Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 623

August 20, 20078 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 20, 2007, 3:49 PM CDT for 8 counties in Iowa; 44 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2007, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2007, 9:30 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer66 min
Aug 20, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin51 min
Aug 20, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls57 min
Aug 20, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster42 min
Aug 20, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone55 min
Aug 20, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay33 min
Aug 20, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls33 min
Aug 20, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer59 min
Aug 20, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone52 min
Aug 20, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline63 min
Aug 20, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk61 min
Aug 20, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge53 min
Aug 20, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Nance36 min
Aug 20, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax49 min
Aug 20, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward25 min
Aug 20, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler66 min
Aug 20, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Lancaster55 min
Aug 20, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXButler, Colfax35 min
Aug 20, 6:25 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXDodge17 min
Aug 20, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance46 min
Aug 20, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward14 min
Aug 20, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDYork34 min
Aug 20, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk23 min
Aug 20, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders56 min
Aug 20, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMerrick64 min
Aug 20, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Otoe47 min
Aug 20, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Sarpy57 min
Aug 20, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Washington46 min
Aug 20, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXDouglas, Washington36 min
Aug 20, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie38 min
Aug 20, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison53 min
Aug 20, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison25 min
Aug 20, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass32 min
Aug 20, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie34 min
Aug 20, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby25 min
Aug 20, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Page28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 768 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
768 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-216 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 202053
SEL3  
SPC WW 202053
IAZ000-NEZ000-210300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 623
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BEATRICE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF NORFOLK NEBRASKA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 621...WW 622...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING
ALONG/EAST OF SURFACE TROUGH LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
NEBRASKA.  AIR MASS EAST OF THE TROUGH LINE IS VERY MOIST WITH DEW
POINTS IN 70S CONTRIBUTING TO VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE
OF 3000-4000 J/KG.  WIND PROFILES INCREASE AND VEER WITH HEIGHT IN
THE LOW-MID LEVELS RESULTING IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR 40-50 KT SUPPORTIVE
OF SUPERCELLS.  IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2
/ESPECIALLY OVER EXTREME ERN NEB/WRN IA WHERE WINDS REMAIN BACKED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH OLD OUTFLOW BNDRY/ AND LOW LCL HEIGHTS SUGGEST
INCREASED TORNADO POTENTIAL...WITH ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 9:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee and 21 more56 min
Aug 20, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon and 8 more117 min
Aug 20, 6:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPage2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.