Red Flag Warning 27, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS85 KABQ 051227
RFWABQ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
627 AM MDT SAT APR 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ALONG
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE...FOR WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BELOW SIGNIFICANT
SNOW PACK AND LOWER/MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FOR STRONG WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITIES...

.EXPECT ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST HUMIDITY
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD TO
THE TEXAS STATE LINE. A SHORTER DURATION AND MORE MARGINAL EVENT
IS LIKELY FROM THE MID AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WESTWARD TO THE
ARIZONA STATE LINE.

NMZ105-106-109-060200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0024.080405T1800Z-080406T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0027.080405T1800Z-080406T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
627 AM MDT SAT APR 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE EXPECTED.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

NMZ103-104-107-108-060200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0027.080405T1800Z-080406T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
627 AM MDT SAT APR 5 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE EXPECTED.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

43

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 AM MDT FRI APR 4 2008

CORRECTED TYPO AND AUGMENTED LAST PARAGRAPH OF DISCUSSION

.DISCUSSION...
WIND AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OFF AND ON OVER THE NEXT WEEK.

COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED IN THE EAST TODAY WITH SOME MORNING LOW
CLOUDS BEHIND THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT THAT SANK INTO THE AREA
LAST EVENING. IN CONTRAST THE WEST WILL SEE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY.
FORTUNATELY...WE WILL EXPERIENCE A TEMPORARY LULL IN WINDS AREA
WIDE...GIVING US A BRIEF CESSATION OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

SATURDAY...WIND AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CROSSES THE CENTRAL ROCKIES NORTH
OF NEW MEXICO. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...EXCEPT FOR THE
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU. WE ARE ALSO MONITORING
FOR A POTENTIAL WIND ADVISORY THAT LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ISSUE
FOR THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. SOUTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 50 MPH FROM
CLINES CORNERS TO CLAYTON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AREAWIDE. SUNDAY SHOULD BRING CALMER WINDS
AGAIN WITH THE CONTINUATION OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

NEXT WORK WEEK...A SERIES OF TROUGHS WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
NORTH OF NEW MEXICO IN RAPID SUCCESSION. WE CAN EXPECT PERIODS OF
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MODELS
TYPICALLY FLIP FLOP ON THE TIMING OF PASSAGE OF TROUGHS IN RAPID
FLOW SCENARIOS LIKE THIS. THE LATEST RUNS INDICATE THE WINDIEST DAYS
WILL NOW BE MONDAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THAT SOME OF THESE PASSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS COULD BRING SPOTTY
PRECIPITATION MAINLY TO THE AREA NORTH OF I-40. SUCH MAY BE THE CASE
WITH THE WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY SYSTEM. DUE TO DIVERGENT MODEL
SOLUTIONS...WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE MUCH CONFIDENCE IN MID WEEK
PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

44

&&

.AVIATION...
THRU 15Z...PATCHY AREAS OF MVFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL EXTEND
FROM EAST SLOPES OF THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS. AFTER 15Z...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. 05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  63  29  66  34 /   0   0   0   5
GALLUP..........................  60  24  66  28 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  62  23  67  28 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  70  32  76  35 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  53  16  54  20 /   0   0   5   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  59  22  63  28 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  50  17  52  22 /   0   0   5   5
TAOS............................  57  20  62  26 /   0   0   5   0
SANTA FE........................  61  23  65  28 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  62  28  66  32 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  68  28  71  28 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  65  39  70  42 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  67  33  71  37 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  65  33  69  39 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  67  36  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  69  35  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  58  30  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  62  29  67  31 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  65  40  75  40 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  59  35  67  36 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  61  25  65  27 /   5   0   0   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  59  27  65  32 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  56  34  63  36 /   5   0   0   5
CLAYTON.........................  61  37  70  36 /   5   0   0   5
SANTA ROSA......................  66  34  76  40 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  66  37  76  40 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  68  37  78  42 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  65  37  74  42 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  64  38  76  41 /   5   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  70  39  78  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103>109.

&&

44/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT FRI APR 4 2008

NMZ001>021-026-051200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT FRI APR 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG WINDS TO COMBINE WITH
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FOR THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND ALL
OF THE AREA EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO COULD SEE
SOUTHWEST WINDS BLOW AT SPEEDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH DURING THIS PERIOD.

MONDAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES
MAY AGAIN PRODUCE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER SCENARIO EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

44