Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 151702
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1202 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR TODAY FOR THE INLAND
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...ABUNDANT MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS STREAMING OVER THE
REGION PREVENTING TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING INTO THE MID AND UPPER
40S. AS A RESULT...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT REACH
CRITICAL VALUES TODAY. HOWEVER...CRITICAL DURATIONS WILL LIKELY
BE MET ON FRIDAY OVER AREAS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND USHERS IN AN EVEN DRIER AIR MASS.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026-029-161200-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070215T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1600Z-070217T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-LAFAYETTE-
1202 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007 /1102 AM CST THU FEB 15 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FRIDAY IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ012-014-015-027-028-034-161200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1600Z-070217T0100Z/
BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-DIXIE-
1202 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007 /1102 AM CST THU FEB 15 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ FRIDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-161200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1700Z-070217T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
1202 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY DUE
TO LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

38-GODSEY

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 152001
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
301 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 
8 PM EST /7 PM EST/ FRIDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST UNTIL 7 PM EST 
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL
OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR 
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY IN 
THE WAKE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. THIS DRY AIRMASS WILL HELP TO CREATE RED 
FLAG CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR ON FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-161245-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1600Z-070218T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1600Z-070217T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
301 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007 /201 PM CST THU FEB 15 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE
15 MPH...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO
8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-161245-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1700Z-070217T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1700Z-070217T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
301 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

38-GODSEY

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 160927
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
427 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 8 PM EST /7 PM EST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST UNTIL 7 PM
EST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE
TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE SHORT
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH
FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY.
THIS DRY AIRMASS WILL HELP TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY
AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON SATURDAY. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
ALSO OCCUR TODAY...WITH EVEN STRONGER WINDS COMING OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-162030-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1600Z-070217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1600Z-070218T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
427 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 /327 AM CST FRI FEB 16 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WIND
SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-162030-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.070216T1700Z-070217T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1700Z-070217T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
427 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE SHORT DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

18-WOOL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 161820
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
120 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/
TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG
BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT
AND 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TODAY FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...20
FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH...AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO SHORT DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS TO 25 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR 
ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...20
FOOT WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH...AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75.

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR 
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL BE 
REINFORCED BY ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AND VERY DRY AIR ON SUNDAY
AFTER A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOMEWHAT WARMER AND MORE
HUMID AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY OUT AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT...BUT IT WILL STILL BE DRY ENOUGH TO SUPPORT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. 


FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-170100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1600Z-070218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0018.070217T1600Z-070218T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0019.070218T1700Z-070219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070217T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
120 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 /1220 PM CST FRI FEB 16 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-170000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0018.070217T1700Z-070217T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0018.070217T1700Z-070217T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0019.070218T1700Z-070219T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070217T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
120 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

17-GOULD

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 170023
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
723 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING FOR
ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE
TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT... 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH...AND DISPERSION
INDICES ABOVE 75.

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO SHORT DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINED WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS TO 25 MPH...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE
TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT... 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH...AND DISPERSION
INDICES ABOVE 75.

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL BE
REINFORCED BY ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AND VERY DRY AIR ON SUNDAY
AFTER A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. SOMEWHAT
WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY
OUT AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...BUT IT WILL STILL BE DRY ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-171200-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070217T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0018.070217T1600Z-070218T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0019.070218T1700Z-070219T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
723 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 /623 PM CST FRI FEB 16 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION. RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES THIS
EVENING HAVE RESULTED IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RISING BACK
ABOVE 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-171200-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070217T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0018.070217T1700Z-070217T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0019.070218T1700Z-070219T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
723 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES THIS EVENING HAVE RESULTED IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RISING BACK ABOVE 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

14-MROCZKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
230 AM EST THU FEB 15 2007

...HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...

.SYNOPSIS...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CIGS AROUND 10K OVERNIGHT ACROSS LOCAL AREA.
AT 2 AM EST...TEMPS LOW-MID 30S AND DEW POINTS LOW-MID 20S WITH N-S
GRADIENT. 24 HR TEMP/DEW POINT COMPARISON INDICATES THAT LOCAL
AIRMASS  MUCH COLDER AND DRIER THAN SAME TIME YESTERDAY. WINDS
GENERALLY NW 5 TO 10 MPH.

.AT UPPER LEVELS...
A STRONG SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL DROP
SOUTH INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BY TONIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY DAMPEN AS
IT SWINGS EAST SOUTHEAST TO TENN VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON SATURDAY. ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW OVER NEBRASKA
ROTATING SOUTH. THIS COMBINATION DRIVE COLD HIGH PRESSURE SEWD AND
WILL CARVE OUT A VERY BROAD TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE CONUS BRINGING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AND DRY AIR TO CWA. ON
SATURDAY...LARGE SCALE FLOW BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE AS ERN PAC
PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACHES WEST COAST PUSHING WRN RIDGE EWD TOWARDS
ROCKIES. SHARP SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER FLOW HELPS CARVE OUT THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH WHICH IS PUSHED FURTHER EWD TO OVER EASTERN STATES.

.AT LOWER LEVELS...
LARGE LOW CENTERED OFF COAST OF MAINE WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
EARLY FRIDAY...PLUMMETING ALMOST DUE SOUTH AND CENTER OVER SOUTH
TEXAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE CROSSING THE NORTHERN GULF AND RESTING
OVER FLORIDA BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY. THE RESULTING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS INTO THE REGION. IN
FACT...THE NAM HAS THE HIGH CENTERED ALMOST OVER CROSS CITY AS 12Z
SAT WITH THE GFS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH...BOTH MODELS A LITTLE
FURTHER S THAN PREV RUNS. STILL...HIGH SETS UP SHOP CLOSE ENOUGH SO
INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN AT LEAST SOME PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA
EXPERIENCING A HARD FREEZE.

SURFACE LOW/TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS ROCKIES TODAY DRAGGED SEWD
ALIGNED FROM OH/TENN VALLEYS INTO ECNTRL GULF BY SATURDAY B4 EXITING
ACROSS CWA LATE SAT. HOWEVER...CP AIRMASS PLUS LOW LEVEL WLY FLOW IN
ADVANCE OF DIGGING TROUGH ON SAT MEANS VERY LIMITED GULF RETURN FLOW
ACROSS NE GULF. BELIEVE POPS WILL BE AOB 20 PCT.

LOCALLY...COLD AND DRY FORECAST REFLECTED IN TIME-HEIGHT X-SECTIONS
AND REGIONAL SOUNDINGS. I.E. 00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS TAE BMX FFC
0.46...0.27...0.19 PWATS RESPECTIVELY. THE  00 UTC KTAE SOUNDING
SHOWS A SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS...THE TOP OF WHICH ONLY EXTENDS UP TO
930 MB (OR ABOUT 2500 FT). MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW ONLY MORE
INTENSIFIED DRYING NEXT FEW DAYS. I.E. GFS TAE MODEL SOUNDING 12Z
THU..12Z FRI...00Z SAT...12Z SAT WITH  0.49...0.23...0.14 AND 0.20
INCH PWATS RESPECTIVELY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
MAINLY A TEMP FORECAST. CONTINUED DRY WITH TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH SHORT TERM. GFS/NAM MOS BIASES CONT TO AVERAGE SEVERAL
DEGREES COLDER IN AFTN AND 5 DEGREES WARMER AT NIGHT AND THESE SEEM
TO BETTER REFLECT REALITY AND WILL FOLLOW.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...PERSISTENT MID LEVEL CLOUDS TRAPPED UNDER
INVERSION TODAY SO WILL KEEP M/C SKIES. THICKNESSES...ESPECIALLY
BELOW 700 MB WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS AFTERNOON AND COMBINED WITH
CLOUDS WILL HINDER INLAND TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING TO 50 DEGREES.
WEAK REINFORCING FRONT PIVOTS ACROSS CWA TONIGHT WHICH SHOULD SWEEP
CLOUDS SWD AND OUT OF CWA FROM NW-SE BY MIDNIGHT. THUS MOSTLY CLEAR
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE WRN MOST INLAND LOCATIONS
TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE WATCH. HOWEVER...
WINDS WILL PICK UP TOWARDS MORNING AND COMBINED WITH TEMPS IN MID
20S WILL BRING SOME INLAND WIND CHILLS CLOSE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA
AND SHOULD BE MONITORED LATER TODAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY....WE SHOULD SEE THE COLDEST TEMPS SO FAR
THIS WINTER SEASON FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN LOWER 20S COMMON AWAY
THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THE RECORD LOW FOR TALLAHASSEE FOR SATURDAY THE
17TH IS 21 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1943. ON SATURDAY...ABOVE UPPER SHORT
WAVE MOVES ACROSS SE CONUS HELPING TO SWEEP ANOTHER RE-ENFORCING
SHOT OF COLD AIR ACROSS CWA THROUGH SAT NIGHT. SINCE THE GULF
REMAINS CUTOFF FOR ANY MOISTURE...ONLY  A MOISTURE STARVED FRONT
PASSES THRU.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
IN THE WAKE OF SATURDAY EVENINGS WEAK FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING A QUICK SHOT OF COOLER
AND DRIER AIR FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH RETURN TO NEAR FREEZING
TEMPS INLAND SUN AND ESPECIALLY MON NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST
OF CWA MONDAY EVENING WITH BEGINNING OF RETURN FLOW. ON TUESDAY...
UPPER FLOW FLATTENS AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE WEST COAST AND SFC
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR WARMING TEMPS CLIMO VALUES ALONG W/ INCREASING MOISTURE LEVELS
THRU MID WEEK. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL THE
SOUTHWEST UPPER LOW KICKS OUT WED-THURS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH
A SLOW INCREASE IN MID/HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. WINDS
WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NNW AT OR LESS THAN 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...RECENT BUOYS SHOW THAT WINDS AND SEAS CONT TO DECREASE.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
THE EXCEPTION WILL BE SATURDAY AS WINDS VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SCA CRITERIA OVER
THE OFFSHORE SEGMENTS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THIS
FRONT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG CRITERIA LOOKS GOOD THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL
INLAND FL COUNTIES. HOWEVER DURATIONS WILL NOT BE MET IN GA SO
WARNING DROPPED. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE MET ACROSS ALL
OF OUR FLORIDA AND GEORGIA ZONES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO WARNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  49 29 49 21/  00 10 10 00
PANAMA CITY  49 34 50 34/  00 10 10 00
DOTHAN       49 29 47 27/  00 10 10 00
ALBANY       50 28 48 24/  00 10 10 00
VALDOSTA     50 29 49 24/  00 10 10 00
CROSS CITY   51 33 50 25/  00 10 00 00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...
     BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...
     DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...
     LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...

FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5
     PM CST/ TODAY FOR INLAND COUNTIES.

     RED FLAG WARNING FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN
     ...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON
     ...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

GMZ750...NONE.
GMZ755...NONE.
GMZ770...NONE.
GMZ775...NONE.
&&

AVIATION/FIRE WX...GIBBS
REST OF DISCUSSION...BLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
527 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ750-755-770-775-151030-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
527 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007 /427 AM CST WED FEB 14 2007/

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE COLD FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR TUESDAYS ACTIVE WEATHER WILL EXIT
EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD RAPIDLY INTO THE AREA GENERATING BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND A
VERY COLD AIRMASS. A LIGHT FREEZE IS LIKELY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD AND DRY AIRMASS IS FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A LOCAL HARD
FREEZE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT AND OVER A MORE
WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS SATURDAY
NIGHT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS. IN ITS WAKE...HIGH PRESSURE AND
A RETURN TO COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TAE.

BLOCK