Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Jan 29, 2007, 1:50 PM EST for 5 counties in Florida. It took effect at Jan 30, 2007, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 29, 2007, 1:50 PM EST (18:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 30, 2007, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 30, 2007, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1140 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 80 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 291850 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 150 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR ALL COUNTIES FOR LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICAL HUMIDITIES... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICAL HUMIDITIES... .A VERY DRY AND COLD AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY. THIS DRY AIR WILL INCREASE THE FIRE WEATHER DANGER ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-292300- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0006.070130T1700Z-070130T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0006.070130T1700Z-070130T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 150 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUING THROUGH 6 PM TONIGHT. THE VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. FOUR TO SIX HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ050-292300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070129T2300Z/ PINELLAS- 150 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES ARE CURRENTLY 30-34 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTY...WITH THE RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUING THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE 35 PERCENT ACROSS PINELLAS COUNTY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS82 KTBW 300104 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 804 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICAL HUMIDITIES... .A VERY DRY AND COLD AIRMASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND ALLOWS TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY. THIS DRY AIR WILL INCREASE THE FIRE WEATHER DANGER ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-302300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0006.070130T1700Z-070130T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 804 PM EST MON JAN 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. FOUR TO SIX HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ RJS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jan 29, 9:44 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 9:44 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
944 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007
...WELL ADVERTISED COLD SNAP UNDERWAY THIS MORNING WITH FREEZING
TEMPS AND FROST OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT...
LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WERE REPORTED OVER THE ADVISED AREA THIS
MORNING WITH VALUES CONTINUING TO RISE ATTM. HAVE LET WIND CHILL
ADVISORY EXPIRE. LATEST SURF REPORTS FROM AROUND THE AREA SHOWING
BREAKING WAVES OF 3-4 FT ALONG AREA BEACHES WHICH IS JUST BELOW HI
SURF ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT THE WAVES CAN STILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS AND UNDERTOWS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SO WILL LET HI
SURF ADVY EXPIRE AT 10 AM. WILL UPDATE ZONE TO REFRESH HEADLINES.
UPPER LONGWAVE TROF NOW IN THE ATLANTIC WITH VERY DRY NW FLOW THRU
THE ATMOSPHERE AS 12Z SOUNDING HAVE PWATS DOWN TO A BONE DRY .21
INCHES. SUB TROPICAL JET OVER OLD MEX AND TEX STREAMING UPPER
MOISTURE OVER THE EXTREME W GULF. THIS UPPER MOISTURE TO MOVE OVER
THE DEEP SOUTH BY TUE MORNING BUT ONLY EXPECT VERY THIN CIRRUS
OVER N FL TO HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON OVERNIGHT FREEZING TEMPS.
OTHERWISE CURRENT FCST ON TRACK.
&&
.MARINE...GRADIENT SLIGHTLY WEAKENING BEHIND ARCTIC FRONT THIS
MORNING. LATEST OBS SHOWING WINDS AROUND 15-20KTS WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS OFFSHORE AND 10-15 WITH A FEW HIGH GUSTS OVER TAMPA
BAY. WILL REPLACE SCA WITH SCEC OFFSHORE THRU THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE WINDS SUBSIDE FURTHER AS SEAS ABOUT 6 FT WELL OFFSHORE AS
WELL TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE. WILL DROP SCEC OVER TAMPA BAY WITH
LIGHTENING WINDS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH
DEW POINTS ONLY IN THE 20S MOST AREAS SO EXPECT RHS TO DROP VERY
LOW THIS AFTERNOON SO RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. DRY AIR
TO REMAIN IN PLACE TUESDAY AND EXPECT RED FLAG CONDITIONS AGAIN
EXCEPT ALONG COASTAL AREAS FROM TAMPA BAY S.
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CHARLOTTE-
CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-
CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS- HILLSBOROUGH- LEE- LEVY-
MANATEE-PASCO-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.
HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
CITRUS-HERNANDO-LEVY-PASCO-SUMTER.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR DE SOTO-HARDEE-
HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-PINELLAS-POLK.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 60 NM.
&&
RDHazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 6:00 AM EST, 7 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 600 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048-291600- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 600 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT... MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS COLD DRY AIR WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL INTO THE 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS WHICH WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT COULD INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START OVER THE AREA. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ALLOWING WINDS TO GO CALM AND GOOD TO EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO ENSUE. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 20S ACROSS MOST OF THE NATURE COAST WITH A WIDESPREAD FREEZE EXPECTED. THE ONLY EXCEPTION MAY BE RIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST WHERE READINGS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE COOL DRY AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS PRODUCING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FLZ049>052-055>057-061-291600- PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- DE SOTO- 600 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT... MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS COLD DRY AIR WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL INTO THE 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS WHICH WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT COULD INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START OVER THE AREA. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ALLOWING WINDS TO GO NEARLY CALM AND GOOD TO EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO ENSUE. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S IN THE NORMALLY COLDER INLAND AREAS. OTHERWISE IN AREAS NEAR THE COAST AND NEAR LARGER LAKES...TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE COOL DRY AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS PRODUCING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FLZ060-062-065-291600- CHARLOTTE-LEE-SARASOTA- 600 AM EST MON JAN 29 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS COLD DRY AIR WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL INTO THE 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS WHICH WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT COULD INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START OVER THE AREA. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA FALLING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ALLOWING WINDS TO GO NEARLY CALM AND GOOD TO EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO ENSUE. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S IN THE NORMALLY COLDER INLAND AREAS. OTHERWISE IN AREAS NEAR THE COAST AND NEAR LARGER LAKES...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE COOL DRY AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR SEVERAL HOURS PRODUCING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. PRC
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 4:12 AM EST | Freeze Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Pinellas, Polk, Sumter | 29 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.