Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS85 KABQ 300155
RFWABQ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
755 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS ...
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS FOR STRONG WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITIES...

.THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
MAY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY EVENING OVER NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL
PLAINS... NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. LOCATIONS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY MAY EXPERIENCE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
SUNDAY. 

NMZ103-104-107-108-301400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-080330T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0020.080330T1800Z-080331T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
755 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR SUNDAY.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

$$

GUYER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
650 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.UPDATE...
QUICK UPDATE TO ADD A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

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&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...301 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008...
MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO IS
ALLOWING FOR A FEW LOW CLOUDS TO FORM NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER...BUT
MUCH OF THE LOW CLOUDINESS HAS SO FAR STAYED EAST OF OUR CWA.  WILL
REMOVE FOG FROM THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS THIS MORNING...AS
VISIBILITIES ACROSS TEXAS HAVE STAYED ABOVE 7 MILES.

SNOW SHOWERS BEING REPORTED JUST NORTH OF THE CWA IN THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS.  WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF AREAS NEAR CHAMA ARE SEEING A
FEW SNOW FLURRIES THIS MORNING...AND THUS WILL KEEP A 10-POP ACROSS
THOSE AREAS FOR TODAY.

HOWEVER...MAIN CONCERN TODAY WILL BE FIRE WEATHER. SURFACE LEE
TROUGH WILL SET UP SHOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN NM AND CO AND
WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY. WILL UPGRADE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER
WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING AND EXTEND THE TIMING ONE HOUR TO 02Z.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO AS A TROUGH TRAVERSES THE FOUR
CORNERS AREA. OROGRAPHICS WILL PLAY A LARGE ROLE ON THE PLACEMENT
OF PRECIPITATION...WITH WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS BEING THE
MOST FAVORED AREA. ELSEWHERE...A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRY TO
MOVE INTO NE NM...BUT LIKELY WONT GET TOO FAR GIVEN STRONG W/SW FLOW
ALOFT.  ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY RESULT IN A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

AFTER THE TROUGH SWINGS OUT OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING...A STRONG
GRADIENT ALOFT COMBINED WITH A SURFACE LOW SITUATED NEAR THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE WILL RESULT IN STRONG WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON GENERALLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THIS COULD BE
ANOTHER DAY WHERE KCQC SEES WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A FEW
HOURS...AS CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS. TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE
COOLER ON MONDAY...HOWEVER...WILL STILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR
POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL BE IN
PLACE. A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...AND WILL RELIEVE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR AT
LEAST ONE DAY. APPEARS AS THOUGH NEXT TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE
STATE MID WEEK...BUT TIMING AND STRENGTH OF SYSTEM IS STILL IN
QUESTION.

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.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR EXTREME NORTHERN
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. LOW CLOUDS WILL MOVE FROM TEXAS
INTO LIMITED AREAS OF THE EXTREME EASTERN PLAINS RESULTING IN
POSSIBLE MVFR CIGS NEAR CAO AND CVN THROUGH 15Z. HIGH ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED AREAS
OF IFR/MVFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES. FROM 18Z TO 00Z...SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL GUST FROM 25 TO 35 MPH FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. 05

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

NMZ001>021-026-301200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT BETWEEN NOON AND 8 PM FOR THE
EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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