Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 59, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Apr 29, 2007, 3:49 PM EDT for 5 counties in Florida. It took effect at Apr 30, 2007, 5:18 AM EDT. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 29, 2007, 3:49 PM EDT (19:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 30, 2007, 5:18 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 30, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1223 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 291949 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 349 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WILL CONTINUE MONDAY... .HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOWER DEW POINTS WHILE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S. FLZ043-052-056-057-061-062-065-300000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0059.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-070430T0000Z/ SUMTER-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 349 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON WHILE DEW POINTS WILL CRASH INTO THE 50S AND PERHAPS THE MID OR UPPER 40S IN SOME AREAS. THIS WILL HELP IN BRINGING EXTENDED PERIODS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR MONDAY...THE HUMIDITY WILL BE BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR MORE THAN FOURS WITH 6 OR MORE HOURS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. MINIMUM READINGS WILL BE IN THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-051-055-060-300000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0039.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-070430T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA- 349 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MID AND UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON WHILE DEW POINTS WILL CRASH INTO THE 50S AND PERHAPS THE MID OR UPPER 40S IN SOME AREAS. THIS WILL HELP IN BRINGING EXTENDED PERIODS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT...ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COAST. CONDITIONS MONDAY WILL BE GENERALLY SIMILAR...BUT PERHAPS WITH MORE LIMITED DURATIONS THAN TODAY DUE TO AN EXPECTED SEAS BREEZE NEAR THE COAST. THEREFORE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 300046 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 846 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY... .HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOWER DEW POINTS WHILE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 INLAND. FLZ043-052-056-057-061-062-065-301130- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0059.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ SUMTER-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 846 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 MONDAY AFTERNOON WHILE DEW POINTS WILL CRASH INTO THE 50S AND PERHAPS THE MID OR UPPER 40S IN SOME AREAS. THIS WILL PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS WITH 6 OR MORE HOURS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. MINIMUM READINGS WILL BE IN THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-051-055-060-301130- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0039.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA- 846 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S ALONG WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 50S WILL PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. HOWEVER...DURATIONS MAY BE LIMITED DUE TO AN EXPECTED SEAS BREEZE ALONG THE COAST. THEREFORE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 300918 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 518 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007 ...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TUESDAY... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE VERY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 90 DEGREES...RESULTING IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT. FLZ039-042-048-049-051-055-060-010030- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0039.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0040.070501T1700Z-070502T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTBW.FW.W.0059.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA- 518 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. FOR TODAY...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON WHILE DEW POINTS FALL INTO THE LOWER 50S. THIS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT MAINLY EAST OF I-75 WHERE THERE IS LESS OF AN INFLUENCE FROM THE WIND OFF THE GULF. ON TUESDAY...DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD... BUT AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES MAY BE STRONGER AND COULD LIMIT DURATIONS OF CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ043-052-056-057-061-062-065-010030- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0040.070501T1700Z-070502T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0059.070430T1700Z-070501T0000Z/ SUMTER-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 518 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. FOR TODAY...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 90 THIS AFTERNOON WHILE DEW POINTS DROP TO NEAR 50 DEGREES. THIS WILL PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR MORE THAN 4 HOURS WITH 6 OR MORE HOURS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS. MINIMUM READINGS WILL BE IN THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE. FOR TUESDAY...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AND LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 010001 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 801 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007 ...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE VERY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 90 DEGREES...RESULTING IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-011130- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-070501T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0040.070501T1700Z-070502T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 801 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. ON TUESDAY...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AND LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 29, 1:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 1:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY - RUSKIN FL
145 PM EDT SUN APR 29 2007
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - TUESDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST OF FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT WITH A
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS WILL ALLOW
EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW TO DEVELOP WITH GRADUAL RECOVERY OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR TO A COUPLE DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMATIC NORMALS.
&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT - SUNDAY)...AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED
SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA
WITH A WEAK ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. A REINFORCING RIDGE PUSHES SOUTH
FRIDAY PROVIDING A NORTHEAST FLOW THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AS FLOW BECOMES MORE EASTERLY. TEMPS SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORM THRU THE PERIOD.
.AVIATION...HIGH PRES WILL RESULT AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR
CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
&&
.MARINE...NO HAZARDS EXPECTED WITH WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS
3 FEET OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA WITH RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT PINELLAS
COUNTY. MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AS SLIGHT RECOVERY IN
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL OCCUR...WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AROUND 35 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 67 86 67 87 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 65 89 66 88 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 64 88 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 67 87 66 87 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 56 88 56 88 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 72 86 72 87 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING FOR
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-
HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-POLK-SARASOTA-
SUMTER.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM/MARINE....EO
LONG TERM/AVIATION...CPHazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 5:09 AM EDT, 10 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 509 AM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-292115- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 509 AM EDT SUN APR 29 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE..TODAY AND TONIGHT. ..FIRE WEATHER IMPACT..A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA TODAY BRINGING FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR EVERY COUNTY EXCEPT PINELLAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. 22
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 4:32 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Polk, Sumter | 15 hr |
| Apr 29, 3:49 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | TBW | 13 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.