE IR SATELLITE.
THE ENERGY FROM THE JET IS NOW SUPPORTING THE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR LEAVING THE LOW WEST OF ATTU WITHOUT UPPER SUPPORT. THE LOW
WEST OF ATTU WILL THEREFORE SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD OVER
THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...LOW COMING UP ON THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ALASKA PENINSULA WILL BRING SOME SNOW MIXED WITH A LITTLE RAIN TO
THOSE AREAS OVERNIGHT AS IT MOVES THROUGH. KODIAK SHOULD DEVELOP SNOW
TONIGHT AS WELL AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO THAT AREA. THE FRONT WILL
NOT MAKE IT ANY FURTHER NORTH THAN KODIAK.

FOG AND STRATUS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND COOK INLET. COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND SUSITNA VALLEY HAVE LARGELY CLEARED OUT. THERE MAY BE
A LITTLE LESS FOG IN THE COOK INLET AREA TONIGHT AS THE GRADIENT DOWN
THE INLET HAS INCREASED A LITTLE. NORTH GULF COAST REMAINS MOSTLY
CLEAR WITH DRY OFFSHORE FLOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...NOT A LOT OF CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN.
CONTINUE COLD AND DRY OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. THE JET STREAM WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA AND KEEP THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ALONG OR
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 165 170 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FEB 08