Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 5, 2007, 2:20 PM EST for 6 counties in Florida. It took effect at Mar 6, 2007, 3:28 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 5, 2007, 2:20 PM EST (19:20 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 6, 2007, 3:28 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 6, 2007, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2243 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -118 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -35 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 051920 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AGAIN ON TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-060000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0018.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0025.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070306T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THE DRY AIRMASS HAS RESULTED IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT...WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. THE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL BACK BELOW 35 PERCENT AGAIN BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND PERSIST INTO EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ050-060000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070306T0000Z/ PINELLAS- 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THE DRY AIRMASS HAS RESULTED IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT...WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. THE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 060101 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 801 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL BUT PINELLAS COUNTY... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-070000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0025.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 801 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 060828 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 328 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TUESDAY. FLZ050-070000- /O.EXA.KTBW.FW.W.0025.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ PINELLAS- 328 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-070000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0025.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 328 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 061901 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 201 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LEVY COUNTY... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE RESULTING IN RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY EARLY EVENING. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THERE WILL BE A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE BUT STILL SOME PERIODS OF RH BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. FLZ039-070715- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0019.070307T1600Z-070308T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070307T0000Z/ LEVY- 201 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. DRY HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. EXTENDED PERIODS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 PM EST TONIGHT...INCREASING THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SAME CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER LEVY COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR WHICH A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-070000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-070307T0000Z/ CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 201 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 5, 10:05 AM EST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 10:05 AM EST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1005 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
.UPDATE...VERY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WITH COOL HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. NARROW BAND OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO THIS AFTERNOON WITH MID LEVEL TROF
AXIS/UPPER JET PUSHING SOUTHEAST. REST OF TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY
AND PLEASANT WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS...TO NEAR 70/LOWER 70S IN THE SOUTH. CURRENT
FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO CHANGES ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ENTIRE AREA TODAY STILL ON
TRACK. VERY DRY MORNING SOUNDING AT TBW AND RH VALUES ARE FALLING
QUICKLY THIS MORNING.
&&
.MARINE...AVAILABLE 12Z MODELS STILL SHOWING GRADUAL DECREASE IN
WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...LATEST ADAS ANALYSIS AND PGRAD ON
SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE PGRAD REMAINS FAIRLY TIGHT OVER THE GULF
SO WILL WILL KEEP A CAUTION HEADLINE UP FOR THE OUTER GULF WATERS
INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-
HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-
SARASOTA-SUMTER.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-
HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
FOR BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON
SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
&&
GLITTOHazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 4:29 AM EST, 9 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 429 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-051530- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 429 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION WILL CONTINUE ON GULF WATERS 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET WILL DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. LOW HUMIDITIES WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED FIRE RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TUESDAY WILL HAVE LOW HUMIDITIES WITH INCREASED FIRE RISK IN THE AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH COVERS ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS. SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WHILE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 4:27 AM EST | Fire Weather Watch | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Polk, Sumter | 10 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.