Red Flag Warning 42, NWS Tallahassee, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 241914
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
314 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...FOR LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...FOR ALL THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND PANHANDLE COUNTIES...EXCEPT FOR THEIR IMMEDIATE COASTS
AND FOR ALL OF FRANKLIN COUNTY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EVENING FOR THESE SAME CONDITIONS AND AREAS...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE FROM THE 
ATLANTIC WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH THE 
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A LOW LEVEL 
EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER...DRY AIR ALOFT WILL 
MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE EACH AFTERNOON AND COMBINED WITH 
WARMER TEMPERATURES COULD CREATE CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES ACROSS MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA EACH AFTERNOON.

FLZ007-009>014-016>019-026>029-034-250000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0042.000000T0000Z-070325T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0040.070325T1800Z-070326T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-GADSDEN-
LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
314 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2007 /214 PM CDT SAT MAR 24 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS 
IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

12-WATSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
150 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2007

.SYNOPSIS...AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES WEST FROM THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL STATES. WINDS ARE LIGHT OR
CALM AND SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS ONLY A FEW CIRRUS APPROACHING THE
LOCAL AREA FROM THE WEST. WE EXPECT FOG TO DEVELOP TOWARD DAYBREAK
BUT SHOULD NOT BE DENSE OF WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY CONCERNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST EJECTS RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY WHILE WEAKENING. A NEW LOW CLOSES OFF NEAR BAJA LATE TONIGHT
AND SLIDES EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO SUNDAY AND THEN OPENS UP AS
IT MOVES INTO TEXAS. THE RESULT MAINTAINS A DEEP TROUGH OUT WEST
WITH AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE RIDGE BEGINS TO DEAMPLIFY MONDAY AS THE SHORT
WAVE APPROACHES. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE EAST TODAY WITH A RE-ENFORCING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
FROM THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL SEND A BACKDOOR
FRONT INTO THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY. SHOULD SEE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BOUNDARY BUT WILL REMOVE THE SLIGHT POPS.
TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MAX READINGS IN
THE MID 80S TODAY AND POSSIBLY A FEW UPPER 80S SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER
INTERIOR PORTIONS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS ON MONDAY AS THE BACKDOOR
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THE ENERGY AND MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH TEXAS
IS FORECAST TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO
VALLEYS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS DEEP LAYER RIDGING REMAINS
IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEAST. THE DEEP RIDGING BEGINS TO RETREAT TO
OUR EAST LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE FRONT
MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT THE PRESENT TIME...
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT SHOULD STAY
WEST OF OUR CWA THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE
CLIMO THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND
SEAS INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATE MONDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AS THE
GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION...PERSISTENCE SEEMS TO BE A GOOD STARTING POINT. BRIEF
PERIOD OF MVFR VSBY POSSIBLE 09-13Z FOR DHN, ABY, TLH AND ESPECIALLY
VLD. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR CIRRUS CLOUDS TO LINGER UNTIL PAST
SUNRISE...THEN A SC DECK DEVELOPING DURING THE MID MORNING WITH
BASES RISING TO AROUND 6-7 KFT BY LATE AFTERNOON AND LASTING UNTIL
AROUND 00Z. A SEA BREEZE WILL KICK IN ONCE AGAIN AT PFN AROUND
18-19Z AND LAST FOR A FEW HOURS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG
WARNING TODAY. THIS MEANS ALL OF OUR FLORIDA ZONES WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF FRANKLIN COUNTY AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE REMAINING FLORIDA
COASTAL COUNTIES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME
AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  85 52 86 56 84/ 0 0 0 0 10
PANAMA CITY  80 60 84 61 82/ 0 0 0 0 10
DOTHAN       84 56 86 59 82/ 0 0 0 0 10
ALBANY       85 55 87 58 83/ 0 0 0 0 10
VALDOSTA     85 54 86 57 83/ 0 0 0 0 10
CROSS CITY   85 52 86 57 83/ 0 0 0 0 10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING
     FOR ALL BUT FRANKLIN AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE REMAINING
     FLORIDA COASTAL ZONES.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR ALL BUT FRANKLIN AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE REMAINING
     FLORIDA COASTAL ZONES.

&&

AVIATION/FIRE WX...BLOCK
REST OF DISCUSSION...BARRY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
518 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2007

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ750-755-770-775-240930-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
518 AM EDT FRI MAR 23 2007 /418 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007/

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE.

PLEASE NOTE THAT ALTHOUGH THE RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BEACHES IS AT THE HIGH END OF THE MODERATE RISK...SIMILAR
CONDITIONS YESTERDAY RESULTED IN TWO RIP CURRENT RELATED FATALITIES
IN WALTON COUNTY. FIFTY RIP CURRENTS AND TWO RESCUES WERE NOTED AT
PANAMA CITY BEACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OVER THE WEEKEND PROVIDING
LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FAVOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES SHOULD ANY
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND SECTIONS. EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORKWEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONT APPROACH FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE.

BLOCK