Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 96

March 30, 200731 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 30, 2007, 7:55 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2007, 7:55 PM CDT (00:55 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2007, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Clay County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMiami37 min
Mar 30, 8:00 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNSeminole30 min
Mar 30, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee34 min
Mar 30, 9:27 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPMorris, Wabaunsee33 min
Mar 30, 9:51 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPGeary, Wabaunsee24 min
Mar 30, 10:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPOsage4 hr
Mar 30, 10:58 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson32 min
Mar 30, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee, Wabaunsee4 hr
Mar 30, 11:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPDouglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee, Wabaunsee4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 312 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2007-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
312 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 310058
SEL6  
SPC WW 310058
KSZ000-OKZ000-310800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 96
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN KANSAS
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 94. WATCH NUMBER 94 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 755
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 95...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG
LEADING EDGE OF MCS/RAINFALL SHIELD NOW OVER CNTRL OK/KS.  AS SFC
PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE OVER CNTRL OK/KS IN RESPONSE TO EJECTING MID
LEVEL SPEED MAX NOW ENTERING W TX...ASSOCIATED BACKING OF LOW-LEVEL
WINDS WILL LENGTHEN LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS.  COUPLED WITH NEARLY
SATURATED LOWER LEVELS...THIS MAY SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 19 more63 min
Mar 30, 9:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay and 23 more2 hr
Mar 30, 11:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.