Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 734
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 21, 2007, 12:47 PM CST for 49 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Illinois; 17 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 21, 2007, 12:47 PM CST (18:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 21, 2007, 7:04 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 70 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Iron County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 1:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 30 min |
| Nov 21, 1:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carter | 40 min |
| Nov 21, 1:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 55 min |
| Nov 21, 1:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Montgomery, Pike | 37 min |
| Nov 21, 1:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Oregon | 48 min |
| Nov 21, 1:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier | 61 min |
| Nov 21, 1:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Ripley | 46 min |
| Nov 21, 2:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 32 min |
| Nov 21, 2:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Pulaski | 25 min |
| Nov 21, 2:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 24 min |
| Nov 21, 2:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark | 34 min |
| Nov 21, 2:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ripley | 45 min |
| Nov 21, 2:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Randolph | 28 min |
| Nov 21, 2:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pulaski | 34 min |
| Nov 21, 3:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead | 30 min |
| Nov 21, 3:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette, Nevada | 54 min |
| Nov 21, 3:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | White | 50 min |
| Nov 21, 3:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 30 min |
| Nov 21, 3:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Randolph | 45 min |
| Nov 21, 3:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring | 23 min |
| Nov 21, 3:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie | 34 min |
| Nov 21, 3:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 53 min |
| Nov 21, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie | 31 min |
| Nov 21, 4:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Dallas | 36 min |
| Nov 21, 4:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Greene | 51 min |
| Nov 21, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, St. Francis | 62 min |
| Nov 21, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas | 49 min |
| Nov 21, 5:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie | 14 min |
| Nov 21, 5:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Pemiscot | 43 min |
| Nov 21, 5:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 71 min |
| Nov 21, 5:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln | 41 min |
| Nov 21, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Drew | 31 min |
| Nov 21, 5:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe | 15 min |
| Nov 21, 6:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 91 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -84 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 805 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 108 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 211847
SEL4
SPC WW 211847
ARZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-220200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CST WED NOV 21 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO 70 MILES SOUTH OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...AIR MASS AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT HAS CONTINUED TO
DESTABILIZE WITH STORMS NOW DEVELOPING. WITH SHEAR PROFILES
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND APPROACH OF VIGOROUS TROUGH AND WIND
MAX FROM CENTRAL PLAINS...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELL TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ALONG AND E OF FRONT
REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 11:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot and 58 more | 118 min |
| Nov 21, 2:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Columbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union | 8 hr |
| Nov 21, 3:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 34 more | 87 min |
| Nov 21, 5:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Columbia, Union | 65 min |
| Nov 21, 5:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Jo Daviess, McHenry, Ogle, Rock Island and 3 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 21, 12:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Gentry, Harrison, Holt, Mercer, Nodaway and 3 more | 5 hr |
| Nov 21, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer, Fayette and 14 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.