Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 14, 2007Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 14, 2007, 2:47 PM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2007, 2:47 PM EDT (18:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2007, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Polk County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 275 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2387 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Miami, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -30 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2387 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
791 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 14, 1:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 1:07 PM EDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 5:10 AM EDT, 9 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
510 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141500-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
510 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA CONTINUING
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
ONSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING AND BECOME SCATTERED AS THEY MOVE
INLAND DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGHEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL
CONTAIN BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS AND
FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG OVER INLAND AREAS AND CONTAIN SMALL HAIL THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES YOUR
LOCATION...MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THE THUNDER YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ON SUNDAY THE RIDGE AXIS WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA
SETTING UP A RATHER LIGHT WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WHICH WILL
ALLOW THE SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND LEADING TO
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. FOR MONDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY THE RIDGE AXIS WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO NORTH FLORIDA
SETTING UP A MORE TYPICAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORM PATTERN WITH HIGHEST CHANCES CLOSER TO THE COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

PRC

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.