Tornado Warning 11, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

000 
WWUS52 KTBW 211553
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1152 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2007

FLC071-211600-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-070721T1600Z/
LEE-
1152 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FOR CENTRAL LEE
COUNTY...

AT 1145 AM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHING DOWN 
NEAR CYPRESS LAKE. 

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM ACT QUICKLY. GO TO A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM 
ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. COVER 
YOUR HEAD WITH PILLOWS OR BLANKETS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OF LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2656 8190 2648 8180 2643 8185 2652 8194
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 317DEG 3KT 2648 8186

$$

22

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
930 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2007

.DISCUSSION... THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING CAME IN WITH CAPE ABOVE 5800
AND LIFTED INDEX -12. WE ARE POISED TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. CURRENTLY MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS SOUTH OF
TAMPA BAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ONSHORE OVER SW FL. FROM TAMPA
BAY NORTH AIR IS TEMPORARILY SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AFTER A ROUND OF
CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. ALL FORECASTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT
INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES AND RESULTING SLIGHTLY COOLER SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT -10 AT 500 MB AND -19
AT 400 MB WE COULD SEE SOME HAIL AND STRONGER DOWNBURSTS
PARTICULARLY OVER INLAND AREAS AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON HOURS AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS NEAR THE COASTLINE.
LATEST MODEL/SOUNDING DATA SUGGESTS A MUCH MORE FAVORABLE
ATMOSPHERIC SETUP FOR SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY OVER
THE AREA. EXPECT PERIODS OF CEILINGS AROUND 1000-2000K FEET...1-3SM
IN HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WITH
THE STRONGEST CELLS. VRF CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN IN THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS TO ALL TAF SITES.

&&

.MARINE...MAINLY WEAK GRADIENT WITH MEANDERING FEATURES IN THE E
GULF TO KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW HIGHLIGHTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

CP/TR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
911 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2007

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-220115-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
911 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION AND COMBINE WITH THE WARM...MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE OVER THE AREA TO CREATE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER COASTAL AREAS
OF THE SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY THIS MORNING AND AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD
INCREASE ELSEWHERE AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AND MOVES
INLAND EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW OF
THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG AND CONTAIN SMALL HAIL THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. IF A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION...MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER... IF YOU CAN HEAR THE THUNDER THEN YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO THE STORM TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

PAXTON