Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 24, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 4, 2007, 3:02 PM EST for 6 counties in Florida. It took effect at Mar 5, 2007, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 4, 2007, 3:02 PM EST (20:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 5, 2007, 11:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 5, 2007, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1595 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 042002 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TODAY FOR ALL COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...EXCEPT LEE COUNTY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING MONDAY. FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-050000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTBW.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-070305T0000Z/ PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY AND IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AWAY FROM THE COAST. NEAR THE COAST...DURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1 AND 3 HOURS...BUT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 15 MPH. LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ON MONDAY. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-050000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-070305T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY...WITH LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ065-052015- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ LEE- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ PRC
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 050152 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 852 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MONDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-060000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 852 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT STARTING LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY EVENING. DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL APPROACH 8 HOURS IN MANY AREAS AND THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ PRC
000 WWUS82 KTBW 050927 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 427 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-060000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0018.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 427 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT STARTING LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY EVENING. DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL APPROACH 8 HOURS IN MANY AREAS AND THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THE SAME WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN ON MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ050-060000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ PINELLAS- 427 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 35 PERCENT STARTING LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL BE GREATER THAN 4 HOURS IN MANY AREAS AND THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 051920 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AGAIN ON TUESDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-055>057-060>062-065-060000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0018.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0025.070306T1600Z-070307T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070306T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE- HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THE DRY AIRMASS HAS RESULTED IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT...WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. THE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL BACK BELOW 35 PERCENT AGAIN BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND PERSIST INTO EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ050-060000- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-070306T0000Z/ PINELLAS- 220 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. COOL DRY HIGH PRESSURE HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. THE DRY AIRMASS HAS RESULTED IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT...WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING. THE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 4, 1:55 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 1:55 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
155 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007
.SHORT TERM....(TONIGHT-TUESDAY)..HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES PUSHING
INTO THE AREA TONIGHT WITH NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN FAR
NORTHERN COUNTIES. NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR
SKIES. AS WITH PREVIOUS PACKAGE WILL MENTION PATCHY FROST LEVY
COUNTY TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES MONDAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND TEMPS
IN THE 60S AND 70S. MONDAY NIGHT TEMPS WILL ALSO BE COOL WITH
WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
TEMPERATURES MODERATE WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TUESDAY AS THE
CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY)...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER NORTH OF THE STATE WILL MIGRATE INTO THE ATLANTIC BY TUESDAY
EVENING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING WINDS SWITCHING TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
U.S. AND THE GULF ON WEDNESDAY KEEPING THE AREA UNDER BENIGN WEATHER
CONDITIONS.
ON THURSDAY THE RIDGE FLATTENS AND MIGRATES FURTHER EAST WHILE AN
AMPLIFYING TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES. AT THE
SURFACE...MODEL DATA SUGGESTS A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES
APPROACHING THE STATE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST...AND BRINGING
ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON FRIDAY TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL WESTERN FLORIDA. SINCE CONFIDENCE IS STILL
LOW ON THIS SCENARIO WILL ONLY INCLUDE 20 POPS FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR NOW. GFS IS POISED IN BRINGING ANOTHER COLD
FRONT ON SUNDAY EVENING...CROSSING THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING. WILL
ALSO KEEP 20 POPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND WAIT FOR MORE PERSISTENCE
FROM GFS/DGEX BEFORE INCORPORATING ADDITIONAL CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.
E/SE FLOW ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL HELP IN KEEPING TEMPS
AROUND NORMALS. THEN INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A WARMER AIR
MASS OVER THE STATE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMALS FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE TAF SITES
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF OVC AROUND 6000-8000 FEET
WILL CONTINUE AT FMY AND RSW BUT SHOULD BEGIN CLEARING OUT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE FURTHER
SOUTH AND AWAY FROM THE AREA.
&&
.MARINE...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE NORTH NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS 20-60 NM OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEAS
BUILDING TO 4-6 FT. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN NEARSHORE WATERS TONIGHT
WITH ADDED SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION OVER ALL GULF ZONES.
AFTER MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL LIGHTEN THE WINDS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN
COUNTIES. RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL COUNTIES MONDAY WITH AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES 20-25%. TUESDAY MAY NEED A WATCH AND CONDITIONS IMPROVE
A BIT ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 44 63 45 70 / 5 5 5 5
FMY 48 69 46 76 / 5 5 5 5
GIF 44 65 45 73 / 5 5 5 5
SRQ 47 62 44 70 / 5 5 5 5
BKV 37 63 36 72 / 5 5 5 5
SPG 51 63 52 70 / 5 5 5 5
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-
LEVY-SUMTER.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-
CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.
GULF WATERS...
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO
SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING FOR BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO
SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM.
&&
SHORT TERM...CP
LONG TERM/AVIATION...TRHazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 3:13 AM EST, 11 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 313 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060-061-041545- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO- 313 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WAS FOUND ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS BEING PUSHED UP AND OVER THIS FRONT AND CREATED A NARROW BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS BAND OF SHOWERS WILL PUSH SOUTH OF VENICE BY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SUNSHINE BEGINNING TO BREAK THROUGH THE CLOUDS. HOWEVER...THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED FIRE RISK DUE TO LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE BROOKSVILLE...CYRSTAL RIVER...THE VILLAGES...AND BRONSON AREAS. IN ADDITION...INCREASING NORTH WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BUILD SEAS TO 3 TO 5 FEET 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE SO A SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN ISSUED. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATER THROUGH THE NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE ENTIRE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE LOW HUMIDITIES AND AN INCREASED FIRE RISK MONDAY AFTERNOON. MARINERS ARE URGED TO CHECK LOCAL FORECASTS BEFORE HEADING OUT MONDAY DUE TO NORTH WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL IMPROVE MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND. A SMALL DISTURBANCE IN THE WEST TO EAST FLOW ALOFT WILL CREATE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FLZ062-065-041545- CHARLOTTE-LEE- 313 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WAS FOUND ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS BEING PUSHED UP AND OVER THIS FRONT AND CREATED A NARROW BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS BAND OF SHOWERS WILL PUSH INTO THE FORT MYERS AREA THIS MORNING BUT WILL FALL APART BY NOON WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORE SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...INCREASING NORTH WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BUILD SEAS TO 3 TO 5 FEET 20 TO 60 MILES OFFSHORE SO A SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION HAS BEEN ISSUED. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATER THROUGH THE NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE ENTIRE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE LOW HUMIDITIES AND AN INCREASED FIRE RISK MONDAY AFTERNOON. MARINERS ARE URGED TO CHECK LOCAL FORECASTS BEFORE HEADING OUT MONDAY DUE TO NORTH WINDS UP TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL IMPROVE MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND. A SMALL DISTURBANCE IN THE WEST TO EAST FLOW ALOFT WILL CREATE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NOAH
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.