Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 23, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 3, 2007, 2:05 PM EST for 6 counties in Florida. It took effect at Mar 4, 2007, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 3, 2007, 2:05 PM EST (19:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 4, 2007, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 4, 2007, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 630 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 031905 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 205 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEVY... CITRUS...SUMTER...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAYTIME MONDAY. FLZ039-042-043-048-050000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0023.070304T1700Z-070305T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 205 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY...WITH LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-065-050000- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 205 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURING THE DAYTIME MONDAY. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS82 KTBW 042002 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TODAY FOR ALL COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...EXCEPT LEE COUNTY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING MONDAY. FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-050000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTBW.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-070305T0000Z/ PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY AND IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MONDAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AWAY FROM THE COAST. NEAR THE COAST...DURATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 1 AND 3 HOURS...BUT SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 15 MPH. LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ON MONDAY. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-050000- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-070305T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN 4 OR MORE HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY...WITH LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ065-052015- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0017.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0024.070305T1600Z-070306T0000Z/ LEE- 302 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH THROUGH MONDAY. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING. THESE LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT MAY START WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ PRC
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 3, 8:30 AM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 8:30 AM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 830 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 .DISCUSSION...FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS BASICALLY STATIONARY OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA KEEPING THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA UNDER NORTH AND NORTHEASTERLY FLOW...AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE DEW POINTS REMAIN AROUND 10 TO 12 DEGREES HIGHER. SOME EARLY MORNING FOG BROUGHT BRIEF PERIODS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES OVER FORT MYERS AND VICINITY. LARGER DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA PREVENTED ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG FORMATION. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD SLOWLY MIGRATE FURTHER SOUTH AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA BY MONDAY WHEN STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH IS EXPECTED. AT 810 AM EST THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS INDICATING LIGHT RAINSHOWERS MOVING OVER THE NATURE COAST WHILE A COUPLE OF ISOLATED STRONGER CELLS WHERE AFFECTING SARASOTA...MANATEE AND HARDEE COUNTY. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AS OVERRRUNING CONTINUES. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD SLOWLY MIGRATE FURTHER SOUTH AND MOVING AWAY FORM THE AREA BY MONDAY WHEN STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTH IS EXPECTED. EXPECT A GENERALLY CLOUDY DAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REMAINING IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S...AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 50S. && .AVIATION...LOW CIGS OVER OUR NORTHERN TAF SITES WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TODAY AS DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. FOR THE REST OF THIS MORNING...THESE TERMINALS CAN EXPECT MVFR CIGS WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER SOUTH NEAR RSW/FMY...THIS PROCESS WILL TAKE A WHILE LONGER AS THE WIND SHIFT AND BEGINNING OF DRIER AIR STILL NORTH OF KPGD. AS SUCH...EXPECTING THE FOG AND LOW CIGS TO PERSIST A WHILE LONGER THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF IMPROVEMENT WITH DAYTIME HEATING. THEN SIMILAR TO THE NORTHERN SITES...LOWER CIGS SHOULD RETURN AFTER THE BOUNDARY PASSES THROUGH. && .MARINE...OTHER THAN SOME ISOLATED SEA FOG PATCHES THIS MORNING...THERE ARE NO CONCERNS OVER THE MARINE ZONES AS WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW HIGHLIGHT CRITERIA TODAY. THEN ON SUNDAY BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR REACH SCEC CRITERIA BY SUNDAY EVENING. && .FIRE WEATHER...NEXT DAY POTENTIAL FOR WIDE SPREAD FIRE WEATHER HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON WHEN CRASHING DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME OF RH VALUES WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SLOWLY BEGIN RECOVERING BY TUESDAY EVENING AS SURFACE WINDS VEER TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && DISCUSSION...AR AVIATION...NP
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 3, 4:17 AM EST, 9 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 417 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060-061-031530- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO- 417 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PATCHY DENSE FOG MAINLY ON THE COASTAL WATERS FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTH WILL PERSIST UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING WILL PRODUCE BRIEFLY LOWER VISIBILITIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FLZ062-065-031530- CHARLOTTE-LEE- 417 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PATCHY FOG MAINLY ON THE COASTAL WATERS WILL PERSIST UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH THE EVENING WILL PRODUCE BRIEFLY LOWER VISIBILITIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2:05 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Pinellas, Polk, Sumter | 25 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.