Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 613

August 17, 2007Carter County, Montana; 18 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 17, 2007, 4:21 PM MDT for Carter County, Montana; 18 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2007, 4:21 PM MDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2007, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Carter County, MT, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade62 min
Aug 17, 4:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence64 min
Aug 17, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook64 min
Aug 17, 5:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook56 min
Aug 17, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington62 min
Aug 17, 5:29 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRMeade4 hr
Aug 17, 5:52 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRPennington53 min
Aug 17, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter34 min
Aug 17, 6:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding96 min
Aug 17, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster30 min
Aug 17, 6:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook57 min
Aug 17, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington61 min
Aug 17, 6:46 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRPennington44 min
Aug 17, 7:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster57 min
Aug 17, 7:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningUNRCuster, Pennington3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1026 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1026 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-203 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 172223
SEL3  
SPC WW 172223
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-180600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 613
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       FAR SOUTHEAST MONTANA
       WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
       NORTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 520 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES NORTH OF RAPID CITY
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL/HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES IN WRN SD AND POSSIBLY
ADJACENT AREAS OF WY FAR SE MT THIS EVENING AS HEATING AND LOW LVL
MOISTURE INFLOW CONTINUE AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPR IMPULSE.  MODERATE
ESELY LOW LVL FLOW /INVOF WEAK FRONT EXTENDING SE ALONG THE MID MO
VLY/ BENEATH 25-30 KT WSWLY 500 MB WINDS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LVL ROTATION.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 3:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter118 min
Aug 17, 5:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Gallatin, Jefferson, Madison, Silver Bow2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2007Tornado Watches in Montana, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.