Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 221209
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
709 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSC045-087-177-221245-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070322T1245Z/
JEFFERSON-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
709 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DOUGLAS...EAST CENTRAL SHAWNEE AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON
COUNTIES...

AT 707 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF LECOMPTON...OR ABOUT 11
MILES EAST OF TOPEKA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LECOMPTON...PERRY...WILLIAMSTOWN...LAWRENCE...MCLOUTH AND EUDORA.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 206.

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. MOVE INDOORS
NOW...AND AVOID WINDOWS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3897 9519 3896 9518 3897 9512 3896 9510
      3897 9506 3887 9508 3891 9554 3913 9558
      3921 9518

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 221220
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
720 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSC177-221230-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070322T1245Z/
SHAWNEE-
720 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHAWNEE COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OF THE 
COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 166 AND 188.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 347 AND 355.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3897 9519 3896 9518 3897 9512 3896 9510
      3897 9506 3887 9508 3891 9547 3917 9551
      3921 9518

$$

KSC045-087-221245-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070322T1245Z/
JEFFERSON-DOUGLAS-
720 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DOUGLAS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 717 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LECOMPTON...OR ABOUT 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LAWRENCE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILLIAMSTOWN...LAWRENCE...MCLOUTH AND EUDORA.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 190 AND 206.

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. MOVE INDOORS
NOW...AND AVOID WINDOWS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3897 9519 3896 9518 3897 9512 3896 9510
      3897 9506 3887 9508 3891 9547 3917 9551
      3921 9518

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 221230
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
730 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSC045-087-221240-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070322T1245Z/
JEFFERSON-DOUGLAS-
730 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DOUGLAS AND SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 190 AND 206.

AT 730 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3897 9519 3896 9518 3897 9512 3896 9510
      3897 9506 3887 9508 3891 9547 3917 9551
      3921 9518

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
440 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

.DISCUSSION...

THE UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES.

INTERESTING SET UP TODAY WITH SFC BNDRY TO THE SOUTH AND GOOD
OVER-RUNNING PATTERN DEVELOPING. LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS SHOW GOOD
ELEVATED LIFT DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE SFC BNDRY BY MIDDAY ALONG OR
JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. OPTIMUM ELEVATED LIFT WITH FAIRLY GOOD
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MOVES SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE NORTHERN BORDER AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATTERN
SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH TRAINING OVER SAME AREAS. NO
FLOOD WATCH ISSUED YET...BUT BEARS WATCHING IN 12Z RUN. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES EXCEEDINGLY HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...RUNNING NEARLY
250% OF NORMAL THIS HIGH WATER CONTENT CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND
AND DOES NOT REALLY GET MODIFIED TO ANY GREAT EXTENT UNTIL UPPER
SYSTEM FINALLY LIFTS THROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST STATES EARLY NEXT
WEEK. UNTIL THEN, PERIODIC CHANCES FOR CONVECTION...SOME OF WHICH
MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

SETUP FOR SEVERE TODAY IS MAXIMIZED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
WARMFRONT. CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL LIMIT SOLAR INSOLATION
TO FRONTAL AREA OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE WARMER AND THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL WOULD BE EVEN GREATER. SHEAR SEEMS TO BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL LATER TODAY AS WELL.

TEMPERATURES IN TURN A REAL CHALLENGE WITH CLOUDS HANGING TOUGH TO
THE NORTH OF THE FRONT. HAVE FOLLOWED NAM CLOSELY WITH ITS SFC
TEMPERATURE FCST. THUS COULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S NORTH TO THE
LOWER 70S SOUTH.

BY FRIDAY THE FRONT SHOULD RESIDE ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER WAITING
FOR AN UPPER WAVE TO EJECT OUT OF MEAN WESTERN TROF POSITION. THIS
COULD TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION FRIDAY NIGHT. BETTER
CHANCE APPEARS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS UPPER SYSTEM
LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE PLAINS.

LATER PERIODS OF THE FORECAST NOT CHANGED MUCH AS IS IMPOSSIBLE TO
ADD MUCH DETAIL OR FIND REASONS TO MAKE CHANGES IN SUCH AN UNSETTLED
PATTERN.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
451 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-231000-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
451 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN ROAM OVER THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MOST OF THE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 THIS MORNING...BUT THE ENTIRE AREA WILL BE PRONE TO
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF TONIGHT. THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO EXIST WITH THE STORMS...MAINLY IN THE
FORM OF LARGE HAIL. ANOTHER POTENTIAL HAZARD IS HEAVY RAIN.
ALTHOUGH THE GROUND IS NOT PARTICULARLY WET, THUNDERSTORMS
TRAVERSING THE SAME AREA COULD GIVE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME
OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND NIGHTTIME HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT TO REPORT LARGE HAIL.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
335 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSZ054-220915-
LYON-
335 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

THROUGH 415 AM CDT...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 50 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF LYON COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
RADAR INDICATED THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN. SOME
COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
AMERICUS...OLPE...EMPORIA...NEOSHO RAPIDS AND HARTFORD. MOTORISTS
ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 117 AND 140 AND
ALONG INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 143 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
403 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 AM     HAIL             10 SW EMPORIA           38.30N 96.31W
03/22/2007  E1.00 INCH       LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KAYS

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
548 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSZ022>024-026-036-038-039-221130-
GEARY-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-POTTAWATOMIE-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-
548 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

THROUGH 630 AM CDT...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THESE CLUSTER OF
STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. SOME COMMUNITIES
THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
MCFARLAND...PAXICO...DOVER...AUBURN...ST. GEORGE...WAMEGO...MAPLE
HILL...BELVUE...WILLARD...ROSSVILLE...ST. MARYS...SILVER
LAKE...TOPEKA...DELIA...MERIDEN AND GRANTVILLE. MOTORISTS ALONG THE
KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 166 AND 188 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 301 AND
355 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
559 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

KSZ026-039-040-056-221130-
DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-JEFFERSON-SHAWNEE-
559 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007

THROUGH 630 AM CDT...A LINE OF CLUSTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THESE CLUSTER OF STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.
SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE
LECOMPTON...PERRY...RANTOUL...BALDWIN
CITY...WILLIAMSTOWN...LAWRENCE...WELLSVILLE...OSKALOOSA...EUDORA AND
MCLOUTH. MOTORISTS ALONG THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
183 AND 206 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 35
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 179 AND 198 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.