Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 73

March 23, 2007Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 33 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2007, 8:54 PM MDT for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2007, 8:54 PM MDT (02:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2007, 2:58 AM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 8:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock22 min
Mar 23, 9:11 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLUBBailey, Parmer3 hr
Mar 23, 9:24 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFLea6 hr
Mar 23, 9:30 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBParmer30 min
Mar 23, 9:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy62 min
Mar 23, 9:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis61 min
Mar 23, 9:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReeves60 min
Mar 23, 9:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran, Yoakum58 min
Mar 23, 9:51 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCastro39 min
Mar 23, 9:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea31 min
Mar 23, 10:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews26 min
Mar 23, 10:10 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCochran35 min
Mar 23, 10:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving51 min
Mar 23, 10:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea65 min
Mar 23, 10:29 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBBailey31 min
Mar 23, 10:44 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBHockley, Lamb46 min
Mar 23, 10:45 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFEddy6 hr
Mar 23, 10:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReeves30 min
Mar 23, 10:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran28 min
Mar 23, 10:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFWard, Winkler53 min
Mar 23, 11:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea48 min
Mar 23, 11:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLamb18 min
Mar 23, 11:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane64 min
Mar 23, 11:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFWard, Winkler15 min
Mar 23, 11:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale, Swisher36 min
Mar 23, 11:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEctor62 min
Mar 24, 12:39 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane36 min
Mar 24, 12:55 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMidland65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2078 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2078 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 240254
SEL3  
SPC WW 240254
NMZ000-TXZ000-241000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 73
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
       WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 10 MILES WEST OF FORT STOCKTON TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 70. WATCH NUMBER 70 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 955
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 69...WW 71...WW 72...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS ALONG THE TX/NM
BORDER...WITH ANOTHER ISOLATED SUPERCELL SOUTHEAST OF MAF.  ALL
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS AND SPREAD
SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO WEST TX.  STRONG AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR
WILL MAINTAIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 10:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLea118 min
Mar 23, 7:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Moore and 3 more116 min
Mar 24, 1:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crosby and 18 more55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.