Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 050132
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
732 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

NMC028-043-049-050230-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080805T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOS ALAMOS-SANTA FE-SANDOVAL-
732 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM MDT FOR EXTREME
EAST CENTRAL SANDOVAL...NORTHWESTERN SANTA FE AND SOUTHERN LOS ALAMOS
COUNTIES...

AT 721 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH HAD OCCURRED EARLIER WAS STARTING TO SUBSIDE
IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOWEVER...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY 
HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ESPECIALLY FAVORING 
THE AREA BETWEEN WHITE ROCK TO NORTH OF COCHITI LAKE. FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BANDELIER NATIONAL MONUMENT...
  WHITE ROCK...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3587 10642 3594 10624 3578 10607 3575 10616
      3563 10609 3561 10612 3570 10629

$$

50

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 050233
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
833 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

NMC028-043-049-050243-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080805T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOS ALAMOS-SANTA FE-SANDOVAL-
833 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL
SANDOVAL...NORTHWESTERN SANTA FE AND SOUTHERN LOS ALAMOS COUNTIES...

RAINFALL HAS SINCE LESSENED IN INTENSITY BUT STILL LOOK FOR SOME 
MINOR FLOODING ISSUES FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO NEAR AND SOUTH OF 
WHITE ROCK. 

LAT...LON 3587 10642 3594 10624 3578 10607 3575 10616
      3563 10609 3561 10612 3570 10629

$$
50

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
257 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...
20Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS TWO SURFACE TROUGHS OVER NM...ONE OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS AND THE OTHER OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MTNS. WATER
VAPOR LOOP SHOWS AN UPPER WAVE OVER CENTRAL NM MOVING SLOWLY NORTH.
VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE MCV OVER EASTERN SOCORRO/
WESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES SLIDING NORTH WITH CONVECTION FIRING IN
THE VICINITY OF THIS FEATURE. ELSEWHERE...NUMEROUS STORMS HAVE
FIRED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ARE MOVING LITTLE THUS THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES.

FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS WITHIN THE SFC
TROUGH AXES THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z OVER THE NORTHERN MTNS/ESTANCIA
VALLEY AND CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL BE THE MAIN
FORCING MECHANISM FOR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AGAIN THIS EVENING...
INCLUDING STORM MOTIONS FROM THE SSE OFF THE MANZANO/SANDIA MTNS.
700MB/500MB TEMPS ARE 1 TO 3 DEGREES WARMER THAN SUNDAY WITH HIGHER
PWATS THEREFORE OUTFLOWS MAY NOT BE AS EFFICIENT IN THE VALLEY
TONIGHT.

THE AXIS OF BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS
THE STATE TUESDAY. 500MB TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM TO AROUND -3C OVER
THE CENTRAL AND SE PLAINS TO LIMIT CONVECTION IN THESE AREAS. ALL
EYES THEN TURN TO LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM TROPICAL
STORM EDOUARD DRIFTING WESTWARD TOWARD TX. SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY SHUT OFF CONVECTION IN ALL BUT THE NW CORNER
WEDNESDAY. EXTENDED MODEL GUIDANCE WASHES OUT MOST OF EDOUARD
BEFORE REACHING NEW MEXICO...RESULTING IN MOSTLY A BOOST TO OUR
MONSOONAL CIRCULATION. THE MOST INTERESTING PERIOD WILL BE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A FRONT MOVES SW INTO THE E PLAINS OF NM.
THIS WILL LIKELY AID IN WIDESPREAD STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH A HEAVY QPF EVENT
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/CENTRAL MTN CHAIN.

GUYER

&&

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER ALL BUT THE
FAR EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT.  LOCALIZED IFR CIGS
AND VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS
TO 35 KNOTS.  LINGERING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS MAY OCCUR
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AGAIN
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z...KD

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A MOIST SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER HUMIDITIES ON AVERAGE AND DAILY ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WETTING RAINS...PRIMARILY THE
NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. KD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  67  94  66  92 /  40  30  50  20
GALLUP..........................  59  86  57  87 /  40  40  40  20
GRANTS..........................  52  86  52  86 /  40  30  20  10
GLENWOOD........................  60  89  62  88 /  20  50  10  20
CHAMA...........................  44  81  46  80 /  40  60  60  30
LOS ALAMOS......................  61  82  60  81 /  40  30  20  20
RED RIVER.......................  42  76  44  74 /  60  70  50  30
TAOS............................  54  84  53  84 /  40  40  30  20
SANTA FE........................  58  86  57  87 /  60  30  30  20
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  60  89  59  89 /  50  30  20  20
ESPANOLA........................  58  91  58  91 /  40  20  20  20
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  67  91  68  92 /  40  20  20  10
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  65  92  66  94 /  40  20  20  10
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  65  88  66  89 /  50  20  20  10
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  67  91  67  92 /  40  20  20  10
SOCORRO.........................  67  93  65  95 /  20  20  10  10
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  56  82  54  80 /  60  30  30  10
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  57  82  55  85 /  50  20  20  10
CARRIZOZO.......................  62  88  61  87 /  20  10  10  10
RUIDOSO.........................  55  82  56  81 /  30  20  10  10
RATON...........................  56  88  54  87 /  30  30  40  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  56  85  56  85 /  40  20  20  10
ROY.............................  64  87  61  88 /  30  10  10  10
CLAYTON.........................  66  94  65  90 /  20  20  20  10
SANTA ROSA......................  65  93  64  92 /  10  10  10   5
TUCUMCARI.......................  71  98  70  96 /  10  10  10   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  69  97  68  94 /   5   0  10   5
CLOVIS..........................  68  95  68  93 /   5   0   5  10
PORTALES........................  69  96  69  94 /   0   0   5  10
ROSWELL.........................  70  98  69  96 /   5   0   5  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

GUYER/19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1023 AM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

NMZ001>021-026-051200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
1023 AM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING...IS POSSIBLE
BOTH TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE TO REPORT FLOODING. SPOTTERS ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED
TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

GUYER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
219 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

NMZ017-042115-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
219 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 212 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH
...HAIL UP TO QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING NEAR FORT STANTON AND EAST OF WHITE OAKS. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTH...NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1
TO 1.25 INCHES AND PRODUCE HIGHER FLOWS WITHIN ARROYOS AND DITCHES.
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN SETTINGS.

ANOTHER STRONG STORM WILL MOVE OUT OF OTERO COUNTY AND AFFECT THE
RUIDOSO AREA BETWEEN 250 TO 330 PM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ALTO...ANGUS...BONITO
LAKE...CAPITAN...ENCINOSO..GLENCOE AND JICARILLA.

50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
405 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

NMZ009-010-042245-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-SANDIA/MANZANO
MOUNTAINS-
405 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE MANZANO MOUNTAINS...

AT 356 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HEAVY RAIN WEST AND NORTHWEST OF TAJIQUE. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH/NORTHWEST
AT 5 MPH. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVING NATURE TO THE STORMS...HOURLY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 TO 1.5 INCHES. THIS WILL ENHANCE
WATER FLOWS IN NORMALLY DRY DITCHES AND ARROYOS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BIG SPRING WILDFIRE AREA. ESPECIALLY THE NORTH
END OF THE FIRE SCAR WHICH IMPACTS THE TAJIQUE...TORREON LOOP ROAD.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE RURAL EAST CENTRAL
VALENCIA COUNTY AND RURAL WEST CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY.

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
541 PM MDT MON AUG 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
08/04/2008  E1.00 INCH       BERNALILLO         NM   PUBLIC

            LOMAS AND EUBANK.

0513 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
08/04/2008                   BERNALILLO         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EUBANK AND LOMAS. WATER SO HIGH IT CAME INTO A TRANSIT
            BUS WHEN THE DOORS OPENED.

0520 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ALBUQUERQUE             35.12N 106.62W
08/04/2008                   BERNALILLO         NM   PUBLIC

            HAM OPERATOR REPORTED FLOODING ON I-40 AT JUAN TABO EXIT.
            TOO HIGH FOR VEHICLES TO PASS THROUGH.

&&

CJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
624 PM MDT MON AUG 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             7 ESE ALBUQUERQUE       35.09N 106.53W
08/04/2008  E0.75 INCH       BERNALILLO         NM   NWS EMPLOYEE

            I 40 AND JUAN TABO.

&&

CJONES