Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 182029
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
327 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

KSC003-139-182037-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-070918T2100Z/
OSAGE-ANDERSON-
327 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ANDERSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE EXITING THESE COUNTIES. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 161 AND 168.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3845 9536 3851 9543 3865 9548 3900 9519
      3898 9517 3897 9510 3899 9506 3897 9504
      3850 9505 3839 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 213DEG 44KT 3857 9526

$$

KSC045-059-182100-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-070918T2100Z/
DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-
327 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT
FOR FRANKLIN AND EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES...

AT 325 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF
PRINCETON...OR ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTH OF OTTAWA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CENTROPOLIS...WELLSVILLE...BALDWIN CITY...PLEASANT GROVE...VINLAND...
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND EUDORA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 173 AND 199.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
SAFETY MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OR A BASEMENT AND
AVOID WINDOWS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3845 9536 3851 9543 3865 9548 3900 9519
      3898 9517 3897 9510 3899 9506 3897 9504
      3850 9505 3839 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 213DEG 44KT 3857 9526

$$

000 
WWUS53 KTOP 182050
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
350 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

KSC045-059-182100-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-070918T2100Z/
DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-
350 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR FRANKLIN AND EASTERN DOUGLAS
COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 173 AND 199.

AT 350 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING ARE EXITING THE AREA...
THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3845 9536 3851 9543 3865 9548 3900 9519
      3898 9517 3897 9510 3899 9506 3897 9504
      3850 9505 3839 9518
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 213DEG 44KT 3881 9506

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
316 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

.DISCUSSION...

MCV MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING WITH EXTENSIVE
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHWEST IOWA. BROAD UPPER TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE ROCKIES WITH
A 500 MB HIGH FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY. NOT MUCH EASTWARD MOVEMENT TO THE CONVECTION THIS MORNING
AND EXPECT CURRENT PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN THROUGH THE MID MORNING
HOURS WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION EAST OF HIGHWAY 77 AS
THE MCV MOVES NORTHEAST. MORNING CONVECTION AND CLOUDS IF THEY
LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS MAY LIKELY AFFECT THE SEVERE
POTENTIAL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IF WE ARE ABLE TO GET
SOME SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON THEN ATMOSPHERE WILL QUICKLY
DESTABILIZE. GOOD FORCING WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
THE ROCKIES TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE 300 MB JET IS SITUATED OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS
BY 00Z WEDNESDAY...IN ADDITION PWS INCREASE TO NEAR 2 INCHES WHICH
WILL INCREASE HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL ACROSS THE AREA. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NOT FORECAST TO MOVE TOO FAR INTO THE CWA BUT WITH
CONVECTION MAY LIKELY PUSH IT FARTHER SOUTH THAN MODELS SUGGEST.
LIKE PRIOR FORECASTER MENTION FRONT MAY NOT MAKE IT PAST I-35 BEFORE
MOVING NORTHWARD AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. HAVE MAINTAINED POPS ON
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70 THEN NORTH OF
I-70 WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

FOR TEMPERATURES TODAY HAVE LOWERED A BIT TO ACCOUNT FOR MORNING
RAIN AND CLOUD DEBRIS.

53

&&

.AVIATION...
BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM
MARYSVILLE TO JUNCTION CITY TO MCPHERSON KANSAS. EASTWARD
PROGRESSION SLOW AS MAJORITY OF MOTION PARALLEL WITH WINDS ALOFT.
ANTICIPATE COLD POOL FROM CONVECTION TO AID IN MORE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION WITH TIME THIS MORNING...AND ACCOUNTED FOR GOOD
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS AT TAF
SITE MHK. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR EXISTS AND ACCOUNTED FOR REMAINDER OF
PRE-SUNRISE HOURS FOR IN ALL TAF SITES. REFER TO SHORT TERM FORECAST
DISCUSSION SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION
AND EXPECTATIONS FOR REMAINDER OF TODAY.

BLAIR

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
507 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-191015-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
507 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS TODAY. THIS AFTERNOON THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH STORMS CONTINUING THROUGH
THE NIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH HAIL AND STRONG WINDS THE MAIN HAZARDS. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO SOME FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1002 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 S ADA                 39.06N 97.89W
09/18/2007  M2.10 INCH       OTTAWA             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RAINFALL MEASURED AT TESCOTT BUT SHERIFF REPORTED WATER
            FROM FIELD RUNOFF OVER SOME ROADS AROUND ADA.

&&

BN

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
234 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

KSZ054>056-058-059-182015-
ANDERSON-COFFEY-FRANKLIN-LYON-OSAGE-
234 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2007

THROUGH 315 PM CDT...A LINE OF CLUSTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF OSAGE...LYON...FRANKLIN...
COFFEY AND ANDERSON COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED THESE CLUSTER OF STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
SOME COMMUNITIES THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE BURLINGTON...JOHN
REDMOND RESERVOIR...NEOSHO RAPIDS...READING...WAVERLY...MELVERN
LAKE...OSAGE CITY...WILLIAMSBURG...LYNDON...QUENEMO...CENTROPOLIS...
PRINCETON...POMONA LAKE...OVERBROOK AND OTTAWA. MOTORISTS ALONG
INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 136 AND 188 COULD ALSO BE
AFFECTED.