Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 613
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 17, 2007, 4:21 PM MDT for Carter County, Montana; 18 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 17, 2007, 4:21 PM MDT (22:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 18, 2007, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 21 counties
Carter County, MT, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 4:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade | 62 min |
| Aug 17, 4:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Lawrence | 64 min |
| Aug 17, 4:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 64 min |
| Aug 17, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 56 min |
| Aug 17, 5:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade, Pennington | 62 min |
| Aug 17, 5:29 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Meade | 4 hr |
| Aug 17, 5:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Pennington | 53 min |
| Aug 17, 6:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter | 34 min |
| Aug 17, 6:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Harding | 96 min |
| Aug 17, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer | 30 min |
| Aug 17, 6:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 57 min |
| Aug 17, 6:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade, Pennington | 61 min |
| Aug 17, 6:46 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Pennington | 44 min |
| Aug 17, 7:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Custer | 57 min |
| Aug 17, 7:09 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Custer, Pennington | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1026 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -203 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1565 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 172223
SEL3
SPC WW 172223
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-180600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 613
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 520 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES NORTH OF RAPID CITY
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL/HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES IN WRN SD AND POSSIBLY
ADJACENT AREAS OF WY FAR SE MT THIS EVENING AS HEATING AND LOW LVL
MOISTURE INFLOW CONTINUE AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPR IMPULSE. MODERATE
ESELY LOW LVL FLOW /INVOF WEAK FRONT EXTENDING SE ALONG THE MID MO
VLY/ BENEATH 25-30 KT WSWLY 500 MB WINDS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LVL ROTATION.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 3:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter | 118 min |
| Aug 17, 5:39 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaverhead, Broadwater, Gallatin, Jefferson, Madison, Silver Bow | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2007Tornado Watches in Montana, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.