Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS85 KABQ 070049
RFWABQ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
649 PM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR
ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITIES...

.FOR MONDAY THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO. WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON MAY GUST TO 40 OR 45 MPH OUT OF
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

NMZ107-071400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-080407T0100Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0025.080407T1800Z-080408T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
649 PM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

NMZ101-102-071400-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.A.0025.080407T1800Z-080408T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
649 PM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

NMZ103>106-108-109-071400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0025.080407T1800Z-080408T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
649 PM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

40

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
319 AM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

.DISCUSSION...
A FAST MOVING 542H5 SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS MOVING OUT INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS OVER SOUTH DAKOTA. A 999 MB SURFACE LOW IN WESTERN
KANSAS WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ACROSS EASTERN NM
INTO WEST TX CREATING A SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT COMBINED
WITH PERSISTENT 40 KNOT WESTERLIES 2 KM AGL WILL GENERATE BREEZY
TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. ACCORDINGLY...WE HAVE OPTED TO
POST A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NM107 THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

HAVE POSTED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING GIVEN THE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED
AS WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED.  SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
WILL OVER THE NORTHERN NM BORDER...ESPECIALLY MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN...WHERE ANOTHER QUICK MOVING UPPER TROUGH SWEEPS THROUGH
COLORADO AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES MONDAY. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE AND
WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FOR TUESDAY SUPPORTING GENERALLY
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS. LATE TUESDAY A MORE VIGOROUS LONG
WAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA. GFS AND ECMWF MODELS HAVE
BEGUN TO SHOW A BETTER CONSENSUS THAT INDICATES A TROUGH WILL DIG
TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A 544H5 LOW IN NORTHERN NM THAT WILL
DROP 500 MB HEIGHTS TO BETWEEN 545 DM TO 55O DM OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF NEW MEXICO ON THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES
ON THURSDAY WITH AN INCREASE TO A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AND MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR ALL BUT SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF NM.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SURFACE WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AT
SCATTERED LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  65  38  66  33 /   0   5   5   5
GALLUP..........................  66  31  64  25 /   0   0   5   0
GRANTS..........................  66  32  66  26 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  75  37  74  36 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  57  24  53  22 /   0  20  20  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  63  34  61  30 /   0   0   5   0
RED RIVER.......................  53  25  49  23 /   0  10  10  10
TAOS............................  63  29  61  25 /   0   5   5   5
SANTA FE........................  65  34  65  34 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  66  35  67  33 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  70  33  70  32 /   0   5   5   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  71  43  71  41 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  72  38  72  35 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  70  40  70  39 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  72  42  73  40 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  77  41  77  40 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  64  36  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  68  35  68  34 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  74  41  74  40 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  66  36  69  38 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  63  31  63  29 /   5  10   5  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  63  33  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  62  36  60  36 /   0   5   5   5
CLAYTON.........................  65  38  64  38 /   0  10  10  10
SANTA ROSA......................  76  39  76  38 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  75  41  76  43 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  75  43  78  43 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  75  42  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  77  41  78  43 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  81  46  82  46 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103>109.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ107.

&&

01/43

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
533 AM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

NMZ001>021-026-071145-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
533 AM MDT SUN APR 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM UNTIL 7 PM FOR EAST
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG
WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  LOW
HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG WINDS IN THESE AREAS TO CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RED
FLAG WARNING STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
ALBUQUERQUE FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO ON
MONDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

01