Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 33, NWS Tallahassee, FL

March 6, 200713 counties in Florida; 14 counties in Georgia

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 6, 2007, 2:30 PM CST for 13 counties in Florida; 14 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Mar 7, 2007, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2007, 2:30 PM CST (20:30 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 7, 2007, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 7, 2007, 6:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 27 counties

Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Lee County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-03-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-03-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -92 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2783 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 062030
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
330 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM EST (7 PM CST) 
THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND 
DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM EST THIS EVENING 
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (12 PM CST)
UNTIL 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG 
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CURRENTLY SITUATED 
OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY
PROVIDING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE 
ENOUGH TO BRING AN END TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA AND ACROSS A 
FEW COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...BUT REMAINING AREAS WILL LIKELY 
BE DRY ENOUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS TO MEET RED FLAG 
CRITERIA.   

FLZ007-009>011-013-070100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0030.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
230 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ016>019-026>029-070100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0030.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
330 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ034-070100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0030.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
DIXIE-
330 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ012-014-070100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
BAY-GULF-
230 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-062300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070306T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
330 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ015-070100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
FRANKLIN-
330 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

BARRY
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 062311
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
611 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM EST (7 PM
CST) THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (12 PM CST)
UNTIL 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CURRENTLY
SITUATED OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO THE
ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY PROVIDING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL
INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ENOUGH TO BRING AN END TO RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA AND ACROSS A FEW COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH
FLORIDA...BUT REMAINING AREAS WILL LIKELY BE DRY ENOUGH WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA.

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-070015-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070306T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
611 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

FLZ007-009>011-013-070715-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
511 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ016>019-026>029-070715-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
611 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ034-070715-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
DIXIE-
611 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ012-014-070100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
BAY-GULF-
511 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ015-070100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
FRANKLIN-
611 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

SHAFER/CAMP
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 070109
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
809 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (12 PM CST)
UNTIL 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) WEDNESDAY FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT IS CURRENTLY
SITUATED OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO THE
ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY PROVIDING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW. THIS WILL
INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ENOUGH TO BRING AN END TO RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA AND ACROSS A FEW COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH
FLORIDA...BUT REMAINING AREAS WILL LIKELY BE DRY ENOUGH WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-071230-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
809 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 /709 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR TODAY. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6
PM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ034-071230-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
DIXIE-
809 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR TODAY. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ012-014-015-070215-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070307T0100Z/
BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-
809 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 /709 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

$$

SHAFER/CAMP
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 070931
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
431 AM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (12 PM CST) UNTIL 7
PM EST (6 PM CST) THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE 
TO SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC PROVIDING MAINLY LIGHT WINDS AND DRY 
CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
OVER THE INLAND FLORIDA COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY. 

FLZ034-071045-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
DIXIE-
431 AM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BRIEFLY DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT...BUT DO
NOT EXPECT DURATIONS TO BE LONG ENOUGH TO WARRANT A RED FLAG
WARNING.

$$

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-072115-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.070307T1800Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
431 AM EST WED MAR 7 2007 /331 AM CST WED MAR 7 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON
FROM 1 PM EST (12 PM CST) THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...WHICH IS WHY A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GIBBS
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 071837
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
137 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) THIS
EVENING FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE
TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (NOON CST) THURSDAY
THROUGH 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE AIRMASS HAS REMAINED DRIER THAN EXPECTED OVER
OUR GEORGIA ZONES NECESSITATING A SHORT TERM RED FLAG WARNING FOR
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD RESULTING
IN LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. BY FRIDAY...LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THEREBY ENDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-080000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0031.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0034.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
137 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007 /1237 PM CST WED MAR 7 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 
PERCENT...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>126-142>145-155>157-080000-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-EARLY-MILLER-
BAKER-MITCHELL-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-
137 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO 
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MANNING
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 072016
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
316 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
FOR DIXIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST (6 PM CST)
THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG
BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
FOR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (NOON CST)
THURSDAY THROUGH 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...LOOKS LIKE DIXIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA WILL VERIFY... 
SO WENT AHEAD WITH A SHORT TERM RED FLAG WARNING. THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD
RESULTING IN LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. BY
FRIDAY...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THEREBY ENDING ANY FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FLZ034-080000-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
DIXIE-
316 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO 
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-080000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
316 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007 /216 PM CST WED MAR 7 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS 
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>126-142>145-155>157-080000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-EARLY-MILLER-
BAKER-MITCHELL-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-
316 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 
PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MANNING
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 080017
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
717 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST (NOON CST)
THROUGH 7 PM EST (6 PM CST) THURSDAY FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD RESULTING IN LIGHT WINDS AND DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY...LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM...THEREBY ENDING ANY RED FLAG CONCERNS THROUGH 
THE WEEKEND.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-081230-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0034.070308T1800Z-070309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
717 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007 /617 PM CST WED MAR 7 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ 
UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ034-GAZ120>126-142>145-155>157-080130-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070308T0000Z/
DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-
717 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...


$$

JAMSKI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 6, 1:05 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 1:05 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
205 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
19Z WATER VAPOR AND H4 RUC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A GENERAL EAST
COAST TROUGH / WEST COAST RIDGE CONFIGURATION. THE WEST COAST RIDGE
IS NOT AS DEFINED AS WAS SEEN YESTERDAY WITH SEVERAL WEAK PIECES OF
ENERGY RIDING THE SUBTROPICAL JET UP INTO THE SOUTHWEST PART OF
THE U.S. THE MAIN AXIS OF THE EASTERN TROUGH IS NOW SWINGING OUT
INTO THE ATLANTIC ANCHORED TO THE POLAR VORTEX SITTING OVER NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR IN NORTH-AMERICA IS NOW LOCATED
OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS VORTEX.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OVERHEAD ALONG
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST. THIS RIDGE IS SLOWLY
MERGING WITH A STRONGER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY. SUNSHINE HAS BEEN ABUNDANT TODAY WITH JUST A FEW HIGH
CIRRUS STREAMING NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES HAVE REBOUNDED
NICELY INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. HAVE BEGUN TO SEE THE
EXPECTED FORMATION OF A WEAK SEA-BREEZE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND
THIS SHOULD KEEP TEMPS IN CHECK ALONG THE COAST FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER MOST INLAND LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE TEMPS BETWEEN 72
AND 75 BY TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COMPLETES IT MERGER WITH ANOTHER RIDGE TO OUR
NORTH DURING THE EVENING HOURS...THEN SLIDES OVERHEAD DURING THE
NIGHT. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING EVENT...HOWEVER
NOT EXPECTING TEMPS QUITE AS COOL AS THE PAST TWO NIGHT. GENERALLY
SHOULD BE LOOKING AT UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WITH NORMALLY COOLER
LOCATIONS REACHING THE MIDDLE 30S TOWARD SUNRISE.

ANOTHER PLEASANT EARLY MARCH DAY IN STORE FOR WEDNESDAY WITH A MIX
OF SUN AND HIGH CLOUDS AND AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S REGION-WIDE. IF THE HIGH CLOUDS ARE THIN
ENOUGH...WOULD EXPECT TO SEE TEMPS EVEN A DEGREE TO TWO WARMER THAN
THIS AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN WILL LIKELY SEE A WEAK SEA BREEZE ALONG
THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON TO DROP TEMPS BACK INTO THE 60S.

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES IN CONTROL FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
STILL LOOKING AT ONLY PERIODS OF GENERALLY HIGH CLOUDS AS A SERIES
OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES SLIDE EAST TOWARD THE AREA. THE
STRONGEST IMPULSE ADVERTISED BY BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF SHOULD ENTER OUR
WESTERN AREAS THURSDAY EVENING AND CROSS OVERHEAD THURSDAY NIGHT. AT
THIS TIME THE LOW LEVELS LOOK TO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY ORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND LEFT POPS AT SILENT 10S...HOWEVER A SPRINKLE OR TWO IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MAIN IMPACT SHOULD JUST BE SOME MID/HIGH
CLOUDS THAT WILL HELP KEEP THE OVERNIGHT TEMPS UP A BIT. A WEAK COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A CLIPPER SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH WAS ORIGINALLY
THOUGH TO POSSIBLE COME THROUGH THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS FRONT REALLY WILL NOT
HAVE ENOUGH PUSH TO GET INTO OUR AREA AND SHOULD BASICALLY WASH OUT
TO OUR NORTH WITH LITTLE IMPACT TO SPEAK OF.

A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD DOWN THE EAST
COAST DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS THE
FLOW SHOULD BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE EAST. MODELS ARE TRYING
TO DEVELOP SOME PRECIP ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WITH THE
INTERACTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND THE ATLANTIC
MOISTURE. HAVE LEFT THE IDEA OF A SHOWER OR SPRINKLE LATE
FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT AS A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS TRY TO MIGRATE WEST IN
THE FLOW INTO THE EASTERN PORTION OF OUR CWA. AT THIS POINT...THIS
IS ONLY A VERY SLIGHT RISK AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A FAIRLY DRY
FRIDAY-SATURDAY PERIOD IS STILL THERE.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
LATEST GFS/ECMWF MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO BACK OFF ON THE PRECIP
CHANCES ACROSS OUR AREA FOR THE EARLY WEEKEND. THERE ARE AS
ALWAYS A FEW COMPLICATIONS TO THIS FORECAST. THE SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY PERIOD CONTINUE TO SHOW A RIDGE NOSING BACK OVER OUR REGION
FROM THE EASTERN ATLANTIC. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SOME
MAJOR DIFFERENCES REMAIN WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS PIECE OF ENERGY.
THE MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGS A MORE SHARP PIECE OF ENERGY INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SUNDAY EVENING WITH A SURFACE LOW
EJECTING OUT FROM TEXAS TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SURFACE
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW EXTENDS SOUTH TO THE MID GULF
COAST AND SLIDES EAST INTO OUR REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
GFS CLOSES OFF THE ENERGY AND STALLS IT ACROSS TEXAS. THIS KEEPS
THE SURFACE LOW WELL TO OUR WEST AND RESULTS IN A DRIER FORECAST.
THE ECMWF HAS CERTAINLY HAD MORE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AS OPPOSED
TO THE GFS AND WOULD HEDGE TOWARD THE MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION AT
THIS TIME. CURRENT GRIDS CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY AND
CHANCE POPS FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. BASED ON WHAT WAS SAID
ABOVE...THIS LOOKS LIKE THE WAY TO GO AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY MAJOR
CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. WENT WITH TEMPO GROUPS FOR MVFR VSBY
JUST PRIOR AND THROUGH SUNRISE AT TLH...ABY AND VLD. WINDS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL SWING AROUND TO BECOME SOUTHEAST BUT STAY UNDER 10
KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR OR OVER THE COASTAL WATERS INTO
THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW
CAUTION LEVELS. NORTHEAST FLOW BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE INTO TONIGHT. THE FLOW SHOULD
REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST OR EAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORKWEEK...ALTHOUGH WOULD EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME ONSHORE NEAR THE
COAST EACH AFTERNOON WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK SEA-BREEZES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY AIRMASS AND WARM TEMPERATURES ARE RESULTING RED FLAG CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL GA AND ALL OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. SEA-BREEZE IS
STARTING TO FORM ALONG THE COAST...BUT BELIEVE THAT NEAR FOUR HOUR
DURATIONS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AT MANY LOCATIONS. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INCREASES JUST A BIT FOR WED/THUR...AND SHOULD KEEP OUR GA
COUNTIES FROM REACHING CRITICAL RH VALUES. ACROSS FLORIDA WILL BE
UPGRADING THE FIRE WX WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF OUR
ZONES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BAY...GULF...AND FRANKLIN. THE COASTAL
PANHANDLE COUNTIES ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE AN AFTERNOON SEABREEZE
THAT WILL FURTHER INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...HOWEVER INLAND
PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES MAY STILL SEE AROUND 3 HOURS OF RH VALUES
AT OR BELOW 35 PERCENT. ANOTHER CHANCE OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL
EXIST FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF OUR FLORIDA ZONES AWAY
FROM THE COAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  35  75  41  76  45 /   0   0  05  10  10
PANAMA CITY  42  71  47  73  50 /   0   0  05  10  10
DOTHAN       39  75  43  75  44 /   0   0  05  10  10
ALBANY       38  75  42  75  44 /   0   0  05  10  10
VALDOSTA     38  76  43  76  45 /   0   0  05  10  10
CROSS CITY   37  77  41  76  46 /   0   0  05  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING      ZONES: BAKER...BEN
HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...
CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...
GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...
MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...
THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...WORTH.

FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...
     GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
     JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM
     CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...DIXIE...
     GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...
     LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...
     WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...GADSDEN...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

.AVIATION/FIREWX...BARRY
.PUBLIC/MARINE...MROCZKA
.LONG TERM...WOOL/MROCZKA
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 4:35 AM CST, 9 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
535 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ750-755-770-775-071100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
535 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007 /435 AM CST TUE MAR 6 2007/

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER AREAS IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
WILL SEE A FEW HOURS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING. THE
DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF
ANY WILDFIRES THAT MAY DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AS THE NEXT FRONTAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES OVER THE WEEKEND. LOW RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN
TO THE FORECAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE.

18-WOOL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 2:30 PM CSTFire Weather WatchTAECalhoun, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson, Lafayette and 6 more22 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.