Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 73
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2007, 8:54 PM MDT for Eddy County, Lea County, New Mexico; 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 23, 2007, 8:54 PM MDT (02:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 24, 2007, 2:58 AM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 35 counties
Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 8:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 22 min |
| Mar 23, 9:11 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LUB | Bailey, Parmer | 3 hr |
| Mar 23, 9:24 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Lea | 6 hr |
| Mar 23, 9:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Parmer | 30 min |
| Mar 23, 9:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 9:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis | 61 min |
| Mar 23, 9:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 9:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Yoakum | 58 min |
| Mar 23, 9:51 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Castro | 39 min |
| Mar 23, 9:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 31 min |
| Mar 23, 10:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews | 26 min |
| Mar 23, 10:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Cochran | 35 min |
| Mar 23, 10:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving | 51 min |
| Mar 23, 10:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 10:29 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Bailey | 31 min |
| Mar 23, 10:44 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lamb | 46 min |
| Mar 23, 10:45 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Eddy | 6 hr |
| Mar 23, 10:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 30 min |
| Mar 23, 10:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran | 28 min |
| Mar 23, 10:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ward, Winkler | 53 min |
| Mar 23, 11:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 48 min |
| Mar 23, 11:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lamb | 18 min |
| Mar 23, 11:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane | 64 min |
| Mar 23, 11:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ward, Winkler | 15 min |
| Mar 23, 11:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Swisher | 36 min |
| Mar 23, 11:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ector | 62 min |
| Mar 24, 12:39 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane | 36 min |
| Mar 24, 12:55 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Midland | 65 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2078 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1058 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 210 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.2
- Supercell composite
- 8.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 240254
SEL3
SPC WW 240254
NMZ000-TXZ000-241000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 73
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 10 MILES WEST OF FORT STOCKTON TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 70. WATCH NUMBER 70 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 955
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 69...WW 71...WW 72...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS ALONG THE TX/NM
BORDER...WITH ANOTHER ISOLATED SUPERCELL SOUTHEAST OF MAF. ALL
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS AND SPREAD
SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO WEST TX. STRONG AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR
WILL MAINTAIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 10:32 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lea | 118 min |
| Mar 23, 7:19 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Moore and 3 more | 116 min |
| Mar 24, 1:05 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crosby and 18 more | 55 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.