Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 623
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 20, 2007, 3:49 PM CDT for 8 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2007, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 20, 2007, 9:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 52 counties
Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls, Thayer | 66 min |
| Aug 20, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin | 51 min |
| Aug 20, 4:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls | 57 min |
| Aug 20, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin, Webster | 42 min |
| Aug 20, 4:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Boone | 55 min |
| Aug 20, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay | 33 min |
| Aug 20, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls | 33 min |
| Aug 20, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, Thayer | 59 min |
| Aug 20, 5:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Boone | 52 min |
| Aug 20, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 63 min |
| Aug 20, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 61 min |
| Aug 20, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge | 53 min |
| Aug 20, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Greeley, Nance | 36 min |
| Aug 20, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Colfax | 49 min |
| Aug 20, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Seward | 25 min |
| Aug 20, 6:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler | 66 min |
| Aug 20, 6:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Gage, Lancaster | 55 min |
| Aug 20, 6:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax | 35 min |
| Aug 20, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Dodge | 17 min |
| Aug 20, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nance | 46 min |
| Aug 20, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Seward | 14 min |
| Aug 20, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | York | 34 min |
| Aug 20, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 23 min |
| Aug 20, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 56 min |
| Aug 20, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Merrick | 64 min |
| Aug 20, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Otoe | 47 min |
| Aug 20, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Douglas, Sarpy | 57 min |
| Aug 20, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge, Washington | 46 min |
| Aug 20, 7:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Douglas, Washington | 36 min |
| Aug 20, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 38 min |
| Aug 20, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Madison | 53 min |
| Aug 20, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison | 25 min |
| Aug 20, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass | 32 min |
| Aug 20, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 34 min |
| Aug 20, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Shelby | 25 min |
| Aug 20, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 768 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -216 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1084 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 68 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 202053
SEL3
SPC WW 202053
IAZ000-NEZ000-210300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 623
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BEATRICE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORFOLK NEBRASKA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 621...WW 622...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING
ALONG/EAST OF SURFACE TROUGH LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. AIR MASS EAST OF THE TROUGH LINE IS VERY MOIST WITH DEW
POINTS IN 70S CONTRIBUTING TO VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE
OF 3000-4000 J/KG. WIND PROFILES INCREASE AND VEER WITH HEIGHT IN
THE LOW-MID LEVELS RESULTING IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR 40-50 KT SUPPORTIVE
OF SUPERCELLS. IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2
/ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME ERN NEB/WRN IA WHERE WINDS REMAIN BACKED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH OLD OUTFLOW BNDRY/ AND LOW LCL HEIGHTS SUGGEST
INCREASED TORNADO POTENTIAL...WITH ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 9:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee and 21 more | 56 min |
| Aug 20, 3:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon and 8 more | 117 min |
| Aug 20, 6:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Page | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.