River Flood Warning 2, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 171916
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
216 PM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-180316-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0300Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0600Z.070720T2100Z.NO/
216 PM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR MUSKOGEE WILL CONTINUE RISING
  TO 31.1 FEET TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BEGIN FALLING.  THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT WILL BE FLOODED.  AREAS ON THE GROUNDS OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT MAY BE THREATENED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 180055
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 PM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OKLAHOMA..
   ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY...
  
OKC101-181454-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0300Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0600Z.070720T2100Z.NO/
754 PM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
  
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.0 FEET. 

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FORECAST...THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR MUSKOGEE WILL CONTINUE RISING
  TO 31.1 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN BEGIN FALLING.  THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
  
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT WILL BE FLOODED.  AREAS ON THE GROUNDS OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT MAY BE THREATENED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 181318
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
818 AM CDT WED JUL 18 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-182118-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0215Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T2015Z.NO/
818 AM CDT WED JUL 18 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT WILL BE FLOODED.  AREAS ON THE GROUNDS OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT MAY BE THREATENED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 181934
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
234 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-190334-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T1800Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1200Z.NO/
234 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT WILL BE FLOODED.  AREAS ON THE GROUNDS OF THE OG&E POWER 
  PLANT MAY BE THREATENED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 190426
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1126 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
   OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND SEBASTIAN 
  COUNTIES 
  
OKC101-191226-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T1312Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T0712Z.NO/
1126 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
  
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

* AT 11:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. 

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY BEFORE DAWN.
  
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF OG&E POWER PLANT 
  WILL BE FLOODED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

ARC033-131-191226-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070723T1200Z/
/VBUA4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.070715T1401Z.070723T0600Z.NO/
1126 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN.
  
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

* AT 11:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET. 

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 

* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.3 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY BEFORE DAWN. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  BEFORE DAWN.
  
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR EAST 
  OF I-540 FROM THE ARKANSAS RIVER BRIDGE TO SUNNY MEDE CREEK.  SAND 
  AND GRAVEL COMPANIES AND MARINE TERMINALS IN THE FLOODPLAIN ALONG 
  THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 190859
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
359 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS..
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND SEBASTIAN 
  COUNTIES 
OKC101-191659-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T1312Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T0712Z.NO/
359 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY BEFORE DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF OG&E POWER PLANT 
  WILL BE FLOODED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

ARC033-131-191659-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070723T1200Z/
/VBUA4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.070715T1401Z.070723T0600Z.NO/
359 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY BEFORE DAWN .
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR EAST 
  OF I-540 FROM THE ARKANSAS RIVER BRIDGE TO SUNNY MEDE CREEK.  SAND 
  AND GRAVEL COMPANIES AND MARINE TERMINALS IN THE FLOODPLAIN ALONG 
  THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 191307
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
807 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-192107-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0300Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T2100Z.NO/
807 AM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...A BOATING MARINA NORTH OF OG&E POWER PLANT 
  WILL BE FLOODED.  SOME AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 191918
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
218 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-200318-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T2000Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1400Z.NO/
218 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR.  A 
  BOATING MARINA NORTH OF OG&E POWER PLANT MAY BE FLOODED.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 200050
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
750 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-200850-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T1647Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1047Z.NO/
750 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 200822
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
322 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-201622-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070720T1718Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1118Z.NO/
322 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.


$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 201330
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
830 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY 
OKC101-202130-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0000Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1800Z.NO/
830 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT MUSKOGEE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.


$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 201929
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR MUSKOGEE AFFECTING MUSKOGEE COUNTY. 
  
OKC101-201959-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070721T0000Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.070718T0930Z.070720T1700Z.NO/
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR MUSKOGEE.
* AT  2:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:00 PM FRIDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  THIS
  WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST AT THIS LOCATION FOR THIS EVENT.
  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 AM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

.DISCUSSION...
FORECASTING HAS BEEN AN ADVENTURE THIS MORNING AS OFFICE TOOK A
LIGHTNING HIT YESTERDAY.  HAVE NO NEW MODEL DATA IN AWIPS.
HAVE BASED THE FORECAST ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND WHAT
I CAN GLEAN FROM THE INTERNET.

LOOKS LIKE STORMS TODAY SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE TERRAIN FAVORED
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEST ARKANSAS. I DRIED OUT THE
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS ANY STORMS WILL LIKELY BE TOO
ISOLATED FOR A MENTION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY HINGE ON ADVANCEMENT OF A COLD FRONT.  THE GFS HAS IT
MOVING INTO THE AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.  FIGURE GIVEN THE
TIME OF YEAR IT WILL EITHER NOT MAKE IT HERE OR HANG UP SOMEWHERE
OVER THE AREA.  LOW POPS SEEM ALL THAT ARE MERITED AT THIS TIME.
DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY RETURN BY SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURE WISE...FIGURE THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY.  KNOCKED OFF A FEW DEGREES FROM TODAYS FORECAST HIGHS
FOR HIGHS AT THE END OF THE WEEK.  WITH THE FEELING THE FRONT WILL
NOT HAVE THE PUSH DRY AIR WISE THAT THE GFS HAD YESTERDAY BUMPED
UP DEW POINTS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO WARM UP AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH OR WITHOUT THE
FRONT PASSING THROUGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   94  74  94  75 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   95  72  95  73 /  20  10  10  10
MLC   93  71  93  72 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   94  70  94  70 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   89  67  90  69 /  20  10  10  10
BYV   90  68  90  69 /  20  10  10  10
MKO   91  71  91  72 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   93  71  93  73 /  10  10  10  10
F10   92  71  92  72 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   93  72  93  73 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....17

ABBAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 AM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
513 AM CDT TUE JUL 17 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS BUILDING OVER THE AREA...ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REMAINS FOR WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MILES AN
HOUR AND SMALL HAIL MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 90S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER
70S WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES RISING TO NEAR OR JUST ABOVE
100 IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY BEFORE IT WASHES OUT. A FEW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT. HOT WEATHER WILL RETURN BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES CLIMBING INTO THE 100 TO
105 RANGE BY MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.