Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2007

Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Topeka, KS

December 10, 20076 counties in Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this winter storm warning at Dec 10, 2007, 4:06 AM CST for 6 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 10, 2007, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 18 hr. 30 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 10, 2007, 4:06 AM CST (10:06 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 10, 2007, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Dec 11, 2007, 12:11 PM CST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS

Counties Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Republic County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 10, 6:58 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.13Concordia, KSNUMEROUS ACCIDENTS AND SLICK ROADS.
Dec 10, 7:00 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Glasco, KSROADS VERY SLICK WITH ACCIDENTS OCCURING.
Dec 10, 7:53 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Glasco, KSHALF INCH OF SLUSH GENERALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 24 FROM GLASCO TO THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 81.
Dec 10, 8:08 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Washington, KSSTREETS IN THE CITY OF WASHINGTON VERY ICY...COUNTY HIGHWAYS GETTING THERE. ONE HALF INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION.
Dec 10, 8:20 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Minneapolis, KSNEARLY 0.2 INCHES OF ICE ON SURFACES...POWER LINES HAVE COLLECTED ICE
Dec 10, 8:46 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Culver, KSSTILL RECEIVING STEADY FREEZING RAIN. BRIEF LOSS OF POWER BUT BACK ON CURRENTLY.
Dec 10, 8:58 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.256 Sse Haddam, KSSTARTING TO COLLECT ON TREES AND POWER LINES. TREES BEGINNING TO BOW DOWN. ROADS VERY SLICK.
Dec 10, 9:01 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.13Marysville, KS.13 INCH AND STILL ACCUMULATING.
Dec 10, 9:03 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.254 W Norway, KS
Dec 10, 9:53 PM CSTICE STORM6 Sse Haddam, KSCAN HEAR TREE LIMBS BREAKING DUE TO WEIGHT OF ICE.
Dec 10, 10:02 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Blue Rapids, KSROADS ICY/SLUSHY THROUGH OUT THE COUNTY. POWER OUTAGE IN BLUE RAPIDS.
Dec 10, 10:25 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.55 E Longford, KSSTEADY FREEZING RAIN CURRENTLY. TREES STARTING TO DROOP. COLLECTING ON POWER LINES AS WELL.
Dec 10, 11:55 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Concordia, KSOBSERVER REPORTED 0.6 OF RAINFALL. STILL HAD ABOUT 1.5 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET ON GROUND. ESTIMATED 1/8 TO 1/4 INCH GLAZE.
Dec 11, 6:40 AM CSTICE STORM 0Republic, KS1/4-1/2 INCHES OF ICE ON POWER LINES. POWER OUTAGES.
Dec 11, 6:40 AM CSTICE STORM 0Washington, KS1/2 AN INCH OF ICE ON TREES IN WASHINGTON. TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
Dec 11, 6:42 AM CSTICE STORM 0Clay Center, KS1 INCH OF GLAZE IN CLAY CENTER. TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
Dec 11, 6:42 AM CSTICE STORM 0Concordia, KS1/4 INCH ICE. POWER OUTAGES AND TREES DOWN.
Dec 11, 6:49 AM CSTICE STORM 0Minneapolis, KS3/4 INCH GLAZE IN MINNEAPOLIS. TREES AND POWER LIMBS DOWN.
Dec 11, 6:58 AM CSTICE STORM 0Marysville, KS1/4 INCH ICE. POWER OUT AND TREE LIMBS DOWN.
Dec 11, 7:40 AM CSTICE STORM 0Hanover, KS1/4-3/8 INCH OF ICE. POWER WAS OUT IN HANOVER OVER NIGHT, BUT HAS COME BACK ON.
Dec 11, 7:53 AM CSTICE STORM 0Beattie, KS3/8-1/2 INCH ICE. 6-8 INCH LIMBS DOWN.
Dec 11, 8:10 AM CSTSLEET 0.75Marysville, KS1/2 INCH OF ICE ON POWER LINES.
Dec 11, 8:20 AM CSTICE STORM 02 Ne Ada, KS3/4 INCH OF ICE. LARGE LIMBS DOWN. SLEET BEGINNING TO MIX IN.
Dec 11, 8:27 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Miltonvale, KSNUMEROUS BRANCHES DOWN...1.84 LIQUID
Dec 11, 8:59 AM CSTICE STORM 04 W Norway, KSJUST UNDER 1/2 INCH OF ICE. SLEET BEGINNING TO MIX IN.
Dec 11, 10:36 AM CSTICE STORMClay Center, KSMAJOR TREE DAMAGE ACROSS CLAY COUNTY.
Dec 11, 10:36 AM CSTICE STORMConcordia, KSMAJOR TREE DAMAGE ACROSS CLOUD COUNTY.
Dec 11, 11:13 AM CSTICE STORM 0Belleville, KSESTIMATED 3/4 INCH OF ICE. LIGHT SNOW AT TIME OF CALL. EMERGENCY MANAGER MENTIONED SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES AROUND THE COUNTY.
Dec 11, 11:32 AM CSTICE STORMMarysville, KSACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH OF ICE ACROSS MARSHALL COUNTY...WITH WIDESPREAD LOSS OF POWER AND TREE DAMAGE. AN OVERNIGHT SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN MARYSVILLE...AND WARMING SHELTERS HAVE BEEN SET UP IN BLUE RAPIDS AND FRANKFORT.
Dec 11, 12:15 PM CSTICE STORM 0Clay Center, KSESTIMATED 3/4 TO 1 INCH ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS COUNTY. APPROXIMATELY 2/3 OF CLAY CENTER WITHOUT POWER. WIDESPREAD OUTAGES ACROSS THE COUNTY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-12-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-12-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -37 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KTOP 101006
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM IMMINENT...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO TONIGHT. A STUBBORN COLD AIRMASS
NEAR THE GROUND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM. A HEAVY WINTRY PRECIPITATION
EVENT WILL RESULT...WITH FREEZING RAIN OVERSPREADING THE REGION
BY MID EVENING...TRANSITIONING TO SNOW AND SLEET FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. 

KSZ037-101800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0007.071210T1800Z-071212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
MORRIS-
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
CST TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
CST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE 
TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF
ICE WILL ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
FOR THIS STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE
ADEQUATE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING
THE EVENT...BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER
STORM SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE
PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER. 

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ054>056-058-059-101800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0007.071210T1800Z-071212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071210T1800Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
FOR THIS STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE
ADEQUATE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING
THE EVENT...BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER
STORM SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE
PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER. 

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ024-026-038>040-101800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0007.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
CST TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
CST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE
WILL ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
FOR THIS STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE
ADEQUATE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING
THE EVENT...BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER
STORM SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE
PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER. 

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-101800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0007.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071211T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH
THE FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AROUND 2 INCHES.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
FOR THIS STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE
ADEQUATE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING
THE EVENT...BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER
STORM SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE
PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER. 

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-101800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0007.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0004.071211T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
406 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST
TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...ALONG WITH AROUND 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE
FOR THIS STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE
ADEQUATE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE.
PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING
THE EVENT...BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER
STORM SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE
PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER. 

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 101759
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1159 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM IMMINENT...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO TONIGHT. A STUBBORN COLD
AIRMASS NEAR THE GROUND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM. A HEAVY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION EVENT WILL RESULT...WITH FREEZING RAIN
OVERSPREADING THE REGION BY MID EVENING...TRANSITIONING TO SNOW
AND SLEET FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

KSZ054>056-058-059-110600-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071210T1800Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
1159 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS
STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE ADEQUATE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PERSONS IN
THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING THE EVENT...
BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER STORM SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH
ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER.

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ024-026-037>040-110600-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071211T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
1159 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY NIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE
FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF
ICE WILL ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS
STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE ADEQUATE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PERSONS IN
THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING THE EVENT...
BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER STORM SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH
ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER.

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-110600-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.071211T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
1159 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM CST TUESDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH
THE FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AROUND 2 INCHES.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS
STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE ADEQUATE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PERSONS IN
THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING THE EVENT...
BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER STORM SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH
ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER.

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-110600-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0004.071211T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
1159 AM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE
WILL ACCUMULATE...ALONG WITH AROUND 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET.

ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.  NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR THIS
STORM. CHECK THAT FOOD...MEDICINE...AND FUEL LEVELS ARE ADEQUATE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. PERSONS IN
THE WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN INDOORS DURING THE EVENT...
BUT IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...BE SURE TO TAKE AN WINTER STORM SURVIVAL
KIT WITH YOU. THIS WOULD INCLUDE A MOBILE PHONE...BLANKETS...HIGH
ENERGY FOOD...AND SAND OR CAT LITTER.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 110131
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
731 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW ABUNDANT MOISTURE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE...BRINGING HEAVY WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE
STATE. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...THEN WILL
TRANSITION TO SNOW AND SLEET FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

KSZ054>056-058-059-110800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
731 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SOME SLEET MAY
MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN ON TUESDAY EVENING. AROUND AN INCH
OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE
DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. ANY
TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU LEAVE THE SAFETY OF BEING
INDOORS...YOU ARE PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE GENERATORS SHOULD
ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL VENTILATED AREA.


$$

KSZ024-026-037>040-110800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
731 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
EVENING. SOME SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL
ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AS WELL AS
TREE DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT
IMPOSSIBLE. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU LEAVE THE
SAFETY OF BEING INDOORS...YOU ARE PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE GENERATORS SHOULD
ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL VENTILATED AREA.


$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-110800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
731 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST
AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN
TUESDAY. AROUND AN INCH OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE...WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
AROUND 2 INCHES.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.  ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE
DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. ANY
TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU LEAVE THE SAFETY OF BEING
INDOORS...YOU ARE PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE GENERATORS SHOULD
ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-110800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
731 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ONE HALF TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE...ALONG WITH AROUND 2
INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE
CAN BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE
DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. ANY
TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU LEAVE THE SAFETY OF BEING
INDOORS...YOU ARE PUTTING YOUR LIFE AT RISK.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE GENERATORS SHOULD
ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL VENTILATED AREA.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 110459
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1059 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTERY MIX CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW ABUNDANT MOISTURE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE AT THE SURFACE...BRINGING A MIX OF HEAVY WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TO THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...THEN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW AND SLEET FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

KSZ054>056-058-059-111200-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
1059 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

A MIX OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN...WITH OCCASIONAL THUNDER...WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. AS COLDER
AIR MOVES INTO THE STATE ON TUESDAY MORNING...THE MIX IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME FREEZING RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AND WILL
MIX WITH SLEET TUESDAY EVENING.

A QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED...WITH SOME
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER
SITUATIONS...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING.
PRACTICE YOUR WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE GENERATORS SHOULD
ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ024-026-037>040-111200-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
1059 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY
NIGHT. 

A MIX OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN...WITH OCCASIONAL THUNDER...WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. AS COLDER AIR
MOVES INTO THE STATE ON TUESDAY MORNING...THE MIX IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AND WILL MIX
WITH SLEET TUESDAY EVENING.

A QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED...WITH SOME
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER
SITUATIONS...SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING.
PRACTICE YOUR WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-111200-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
1059 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SOME SLEET AND SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY.

ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ON TUESDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE TWO INCHES OR LESS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN
BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-111200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
1059 PM CST MON DEC 10 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO
SLEET AND SNOW TUESDAY MORNING. 

ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN
BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. 

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 110949
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
349 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW ABUNDANT MOISTURE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THROUGH TODAY. A COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...BRINGING A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
MAINLY FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING...WITH SOME SLEET AND SNOW MIXED
IN NEAR THE NEBRASKA BORDER...WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW AND SLEET
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

KSZ054>056-058-059-111800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
349 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

OCCASIONAL FREEZING RAIN...WITH SOME THUNDER THIS MORNING...CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY. AS COLDER AIR MOVES 
INTO THE AREA...THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET THIS EVENING.

AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH OF ICE IS
EXPECTED...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS...
SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING. PRACTICE YOUR
WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ024-026-037>040-111800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
349 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN...WITH POSSIBLE THUNDER THIS MORNING...WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A MIXTURE OF SLEET...FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED. 

AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE IS
EXPECTED TODAY.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS...
SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING. PRACTICE YOUR
WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-111800-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
349 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDER 
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING...BEFORE MIXING
WITH SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 

AN ADDITIONAL HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE IS 
POSSIBLE TODAY. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LESS THAN TWO INCHES.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN
BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-111800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
349 AM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS MORNING WILL
TRANSITION TO MAINLY SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON. 

AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED THIS
MORNING WITH ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. ICE AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN
BE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE.
TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 111811
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1211 PM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...WINTRY MIX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY...

.A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAW ABUNDANT MOISTURE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THROUGH TODAY. A COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AT THE
SURFACE...BRINGING A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
MAINLY FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING...WITH SOME SLEET AND SNOW
MIXED IN NEAR THE NEBRASKA BORDER...WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW AND
SLEET FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

KSZ008>010-020-021-034-120600-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0009.071211T1811Z-071212T0600Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
1211 PM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION
OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...AND
THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION FALLING AS A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS...AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED AS A
RESULT. ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...SLEET OR
SNOW WILL COMPLICATE ONGOING PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH POWER
OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREE LIMBS THROUGHOUT NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO ANY POWER LINES OR TREE LIMBS COVERED
IN ICE...EVEN AFTER PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA.
CONTINUE TO BE PREPARED FOR EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES AND EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AS
POWER LINES AND LARGE TREE LIMBS MAY HAVE FALLEN OVER THE ROADS.

$$

KSZ054>056-058-059-120600-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
1211 PM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

OCCASIONAL FREEZING RAIN...MOSTLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE
AREA...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH SLEET THIS EVENING.

AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE.

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO ANY POWER LINES OR TREE LIMBS COVERED
IN ICE...EVEN AFTER PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS...
 SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING...LARGE TREE LIMBS
OR POWER LINES MAY HAVE FALLEN ACROSS ROADWAYS.   PRACTICE YOUR
WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

KSZ024-026-037>040-120600-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0600Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
1211 PM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
ON ELEVATED SURFACES. AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A MIXTURE OF SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND
SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE.

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO ANY POWER LINES OR TREE LIMBS COVERED
IN ICE...EVEN AFTER PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS...
 SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING. PRACTICE YOUR
WINTER SAFETY RULES...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER
IN YOUR CAR IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-120000-
/O.CON.KTOP.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071212T0000Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
1211 PM CST TUE DEC 11 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON SOME LIGHT SLEET OR SNOW MAY MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING
RAIN.

AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE MAY ACCUMULATE...MAINLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES...THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE REPORTED
EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS
GENERALLY ALONG AN ABILENE TO HIAWATHA LINE. ANY ADDITIONAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL CAUSE MORE DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND POWER
LINES.

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO ANY POWER LINES OR TREE LIMBS COVERED IN
ICE...EVEN AFTER PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. CONTINUE
TO BE PREPARED FOR EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES AND EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL AS POWER LINES AND LARGE TREE LIMBS
MAY HAVE FALLEN OVER THE ROADS.

IF YOU PLAN TO USE A PORTABLE POWER GENERATOR IN YOUR HOME...BE
CAREFUL TO OBSERVE ALL SAFETY PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID CARBON
MONOXIDE POISONING...ELECTROCUTION...OR A FIRE. PORTABLE
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE OPERATED OUTDOORS IN A DRY AND WELL
VENTILATED AREA.

$$

CAVANAUGH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 9, 9:16 PM CST, 6 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 9, 9:16 PM CST, 6 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
916 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE BEEN CONSIDERING WHETHER TO UPGRADE THE WATCH...OR LEAVE IT TO
THE NEXT SHIFT. BIGGEST CONCERN IN FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE SFC
TEMPS AS THE LATEST NAM STILL SHOWS THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPS TO WARM
ABOVE FREEZING MONDAY NIGHT WITH MOISTURE AND WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION AT THE SFC. THINK THE 00Z NAM MAY BE A LITTLE TO WARM
STILL AS THERE WILL BE A GOOD HALF TO ONE INCH OF SLEET AND ICE ON
THE GROUND ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE TO COUNTER ACT THE WAA.
ADDITIONALLY INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIMIT SOLAR
INSOLATION FROM THE LOW SUN ANGLE. HAVE DECIDED TO MAINTAIN THE
WATCH BECAUSE THE NEW NAM SHOWS A PRETTY GOOD DRY LAYER AROUND 800MB
WHICH COULD DELAY THE ONSET OF PRECIP. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
TIMING ADJUSTMENTS...WILL LET THE NEXT SHIFT EVALUATE THE FULL SUITE
OF 00Z MODELS AND DECIDE WHAT TO DO WITH THE WATCH.

&&

WOLTERS

.PREV DISCUSSION /435 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/...
CHALLENGES OVERNIGHT INCLUDE CHANCES OF CLOUDS CLEARING OUT...AND
RESULTING COLD LOW TEMPERATURES AND FOG POSSIBILITIES.

STRATUS UNDERNEATH SURFACE RIDGE AXIS HANGING IN THERE THIS
AFTERNOON.  HOW LONG STRATUS STICKS AROUND TONIGHT WILL DETERMINE
HOW LOW THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE WILL GO...AND WHETHER DENSE FOG
DEVELOPS TONIGHT.  BOTH NAM AND GFS GREATLY DRY OUT BOUNDARY LAYER
JUST OFF THE SURFACE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
I70...AS SURFACE RIDGE AXIS MOVES ACROSS EASTERN KS.
HOWEVER...THICKER CIRRUS MAY BE COMING IN AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM LATE
TONIGHT COMPLICATING MATTERS.  HAVE GRADUALLY CLEARED SKIES ACROSS
NC AND NE KS...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND WILL MENTION PATCHY FOG
NORTHERN TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES.

ON MONDAY...LEAD SHORTWAVE COMES OUT OF WESTERN U.S. TROUGH WITH
WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE WAVE PROVIDING FOR THE FORCING FOR
VERTICAL MOTION OVER KS DURING THE AFTERNOON. 18Z NAM AGREES WITH
PREVIOUS RUN IN BRINGING VERY LIGHT ZR INTO C KS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHILE GFS GFS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH
PRECIP...STARTING IT IN EC KS DURING MORNING WITH HEAVIER AND MORE
EXTENSIVE QPF FARTHER NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON...SOMEWHAT IN
AGREEMENT WITH 12Z ECMWF.  HAVE GONE WITH A COMPROMISE BETWEEN
MODELS...NOT STARTING PRECIP UNTIL AFTERNOON...AND WITH LESS QPF
THAN GFS DURING AFTERNOON.  WITH TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW 32 DEGREES...THIS SHOULD START AS
FREEZING RAIN.  THUS...HAVE STARTED THE WINTER STORM WATCH EARLIER
FOR TUESDAY FOR PARTS OF EC KS.

GDP

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TWO UPPER LEVEL SYNOPTIC
FEATURES OF INTEREST LOOK TO BRING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE CWA DURING THIS PERIOD.  THE UPPER LEVEL
FEATURES ARE A STRONG TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS...WITH A
DEFORMATION ZONE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE DEFORMATION ZONE FROM WESTERN CANADA AT
FORECAST TIME.  12Z H850 ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD PLUME OF MOISTURE
WITH 11 TO 12 DEGC DEW POINT VALUES AT NORMAN AND SPRINGFIELD UPPER
AIR STATIONS.  OVERNIGHT MONDAY THE MODELS BRING SOUTHERLY RETURN
FLOW THROUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER BRINGING WARMER AIR NORTH THROUGH
EASTERN KS.  MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN BRINGING STRONG UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE STRONG TROUGH AXIS OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS AND TOWARDS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  MODELS INDICATE GOOD
WARM/MOIST AIR ADVECTION THROUGH THE H850 LEVEL BRINGING STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER EASTERN KS IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW PRECIPITATION
TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN KS AND THEN MOVE NORTH AS STRONG LOW LEVEL
ADVECTION SPREADS NORTH OVERNIGHT MONDAY.  PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO
INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  MODELS INDICATE
GOOD CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY TO ELEVATED CONVECTIVE
INSTABILITY THROUGH EASTERN KS DURING THE PERIOD...SO THE POTENTIAL
FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION SEEMS WARRANTED GIVEN THE MODELS
BRING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ABOVE ONE INCH BY MONDAY NIGHT.

IN GENERAL HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT NORTHEAST KS WILL RECEIVE
PRECIPITATION DURING THE PERIOD...SO HAVE NEAR 100 POPS IN THE
FORECAST MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING THROUGHOUT THE WINTER
STORM WATCH AREA.  THE PRIMARY REASON THE WATCH WAS NOT UPGRADED TO
A WARNING THIS AFTERNOON WAS MODEL GUIDANCE IS PERSISTENTLY BRINGING
LOW LEVEL WARM AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA POSSIBLY ALLOWING
PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS ALL RAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.  AT THIS
TIME CONFIDENCE IS LEANING TOWARDS SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING
BELOW FREEZING.  THINK IT WILL BE VERY HARD FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES
TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH CURRENT
SNOW/SLEET COVER OVER MUCH OF EASTERN KS...AND THE LOW LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES SEEM TO REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY...BRINGING STEADY COLD AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA.  THE LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION SEEMS LIKELY AS THE NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH THE DEFORMATION ZONE OVER
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...WOULD LIKELY SEE A SURFACE TROUGH PUSH JUST
NORTH OF KS...BRINGING COOL ARCTIC AIR BENEATH THIS AXIS OF
PERSISTENT WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ALOFT.  QPF
AMOUNTS IN THE GFS/EUROPEAN LOOK VERY ROBUST WITH 00Z TUESDAY-18Z
TUESDAY QPF AMOUNTS OF NEARLY 2 INCHES.  IF THIS WERE TO FALL AS ALL
FREEZING RAIN...THE IMPACT ON THE INFRASTRUCTURE OF EASTERN KS WOULD
BE VERY DETRIMENTAL.  AS LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES BECOME BETTER
RESOLVED PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS.  IF
THIS EVENT WINDS UP WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF LIQUID RAINFALL...THE
IMPACT MAY BE LIMITED TO LOCALIZED FLOODING AS OPPOSED TO A VIRTUAL
INFRASTRUCTURE SHUTDOWN.  WE WILL BE PAYING VERY CLOSE ATTENTION TO
THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM...AND WILL SEND UPDATES AS
SOON AS NEEDED.

EXTENDED...PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO COME TO AN END WEDNESDAY MORNING
AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE CWA.  OTHERWISE REMAINED VERY
CLOSE TO LAST FORECAST PACKAGE AND HPC GUIDANCE WITH FOCUS ON THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER STORM.

CAVANAUGH

&&

.AVIATION...

EXTENSIVE STRATUS WITH CIGS IN MVFR RANGE COVER EASTERN KS THIS
AFTERNOON ON EAST SIDE OF SURFACE RIDGE AXIS. RIDGE FORECAST TO MOVE
EAST TONIGHT WITH GRADUAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT NORTH OF I70.
WHETHER CLEARING WILL MAKE IT AS FAR SOUTH AS TAF SITES TONIGHT IS
PROBLEMATIC.  HAVE OPTED TO ADD TEMPO GROUP FOR 4SM FOR 10 TO 14Z
TONIGHT...BUT IF SKIES CLEAR OUT COMPLETELY...FOG WILL LIKELY BE
MORE DENSE. AFTER THAT...PRECIP CHANCES SHOULD NOT MAKE IT UP TO
MHK...FOE OR TOP UNTIL AFTER 18Z.

&&
.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WINTER STORM WATCH NOON MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
70.

WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY
FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 9, 3:45 PM CST, 12 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
345 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-101145-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
345 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE POSSIBLE FOR EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS FOR
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.  SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF
AROUND AN INCH OR MORE ARE LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.
THIS AMOUNT OF ICE CAN CAUSE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER
LINES.  ADDITIONALLY SNOW AND SLEET MAY ACCUMULATE IN NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS ON TOP OF THE FREEZING RAIN. WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...AND FOR THE REST OF NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THE TYPE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION
FALLING AND ANY ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TOPEKA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 10, 4:06 AM CSTIce Storm WarningTOPAnderson, Brown, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas, Franklin and 11 more35 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2007Every winter storm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.