Alert archive / Oklahoma / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Tulsa, OK

January 19, 200717 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this winter storm warning at Jan 19, 2007, 10:43 AM CST for 17 counties in Oklahoma; 4 counties in Arkansas. It took effect at Jan 19, 2007, 3:47 PM CST. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2007, 10:43 AM CST (16:43 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 19, 2007, 3:47 PM CST
Expired
Jan 21, 2007, 3:04 AM CST
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
All 21 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2007-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2007-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -77 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1856 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS44 KTSA 191643
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

OKZ049-053-191745-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW.

$$

OKZ054>064-067-200045-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...WAGONER
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR.
TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 
FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.
      
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ065-066-068>076-200045-
/O.EXT.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1043 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

A WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND 
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND OR RAIN APPEARS LIKELY
IN THE WATCH AREA. WHEN THE DELINEATION OF RAIN AND SNOW BECOMES
MORE CERTAIN THE WATCH AREA WILL BE CONVERTED TO A WINTER STORM 
WARNING...ADVISORY OR CANCELLED.


$$
8 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 192147
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ065-066-068>071-200600-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-
ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SLEET MAY MIX IN AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES MAY
EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR. TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OKZ054>064-067-200600-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...WAGONER
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN THE WARNED AREA EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR 
SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH AN HOUR.
TOTAL SNOWFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 
FIVE TO NINE INCH RANGE. 

THE STORM WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES THEN DRIZZLE AROUND DAYLIGHT SUNDAY.


$$

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-200600-
/O.UPG.KTSA.WS.A.0002.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WW.Y.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
347 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.
 
1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
ADVISORY AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION 
COULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. 

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END SUNDAY MORNING AS SNOW FLURRIES
OR DRIZZLE. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 200255
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
855 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-201100-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
855 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND INTO THE PLAINS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.  SNOW WILL BECOME
POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW BY MID
MORNING SATURDAY.  THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

PERSONS SHOULD DELAY TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. IF TRAVEL IS ABSOLUTELY
NECESSARY...DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION. REDUCE DRIVING
SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST AHEAD
OF YOU...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. AVOID
SUDDEN BRAKING OR ACCELERATION...AND BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS ON
HILLS OR WHEN MAKING TURNS.


$$

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-201100-
/O.CON.KTSA.WW.Y.0001.070120T0600Z-070121T1200Z/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
855 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND INTO THE PLAINS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.  SNOW WILL BECOME
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW BY MID MORNING.
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET
AND RAIN.  SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE PRECIPIATION ENDS SATURDAY NIGHT.

MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING. REDUCE
DRIVING SPEEDS...LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOU AND THE MOTORIST
AHEAD OF YOU...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.
AVOID SUDDEN BRAKING OR ACCELERATION...AND BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS
ON HILLS OR WHEN MAKING TURNS.


$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 201024
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
424 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ054>071-202200-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-
CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-
OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...
TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
424 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...AND MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...AND MCINTOSH.

WIDESPREAD SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH PRECIPITATION
ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW APPEARS MOST LIKELY
ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR
TO EIGHT INCHES EXPECTED. FURTHER SOUTH...A SNOW SLEET MIX IS
EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...TRANSITIONING TO MAINLY
SLEET ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ACCUMULATIONS WITHIN THIS
ZONE OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

THE TRANSITION IN PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL REMAIN A FORECAST
CHALLENGE THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND FORECAST
ACCUMULATIONS MAY CHANGE RAPIDLY PENDING THE LATEST INFORMATION.
UPDATED FORECASTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED.

DESPITE THE CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WINTER
STORM...THE RESULTANT EFFECTS WILL BE INCREASINGLY DANGEROUS ROAD
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. RECOVERY
EFFORTS FROM THE RECENT ICE STORM WILL ALSO LIKELY BE HINDERED BY
THE ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET.

PERSONS SHOULD DELAY TRAVEL IF POSSIBLE. ROADS...BRIDGES...AND
OVERPASSES IN THE WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BECOME SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS.  MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS
ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY.


$$

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-202200-
/O.CON.KTSA.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
424 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...AND SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...AND LE FLORE.

A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH A TRANSITION TO
SNOW OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA AS PRECIPITATION ENDS FROM
WEST TO EAST. THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM
REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...AND THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN FROZEN
AND LIQUID TYPES WILL VARY THROUGHOUT TODAY INTO TONIGHT. TOTAL
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS MAY APPROACH TWO INCHES NEAR AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. LATER DATA MAY SUPPORT RAPID
CHANGES IN SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...AND UPDATED FORECASTS
SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED.

DESPITE THE ONGOING UNCERTAINTIES IN PRECIPITATION TYPE...ROAD
CONDITIONS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
MAY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS IN SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED
SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 201643
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

ARZ010-011-OKZ065-066-068>071-210045-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.070120T1643Z-070121T1200Z/
WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...
HUNTSVILLE...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
1043 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH DOWNGRADES AND REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WINTER STORM WARNING...
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

LESS SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.
MUCH OF THE ADVISORY AREA WILL SEE A SLEET AND RAIN MIX THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING.
THE MIXTURE IS LIKELY TO CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW LATER THIS
EVENING BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SLEET...OR SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ072>076-201745-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1043 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.


$$

ARZ001-002-OKZ054>064-067-210045-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...
MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...
WAGONER
1043 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

THIS AFTERNOON A MIX OF SLEET SNOW AND RAIN WILL FALL OVER THE
WARNING AREA. PLACES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA 
AND IN BENTON AND CARROLL COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL LIKELY
SEE A RAIN SLEET MIX DURING MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGING TO A 
SLEET SNOW MIX. PLACES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WILL SEE SLEET AND 
SNOW. BECAUSE MORE SLEET IS EXPECTED...TOTAL SLEET SNOW ACCUMULATION
WILL BE REDUCED TO THE 2 TO 6 INCH RANGE.  

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...CHEROKEE...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...
LATIMER...LEFLORE...

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 202150
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
350 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

ARZ001-002-OKZ054>064-067-210600-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...
MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...
WAGONER
350 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER.

A MIX OF SLEET SNOW AND RAIN WILL FALL OVER THE WARNING AREA THIS
EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT. PLACES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND IN BENTON AND CARROLL COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WILL LIKELY SEE A RAIN SLEET MIX BEFORE CHANGING TO A SLEET SNOW
MIX. PLACES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WILL SEE SLEET AND SNOW.
BECAUSE MORE SLEET IS EXPECTED...TOTAL SLEET SNOW ACCUMULATION
WILL BE REDUCED TO THE 1 TO 4 INCH RANGE.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKMULGEE...

$$

ARZ010-011-OKZ065-066-068>071-210600-
/O.CON.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...
HUNTSVILLE...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
350 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

LESS SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.
MUCH OF THE ADVISORY AREA WILL SEE A SLEET AND RAIN MIX WITH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING. THE MIXTURE IS LIKELY TO
CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND SNOW LATER THIS EVENING BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKMULGEE...

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 210021
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
621 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

ARZ001-002-OKZ056>058-060>064-067-210830-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-
CREEK-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...TULSA...CLAREMORE...
PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...WAGONER
621 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL.

IN OKLAHOMA...
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...
CREEK...WAGONER.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL.

IN OKLAHOMA...
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...
CREEK...WAGONER.

PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL AS RAIN ACROSS MOST OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO A SLEET
AND SNOW MIX LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR
THE PRECIPITATION MOVES CLOSER AND BRINGS SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT. ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE EXPECTED 
BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

IN ADDITION...MANY AREAS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS ARE REPORTING SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR
FREEZING. SOME FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING NORTH OF A
TULSA TO FAYETTEVILLE LINE...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...
OKMULGEE...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

OKZ054-055-059-210830-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-PAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...PAWNEE
621 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...PAWNEE.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OSAGE...PAWNEE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 4 INCHES EXPECTED BEFORE SNOW
ENDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...PAWNEE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

ARZ010-011-OKZ065-066-068>071-210830-
/O.CON.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...
HUNTSVILLE...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA
621 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

RAIN WILL MIX WITH CHANGE TO SLEET LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER
LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE PRECIPITATION BRINGS SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT OVER THE AREA. ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH
ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
OKMULGEE...

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 210347
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
947 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

OKZ060>062-064>071-210500-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
EUFAULA
947 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE
REST OF TONIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING...SOME ICY
PATCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AREA ROADWAYS OVERNIGHT.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...CREEK...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...
CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH.

$$

OKZ054-055-059-211200-
/O.CON.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-PAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...PAWNEE
947 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...PAWNEE.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT ACROSS PAWNEE...OSAGE AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES. WHILE THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS OVER...THERE WILL
BE ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH. SNOW WILL
END BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ056>058-063-211200-
/O.CON.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...JAY
947 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...DELAWARE.

AREAS OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH PATCHY FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH
ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BENTON AND CARROLL COUNTIES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

COUNTIES WHERE IT WAS REPORTED THAT ROADS WERE SLICK IN SPOTS...
DELAWARE...CARROLL...BENTON...WASHINGTON...CRAWFORD...

$$
000 
WWUS44 KTSA 210904
WSWTSA

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

OKZ054-055-059-211015-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-PAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...PAWNEE
304 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...AND PAWNEE.

MEASURABLE SNOWFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE
STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA. PATCHY DRIZZLE MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES REMAIN
ABOVE FREEZING WHICH WILL PREVENT ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS.


$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-OKZ056>058-063-211015-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-DELAWARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...JAY
304 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...AND MADISON.

IN OKLAHOMA...
NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...AND DELAWARE.

MEASURABLE SNOW AND FREEZING RAINS HAS ENDED ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM
LIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA. PATCHY DRIZZLE MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING WHICH
WILL PREVENT ANY ICE ACCUMULATIONS.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 19, 3:45 AM CST, 6 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 3:45 AM CST, 6 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR UPCOMING WEATHER IS CURRENTLY SPINNING
OFF THE BAJA COASTLINE WITH A STEADY STREAM OF PACIFIC MOISTURE
FEEDING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. THIS HIGH CLOUD WILL
LIMIT TEMPS A BIT TODAY HOWEVER EXPECT WIDESPREAD ABOVE FREEZING
TEMPS ALLOWING FOR ADDITIONAL MELTING.

AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW HAS YET TO BE SUFFICIENTLY SAMPLED BY
UPPER AIR NETWORK WHICH MAKES THE DECLARATION OF A SUPERIOR MODEL
SOLUTION DIFFICULT...HOWEVER THE CONSENSUS FAVORS INCREASING PRECIP
CHANCES TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE INCREASES WELL IN ADVANCE OF
UPPER DYNAMICS. THIS PROCESS STRENGTHENS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT AS UPPER LOW EJECTS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. RESULT BEING WIDESPREAD PRECIP SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE FAVORED AXIS OF
HEAVIER AMOUNTS BEING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.

THEN THERE IS PRECIP TYPE. EVAPORATIONAL EFFECTS WILL BE
INSTRUMENTAL IN COOLING A RELATIVELY LARGE DEPTH OF THE COLUMN...AS
DRY AIR NOTED ON KOUN / KSGF 00Z SOUNDINGS BECOMES SATURATED WITH
TIME. THIS WILL ALSO YIELD A DEEP REGION OF NEARLY ISOTHERMAL
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING POINT. SMALL TEMPERATURE CHANGES
WITHIN THIS LAYER WILL DIRECTLY IMPACT PRECIP TYPE...AND FURTHER
CONCERNS ARISE WITH A TYPICAL MODEL BIAS OF UNDERESTIMATING THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE LOW LEVEL WARM LAYER. HELPING OFFSET THIS FACTOR
WILL BE THE STRENGTH OF FORCING AND RESULTANT PRECIP INTENSITY.
THAT SAID...THE FAVORED SCENARIO IS FOR THE BULK OF PRECIP NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 40 TO BE SNOW. FURTHER SOUTH...AN INITIAL ROUND OF
LIGHT SLEET WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN OR SNOW SATURDAY
MORNING...WITH ALL RAIN LIKELY ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE MOST LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
40...WITH 4 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS LIKELY. CURRENT UNCERTAINTIES WITH
EVOLUTION OF THE LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE PROFILES INHIBIT ANY
UPGRADES TO THE CURRENT WATCH AT THIS TIME...THOUGH WINTER STORM
WARNINGS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ANTICIPATED.

PRECIP WILL TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE ON SUNDAY AS DRY SLOT ROTATES
OVERHEAD...BEFORE DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY MONDAY. EVOLUTION OF ANOTHER
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. STORM SYSTEM IS LIKELY BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THOUGH ITS PROGRESSION CURRENTLY LOOKS TO REMAIN TO OUR
SOUTH AND WEST. THIS WILL KEEP THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST DRY
WITH CONTINUED TREND OF AT OR BELOW LATEST GUIDANCE TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  28  33  31 /   0  20 100  90
FSM   43  30  35  33 /   0  20 100  90
MLC   41  30  35  33 /  10  60 100  80
BVO   41  23  34  30 /   0  20 100  90
FYV   42  25  34  31 /   0  10  90  90
BYV   42  25  34  31 /   0  10  90  90
MKO   42  28  33  33 /   0  20 100  90
MIO   41  26  34  30 /   0  10  90  90
F10   41  28  33  31 /   0  50 100  90
HHW   43  34  37  34 /  10  60 100  80

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO NOON SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO NOON SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....07
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 5:03 AM CST, 5 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
503 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WINTER WEATHER.
	SNOW ACCUMULATION.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

	ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
WILL MOVE EAST INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARIZONA BY LATE TONIGHT.
SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE
TONIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET DEVELOPING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. ONLY MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH THE MORE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TURN NORTHEAST INTO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND EASTERN KANSAS BY EARLY
SUNDAY. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING SATURDAY NIGHT.
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF HEAVY WET SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY
BE IN THE 4 TO 8 INCH RANGE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40....WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS MORE UNCERTAIN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
EITHER RAIN OR SNOW.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AND MONITOR FORECASTS LATER TODAY
WHICH MAY BETTER DEFINE WHERE THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL BE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 3:47 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryTSAHaskell, Latimer, Pittsburg19 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2007Winter Storm Warnings in Arkansas, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.