Alert archive / Oklahoma / Winter Storm Watches in 2007

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Tulsa, OK

January 18, 200722 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this winter storm watch at Jan 18, 2007, 3:29 AM CST for 22 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas. It took effect at Jan 19, 2007, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 18, 2007, 3:29 AM CST (09:29 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 19, 2007, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Jan 19, 2007, 3:47 PM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
All 26 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2007-01-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2007-01-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1210 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS44 KTSA 180929
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
329 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181730-
/O.NEW.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
329 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN
AND SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND
LE FLORE.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...CURRENTLY OFF THE CALIFORNIA
COAST...WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. AREAS
OF SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW SPREADING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 WITH 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY
MORNING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF A SLEET...SNOW MIXTURE...IS EXPECTED
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WITH PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET TOWARDS THE RED RIVER. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW OR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF ICE OR SLEET IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA DURING
THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE
NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR IS WINTERIZED
AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE AN ADEQUATE
SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO LAST
THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
DUE TO THE RECENT ICE STORM. COMMERCIAL POWER MAY BE FURTHER
DELAYED IN SOME OF THESE AREAS DUE TO THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER
OVER THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. THE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OR ICE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE FURTHER TRAVEL
PROBLEMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER
WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND
AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.

$$
7 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 181645
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1045 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-182300-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1045 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...CURRENTLY OFF THE CALIFORNIA
COAST...WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. AREAS
OF SNOW...MIXED WITH SLEET WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW SPREADING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 WITH 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOWFALL POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY
MORNING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF A SLEET...SNOW MIXTURE...IS EXPECTED
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WITH PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET TOWARDS THE RED RIVER. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW OR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF ICE OR SLEET IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA DURING
THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE
NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR IS WINTERIZED
AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE AN ADEQUATE
SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO LAST
THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
DUE TO THE RECENT ICE STORM. COMMERCIAL POWER MAY BE FURTHER
DELAYED IN SOME OF THESE AREAS DUE TO THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER
OVER THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. THE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OR ICE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE FURTHER TRAVEL
PROBLEMS. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER
WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND
AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.


$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 182149
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
349 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-190600-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
349 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND LASTING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL GENERALLY FALL 
IN THE FORM OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF A FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS
TO BRISTOW OKLAHOMA LINE WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE 
IN THIS AREA. A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED FURTHER
SOUTH ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH
4 TO 8 INCHES OF A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THIS REGION. SLEET AND RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS MOST
OF PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SOME
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY BEE POSSIBLE. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW OR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF ICE OR SLEET IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE
NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR IS WINTERIZED
AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE AN ADEQUATE
SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO LAST
THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
DUE TO THE RECENT ICE STORM. COMMERCIAL POWER MAY BE FURTHER
DELAYED IN SOME OF THESE AREAS DUE TO THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER
OVER THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. THE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OR ICE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE FURTHER TRAVEL
PROBLEMS. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER
WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND
AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 182154 CCA
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-190615-
/O.COR.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
353 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND LASTING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL GENERALLY FALL 
IN THE FORM OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF A FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS
TO BRISTOW OKLAHOMA LINE WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE 
IN THIS AREA. A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED FURTHER
SOUTH ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH
4 TO 8 INCHES OF A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THIS REGION. SLEET AND RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS MOST
OF PUSHMATAHA AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SOME
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY BE POSSIBLE. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW OR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF ICE OR SLEET IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD PREPARE
NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR IS WINTERIZED
AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE AN ADEQUATE
SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO LAST
THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
DUE TO THE RECENT ICE STORM. COMMERCIAL POWER MAY BE FURTHER
DELAYED IN SOME OF THESE AREAS DUE TO THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER
OVER THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. THE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION OF SNOW OR ICE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE FURTHER TRAVEL
PROBLEMS. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WINTER
WEATHER EVENT. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND
AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 190316
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
916 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191130-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
916 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND INTO THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND.  PRECIPATION WILL BEGIN TO
BREAK OUT OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA MAINLY TO THE WEST OF
A PONCA CITY TO POTEAU LINE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.  PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SATURDAY BEFORE
ENDING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING.

SNOW WILL BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST SLEET MAY BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPATION
TYPE WITH A COLD RAIN POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF A MCALESTER TO
FORT SMITH LINE.  SNOW AND SLEET AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH OF A 
MCALESTER TO FORTH SMITH LINE WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 4 TO 8
INCH RANGE.  THE LARGEST AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR THE 
KANSAS BORDER WITH SMALLER AMOUNTS MORE LIKELY THE FARTHER
SOUTH YOU GO.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW OR A SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF ICE OR SLEET IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD
PREPARE NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR IS
WINTERIZED AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER.  ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE AN
ADEQUATE SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO
LAST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 191008
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
408 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-192215-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
408 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
AND SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...
MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...AND LE FLORE.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS
UPCOMING WINTER STORMS...WITH THE FAVORED AREA CURRENTLY BEING
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THIS REGION HAS THE HIGHEST
CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING ALL SNOW ONCE PRECIPITATION BEGINS FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS BEING SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT.

LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 MAY EXPERIENCE SEVERAL
TRANSITIONS IN PRECIPITATION TYPE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE PERIOD OF GREATEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS LOOKS TO
REMAIN MOSTLY LIQUID...WHICH WILL LIMIT ANY SNOW OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS. FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA APPEARS MOST LIKELY TO
RECEIVE ALL RAIN.

LARGE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE
STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER...AND
THE RESULTANT PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY...THE WINTER STORM
WATCH CONTINUES HOWEVER LATER UPGRADES TO WINTER STORM WARNINGS
SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED.

THIS WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR WINTER STORM CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOUR CAR
IS WINTERIZED AND IN GOOD WORKING ORDER. ALSO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE
AN ADEQUATE SUPPLY OF FOOD...WATER AND THE NECESSARY MEDICATION TO
LAST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WINTER STORM.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 191643
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

OKZ049-053-191745-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW.

$$

OKZ054>064-067-200045-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...WAGONER
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR.
TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 
FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.
      
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ065-066-068>076-200045-
/O.EXT.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND 
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND OR RAIN APPEARS LIKELY
IN THE WATCH AREA. WHEN THE DELINEATION OF RAIN AND SNOW BECOMES
MORE CERTAIN THE WATCH AREA WILL BE CONVERTED TO A WINTER STORM 
WARNING...ADVISORY OR CANCELLED.


$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 192147
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ065-066-068>071-200600-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-
ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SLEET MAY MIX IN AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES MAY
EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR. TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OKZ054>064-067-200600-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...WAGONER
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR.
TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 
FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.


$$

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-200600-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WW.Y.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.
 
1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
ADVISORY AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION 
COULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. 

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END SUNDAY MORNING AS SNOW FLURRIES
OR DRIZZLE. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Jan 18, 2:42 AM CST, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 2:42 AM CST, 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
242 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

.DISCUSSION...

...WINTER WEATHER AGAIN EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND...

HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AS
STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. IT APPEARS
THAT INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR ANOTHER WINTER WEATHER EVENT
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF FA AS UPPER LOW...
CURRENTLY OFF OF THE SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA COAST...LIFTS NORTHEAST
INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MOVEMENT/STRENGTH OF UPPER
FEATURES HOWEVER THE NAM/WRF SLIGHTLY MORE NORTH WITH UPPER LOW
TRACK AND DEVELOPS LESS PRECIPITATION DUE TO DRIER LOW LEVELS. IT
APPEARS THE GFS HAS A BETTER HANDLE WITH OVERALL PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS AND WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW THIS TIMING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FORECAST POINT SOUNDING INDICATE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
MAINLY SNOW NORTH OF A MLC/FSM LINE...WITH A SNOW/SLEET MIXTURE
FURTHER SOUTH TO THE RED RIVER. WARM LAYER ACROSS AFOREMENTIONED
AREA EXPECTED TO BE ONLY AROUND 1 TO 2 DEG C AT MOST AND THEREFORE
ONLY EXPECT PARTIAL MELTING WITH LESS OF A THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN
COMPARED TO THIS WEEKENDS ICE STORM (WARM LAYER WAS AROUND 10 DEG
C).

AREAS OF SNOW/SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH SNOW SPREADING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY. WITH
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY SNOW NORTH OF INTERSTATE
40 EXPECT TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES. SOUTH OF
A MLC/FSM LINE DUE TO THE SNOW/SLEET MIX EXPECT 2 TO 3 INCHES...
HOWEVER THIS COULD FALL MAINLY AS SLEET AND WILL THEREFORE ISSUE A
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE FA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT.

MAIN CONCERNS REMAIN THE EXACT STRENGTH/TRACK OF UPPER LOW AND DEPTH/
STRENGTH OF THE WARM LAYER PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES. HEAVY
SNOW EVENT WOULD BECOME EVEN MORE LIKELY IF UPPER LOW TRACK IS ANY
FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST BY THE GFS.

THROUGH THE EXTENDED GENERALLY UNDERCUT MEX GUIDANCE DUE TO THE
EXPECTED SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. SECONDARY SURGE OF COOLER AIR
MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS POLAR JET
MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ALSO LIKELY KEEP
SNOW COVER AROUND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY IF PROJECTED
SNOW AMOUNTS OCCUR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   36  23  36  27 /  10  10  10  30
FSM   41  26  38  30 /  10  10  10  30
MLC   40  28  37  28 /  10  10  10  50
BVO   36  21  36  25 /  10  10  10  20
FYV   38  23  37  24 /  10  10  10  20
BYV   39  23  39  24 /  10  10  10  20
MKO   37  23  37  27 /  10  10  10  30
MIO   36  22  36  24 /  10  10  10  20
F10   36  24  35  27 /  10  10  10  50
HHW   41  33  38  32 /  10  10  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-
 ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....12
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 1:00 PM CST, 14 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST WED JAN 17 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CST WED JAN 17 2007

...ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WINTER WEATHER.
	SNOW ACCUMULATION.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

	WIND CHILL.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ENTIRE AREA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING UPPER TROUGH WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE
FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL TO OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE REMAINS QUITE LOW...THEREFORE LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING. AS WINDS INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL
VALUES WILL BE EXPERIENCED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TOMORROW NIGHT WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION.

THE LATEST COMPUTER MODEL RUNS HAVE PAINTED A DIRE PICTURE FOR
THIS COMING WEEKEND. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH DEEP
MOISTURE THAT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. WITH SUBFREEZING
AIR AT ALL LEVELS THIS SHOULD BE A SNOW EVENT FOR ALL BUT EXTREME
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE A WINTRY MIX. CURRENT
MODEL QPF WOULD INDICATE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 8 INCHES FOR
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40...INCLUDING THE GREATER
TULSA AREA.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ALL CONCERNED PARTIES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AS THIS POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER DEVELOPS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Winter Storm Watches in Arkansas, 2007Every winter storm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.