High Wind Watch 4, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
240 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008

.DISCUSSION...
WIND...WIND AND MORE WIND...TIS THE SEASON HERE IN NM AND TODAY
INTO THU WILL DEMONSTRATE THAT NICELY. WINDS ALOFT INCREASING AS
STORM TRACK DROPS A BIT SOUTH AGAIN AND SERIES OF SHORT WAVES
APPROACH AND CROSS CENTRAL ROCKIES NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. WIND
ADVISORIES ALL ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH HIGH
WIND WATCH FOR PORTIONS E NM THU PM. RED FLAG WARNING ALL FIRE WX
ZONES IN FCST AREA TODAY AND SAME COVERAGE WITH FIRE WX WATCH FOR
THU. DETAILS AT BOTTOM OF THIS PRODUCT. A DECENT COLD FRONT WILL
DROP S/SE ACROSS FCST AREA LATER WED NIGHT AND THU...LOWERING
TEMPS 10 TO 20 DEGREES MOST AREAS. LIGHTER WINDS FRI AND LIGHTER
STILL FOR SAT. PCPN TO BE VERY LIMITED TO FAR N CENTRAL AND NE NM
BETWEEN TONIGHT AND THU NIGHT...BUT EVEN THAT IS A BIT OF A LONG
SHOT AT THIS TIME. BY LATE WEEKEND A LITTLE BIT MORE ACREAGE
ACROSS THE N AND E MAY BE INVOLVED...BUT THESE STILL LOOK TO BE
FAIRLY LOW POPS. OVERALL SAD TO SAY STILL A PRETTY DRY OUTLOOK.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES PREVAIL ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WITH
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING FROM NORTHERN NEVADA TO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO
BY 06Z WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS STATEWIDE ON WEDNESDAY. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. SHY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  78  42  60  26 /   0   5   5   0
GALLUP..........................  75  35  60  18 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  76  38  65  21 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  83  48  73  34 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  68  29  49  16 /   0  10  10   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  75  41  59  25 /   0   0   5   0
RED RIVER.......................  64  32  46  16 /   0   5  10   5
TAOS............................  74  38  55  20 /   0   0   5   0
SANTA FE........................  75  39  62  25 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  78  41  65  27 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  79  40  64  29 /   0   0   5   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  81  50  72  38 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  82  48  74  33 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  80  47  69  36 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  81  47  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  85  49  77  37 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  73  45  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  78  43  68  29 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  83  49  74  36 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  78  45  69  33 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  78  40  60  25 /   0   5   5  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  76  44  63  26 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  79  44  65  31 /   0   0   0   5
CLAYTON.........................  85  47  67  34 /   0   0   5  10
SANTA ROSA......................  86  49  75  36 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  89  52  75  39 /   0   0   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  89  53  80  41 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  90  52  80  40 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  91  53  82  41 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  93  55  87  46 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101>109.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ001>010-014-015-018>021-026.

HIGH WIND WATCH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ006-011>013-016>018.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ011>013-016-017.

&&

43/SHY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

NMZ001>021-026-301200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT ALONG AND JUST
EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO...SANDIA/MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS
WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE SEVERAL
HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIND SPEEDS FROM
25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH IN MANY AREAS.
THURSDAY SHOULD BE THE WINDIEST DAY...WHEN THE AREA ALONG AND EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN MAY SEE GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH.
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST ON
WEDNESDAY...THEY WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE STRONG WINDS...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS LIKELY IN MANY AREAS BOTH DAYS. IN FACT A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO FOR WEDNESDAY AND MAY LATE TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY BE
EXPANDED INTO THURSDAY.

FRIDAY...BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.
VERY LOW HUMIDITIES SHOULD ALSO PERSIST WITH ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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