Tornado Watch 48

Issued

Mar 1, 2007, 4:35 PM EST (21:35 UTC)

Expired

Mar 2, 2007, 2:00 AM EST

In force

9 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

2 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

70%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

30%

Ten or more severe wind reports

70%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

40%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

30%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

80%

• Mesoscale Discussion 244Mar 1, 3:59 PM EST
• Mesoscale Discussion 246Mar 1, 6:22 PM EST
• Mesoscale Discussion 250Mar 1, 10:11 PM EST

000
WWUS20 KWNS 012136
SEL8  
SPC WW 012136
FLZ000-GAZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-020700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 48
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA
       EASTERN GEORGIA
       PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 435 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
SARASOTA FLORIDA TO 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH
CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44...WW 45...WW 46...WW
47...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS WATCH AREA AS
AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AND WIND PROFILES INTENSIFY. 
WHILE PRIMARY THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS WILL
LIKELY OCCUR AFTER 00Z WHEN STRONG JET APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST...MORE ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS COULD DEVELOP AS TH
CONFLUENCE FLOW NRN/CENTRAL FL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HALES

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2007Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2007Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.